Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks March 28th 2025
At 8:00 ET, the 6th ranked Bucks will host the 3rd ranked Knicks in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Knicks (-112) are favored by 1 over the Bucks (-107). The over/under line is 220.
TV coverage of this game will be provided by FDSW. Milwaukee (40-32) is currently on a 2 game losing streak. New York (45-27) is 2nd in the Atlantic Division.
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Knicks vs. Bucks Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: New York Knicks at Milwaukee Bucks
- Where: Milwaukee at Fiserv Forum
- Date: Friday, March 28th
- Betting Odds NY -1, NY -112 | MIL -107 O/U 220
The Knicks Can Win If…
The Knicks fell to 45-27 on the season after a 126-113 home loss to the Clippers on Wednesday. New York, who entered the game as +4.5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The total points of 239.5 exceeded the O/U line of 218.5 by 20.5 points.
New York started strong, leading 33-20 after the 1st quarter, but the Clippers responded with a 10-0 run, pushing the score from 68-65 to 78-65. The Knicks couldn’t recover, as the Clippers outscored them 34-22 in the 2nd quarter and 40-29 in the 3rd, extending their lead to 94-84 going into the 4th.
Karl-Anthony Towns led the Knicks with 34 points and 14 rebounds in their loss to the Clippers, shooting 55% from the field and hitting 4 threes at 57.1%. OG Anunoby added 28 points, connecting on 3 threes at 60% efficiency, and Mikal Bridges contributed 17 points and 9 assists.
The Knicks shot 50% from the field and made 13 threes at a 38.2% clip. Towns scored 13 points in the 1st quarter, while Anunoby put up 12 points in the 4th. Cameron Payne also added 10 of his 15 points in the opening period.

The Knicks’ defense started strong in the 1st quarter, holding the Clippers to 20 points, but they struggled in the following periods, giving up 34 points in the 2nd, 40 in the 3rd, and 32 in the 4th, leading to a 126-113 loss. Overall, New York allowed Los Angeles to shoot 51% from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Clippers hit 16 threes at a 53% clip. The Knicks also sent the Clippers to the free-throw line 24 times, where they made 20. Defensively, New York recorded 31 defensive rebounds, allowed 13 offensive boards, and finished with 4 steals and 1 block.
- Across the Knicks last five road games, the team averaged 108 points per game while allowing 109. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, New York has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 7-3 straight up.
- Over their last five games, the Knicks have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
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The Bucks Can Win If…
The Bucks fell to 40-32 on the season after a 127-117 road loss to the Nuggets on Wednesday. Milwaukee entered the game as +11.5 point underdogs but managed to cover the spread, losing by 10. The total score of 244 points exceeded the over/under line of 227 by 17 points.
Milwaukee got off to a slow start, trailing 38-27 after the 1st quarter. They bounced back in the 2nd, outscoring Denver 37-29, but the Nuggets regained control in the 3rd, extending their lead to 100-92. The Bucks couldn’t close the gap in the 4th, as Denver edged them 27-25 in the final period.
Brook Lopez led the Bucks with 26 points, shooting 70.6% from the field in their loss to the Nuggets. Ryan Rollins added 17 points, with 11 coming in the 4th quarter, while Gary Trent Jr. contributed 16 points, hitting 4 threes despite shooting just 33.3% overall.

Milwaukee connected on 16 threes, shooting 43.2% from deep and 51.7% overall. Lopez scored 11 points in the 1st quarter, and AJ Green added 9 of his 15 points in the 2nd.
The Bucks struggled defensively on Wednesday, giving up 127 points to the Nuggets. Milwaukee allowed 38 points in the 1st quarter and 33 in the 3rd, while Denver shot 54% from the field overall.
From beyond the arc, the Nuggets hit 16 threes at a 43% clip. The Bucks sent Denver to the line 22 times, where they made 13 free throws. Milwaukee recorded 31 defensive rebounds, allowing 8 offensive boards, and finished with 4 steals and 6 blocks.
- When looking at their past ten home matchups, Milwaukee has an ATS record of 6-3-1 while averaging 112 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
- The last ten games that Milwaukee was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 6-3-1 while going 4-6 straight up.
- In their last five games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
The Lean
Coming in as the underdogs at +1, we have the Bucks as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 220, and our model projects the Knicks and Bucks to reach a combined total of 202 points. Our bet is on taking the under.
Bucks Host Knicks in Eastern Clash Without Key Stars
Two of the Eastern Conference’s top contenders are set to collide Friday night as the Milwaukee Bucks welcome the New York Knicks—though both squads will be without several of their marquee names.
Milwaukee (40-32) returns home after a 127-117 loss to the Denver Nuggets, capping a grueling Western Conference road trip. That game was notable for the absences of Giannis Antetokounmpo (foot) and Damian Lillard (calf), yet the Bucks battled hard until the final minutes, thanks in large part to Brook Lopez, who scored 26 points and carried the defensive load.
“Brook was great all night… He worked his butt off. We had a chance to win that game,” head coach Doc Rivers said. “I couldn’t be more proud of our guys right now.”
Giannis is listed as day-to-day, while Lillard will remain out for the matchup with New York. The Bucks are also without Jericho Sims (thumb) and Bobby Portis, who continues serving a suspension.
Despite the adversity, Milwaukee remains a dangerous squad with Lopez emerging as a steady offensive option. He’s averaging 21.7 points over his last three games while maintaining his elite rim-protection presence.
Knicks Dealing with Injuries of Their Own
The Knicks (45-27) saw their mini win streak snapped on Wednesday, falling 126-113 to the Los Angeles Clippers. Like Milwaukee, New York was short-handed, playing on the second night of a back-to-back without key contributors like Jalen Brunson, Miles McBride, and Cameron Payne.
“We’re more than capable of overcoming adversity but didn’t get it done,” Knicks coach Tom Thibodeau said.
Brunson, who leads the Knicks in scoring and assists, will remain out with an ankle injury, while McBride (groin) and Payne (ankle) are also ruled out for Friday.
Despite the shorthanded lineup, New York has won four straight against Milwaukee, including two dominant performances earlier this season. In their 140-106 blowout win in January, Brunson scored 44 points and Karl-Anthony Towns added 30 points and 18 rebounds.
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While both teams were at full strength in that matchup, Friday’s game could look quite different. Still, New York ranks sixth in offensive rating and sits 13th in defense, while Milwaukee leans more on its defensive prowess (10th in defensive rating) to stay competitive when star power is limited.
Who Will Step Up?
With stars sidelined, role players and veterans will need to step into larger roles on both sides. For Milwaukee, that means more from Khris Middleton and Malik Beasley, while the Knicks will lean on RJ Barrett and Josh Hart to drive the offense.
The playoff implications are still very real. The Knicks are chasing home-court advantage in the first round, and the Bucks are trying to hold off a crowded middle tier in the East.