Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Picks and Predictions March 15th 2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers March 15th 2025

At 8:00 ET, the Pacers will travel to Milwaukee to take on the Bucks. The Pacers are currently on a two-game win streak and have a record of 37-28. They are 5th in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Central Division. The Bucks are favored by 5.5 points and have the same record as the Pacers. They are 4th in the East and 2nd in the Central.

This game will be played at Fiserv Forum and can be seen on FDSW. The over/under line is set at 235.5.

Pacers vs. Bucks Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks
• Where: Milwaukee at Fiserv Forum
• Date: Saturday, March 15th
• Betting Odds MIL -5.5, IND +178 | MIL -213 O/U 235.5

The Pacers Can Win If…

Indiana improved to 37-28 on the season with a 112-100 win over the 76ers on Friday. The Pacers were favored by 13 points but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 212 fell well short of the 232.5 O/U line.

After falling behind 20-10 early due to a 12-0 run by the 76ers, Indiana responded by outscoring Philadelphia in each of the final three quarters. The Pacers took control in the 4th, where they outscored the 76ers 34-25.

Pascal Siakam led the Pacers to a win over the 76ers, scoring 27 points and grabbing 7 rebounds while shooting 60% from the field. Myles Turner added 18 points, and Aaron Nesmith contributed 16 points, hitting 3 threes at a 50% rate.

As a team, the Pacers made 10 threes, shooting just 28.6% from beyond the arc, but finished with an overall field goal percentage of 49.4%. Siakam scored 12 points in the 3rd quarter, while Nesmith added 8 points in the final period.

The Pacers put together a strong defensive performance, holding the 76ers to just 100 points. They were consistent throughout, allowing 26 points in the 1st quarter, 25 in the 2nd and 4th, and just 24 in the 3rd.

Indiana limited Philadelphia’s three-point shooting, giving up just 11 threes on 28% shooting. The 76ers also went 15/22 from the free-throw line. The Pacers grabbed 33 defensive rebounds, allowed 11 offensive boards, and added 6 steals and 4 blocks.

• When looking at their past ten road matchups, Indiana has an ATS record of 1-9 while averaging 114 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
• In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Pacers have a straight up record of 5-5 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
• Over their last five games, the Pacers have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 0-4-1 vs. the spread.

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The Bucks Can Win If…

Milwaukee improved to 37-28 with a 126-106 win over the Lakers on Thursday. The Bucks were favored by six points and covered the spread, while the game’s total of 232 points went over the 226.5-point line.

After the Lakers went on a 10-0 run, extending their lead from 50-40 to 60-40, Milwaukee responded by outscoring them 31-19 in the third quarter. The Bucks entered the fourth with a 102-82 lead, and both teams scored 24 points in the final period.

Giannis Antetokounmpo led the Bucks with 24 points, 12 rebounds, and 9 assists in their 126-106 win over the Lakers, shooting 47.1% from the field. Brook Lopez added 23 points, hitting 75% of his threes, while Damian Lillard and Kevin Porter each contributed 22 points, with Lillard adding 10 assists.

The Bucks hit 17 threes at a 42.5% rate, with Lopez making 3 from deep. Giannis scored 12 points in the 3rd quarter, while Lillard and Porter each added 12 in the 2nd.

The Bucks tightened up defensively in the 3rd quarter, allowing just 19 points, helping them secure a 126-106 win over the Lakers. Milwaukee gave up 29 points in the 1st quarter and 34 in the 2nd but limited the damage in the 4th, allowing 24 points.

Overall, the Bucks held the Lakers to 43% shooting, including 37% from three, with Los Angeles hitting 15 threes. Milwaukee sent the Lakers to the line 18 times, where they made 15 free throws. The Bucks grabbed 41 defensive rebounds, giving up just 5 offensive boards, while also recording 9 steals and 8 blocks.

• In their last five games at home, the Bucks have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-2-1 vs the spread. The team averaged 114 points per game in this stretch.
• Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Bucks have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
• In their last five games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +5.5, the Pacers is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 235.5 and our model has the Pacers and Bucks finishing with a combined 263 points. Our pick is to take the over.

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Tyrese Haliburton Eyes Another ‘Reggie Moment’ as Pacers Visit Bucks

Tied for fourth place in the Eastern Conference, the Indiana Pacers (37-28) and Milwaukee Bucks (37-28) meet for the fourth and final time this regular season on Saturday night in Milwaukee.

Indiana pulled off a thrilling 123-121 victory in their last matchup on Tuesday, thanks to an incredible four-point play by Tyrese Haliburton with 3.4 seconds left.

Haliburton Looks to Build His Own Legacy

After draining the game-winning shot, Haliburton reflected on the parallels between his moment and those of Pacers legend Reggie Miller.

“There’s definitely a lot of Reggie moments in this building,” Haliburton said. “I’m just trying to create some of my own … Just trying to create my own moments so that the same way that kids and fans looked up to him when he was here, they can look at me the same way.”

Haliburton followed up that performance with 14 points in Indiana’s 112-100 win over the Sixers on Friday night. The Pacers overcame a 16-point deficit, led by Pascal Siakam’s 27 points despite him dealing with an elbow injury.

“The second half was how we needed to play,” Pacers coach Rick Carlisle said. “We need to compete better right off the bat to start the game.”

Bucks Bounce Back, Look to Even Season Series

Milwaukee snapped a three-game losing streak on Thursday, beating the LeBron-less Lakers 113-105.

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Giannis Antetokounmpo, the NBA’s second-leading scorer at 30.5 PPG, had 24 points in just 30 minutes. Damian Lillard added 22, while Brook Lopez continued his strong play with 23 points on 8-of-9 shooting.

“We’re a veteran team,” Lillard said. “You have to be able to move on from those moments.”

Milwaukee leads the season series 2-1, but Antetokounmpo has historically struggled against Indiana, averaging just 24.5 PPG against them in his career.

Key Matchups to Watch

• Tyrese Haliburton vs. Damian Lillard – Two elite playmakers in a battle for playoff positioning.
• Pascal Siakam vs. Giannis Antetokounmpo – Can Siakam step up again, or will Giannis dominate inside?
• Brook Lopez’s Hot Streak – Lopez is 17-for-20 from the field in his last two games and will look to keep rolling.

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