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Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix-Suns April 1st 2025
At 7:30 ET, the Milwaukee Bucks (-269) will host the Phoenix Suns (+222) in a non-conference matchup. The Bucks are favored by 7 points and have lost four straight games. The over/under line for this game is currently sitting at 225 points.
Phoenix is 11th in the Western Conference with a record of 35-40 and has lost three straight games. Milwaukee is 6th in the East with a record of 40-34 and has lost four straight games. TNT will televise this game from Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee.
Suns vs. Bucks Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks
- Where: Milwaukee at Fiserv Forum
- Date: Tuesday, April 1st
- Betting Odds MIL -7, PHO +222 | MIL -269 O/U 225
The Suns Can Win If…
The Suns fell to 35-40 on the season after a 148-109 loss to the Rockets on Sunday. Phoenix, who were +2.5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread in the home game. The total score of 257 points exceeded the over/under line of 220.5 by 36.5 points.
Houston went on a 16-0 run early, stretching the score from 24-22 to 40-22. The Rockets then outscored the Suns 46-25 in the 2nd quarter and led 112-73 going into the 4th. Both teams scored 36 points in the final quarter.
Devin Booker was the standout performer for the Suns in their loss to the Rockets, scoring 28 points on 70.6% shooting. Kevin Durant added 11 points, while Monté Morris contributed 10 points, hitting both of his three-point attempts.
The Suns made just 10 threes, shooting 31.2% from beyond the arc, and finished with an overall field goal percentage of 48.3%. Booker scored 13 points in the 2nd quarter, and 8 more in the 3rd.
The Suns struggled defensively, giving up 148 points to the Rockets on Sunday. Their toughest stretch came in the 2nd quarter, where they allowed 46 points. Overall, Phoenix gave up 32 points in the 1st, 34 in the 3rd, and 36 in the 4th.
Houston shot 57% from the field, including 58% from three, where they hit 18 threes. The Rockets also went 18/25 from the free-throw line. The Suns allowed 13 offensive rebounds but recorded 8 steals and 5 blocks.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Suns have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 118 points per game in this stretch.
- Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Phoenix has an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 1-4 straight up.
- Over their last three games, the Suns have an over/under record of 3-0 and are 0-3 vs. the spread.
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The Bucks Can Win If…
Milwaukee fell to 40-34 on the season after a 145-124 home loss to the Hawks on Sunday. The Bucks, who were favored by four points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 269.5 exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 235.5 by 33.5 points.
Milwaukee started strong, leading 44-37 after the 1st quarter, but Atlanta’s 11-0 run in the 2nd quarter shifted momentum. The Hawks outscored the Bucks 45-31 in the 2nd and 36-17 in the 3rd, putting Milwaukee in a 118-92 hole going into the 4th. The Bucks won the final quarter 32-27, but it was too late to mount a comeback.
Giannis Antetokounmpo led the Bucks with 31 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 61.1% from the field in their 145-124 loss to the Hawks. Kevin Porter Jr. added 28 points, hitting 3 threes at a 60% clip, while Kyle Kuzma contributed 25 points, knocking down 4 threes at 44.4%.
The Bucks shot 47.6% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, making just 12 threes at 34.3%. Porter scored 20 points in the 4th quarter, while Kuzma added 7 in the final period.
The Bucks struggled defensively on Sunday, giving up 145 points to the Hawks. Milwaukee allowed 37 points in the 1st quarter and 45 in the 2nd, leading to a big halftime deficit. They gave up 36 points in the 3rd quarter but managed to hold Atlanta to 27 points in the 4th.
Overall, the Hawks shot 53% from the field, including 35% from three-point range, where they made 17 threes. Atlanta also went 28/35 from the free-throw line. The Bucks allowed 15 offensive rebounds while recording 5 steals and 2 blocks.
- Milwaukee has a 2-3 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 109 points per game while allowing 107. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Bucks have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
- In their last five games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
The Lean
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +7, the Suns is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 225, and our model projects the Suns and Bucks to reach a combined total of 215 points. Our bet is on taking the under.
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Mike Budenholzer Returns to Milwaukee as Suns Face Bucks
Mike Budenholzer is back in Milwaukee for the first time since the Bucks parted ways with him in 2023. Now leading the Phoenix Suns, he returns to Fiserv Forum on Tuesday night in a game where both teams are desperate to get back in the win column.
This will be his first game in Milwaukee since Game 5 of the 2023 first-round series, when the Bucks fell to the Miami Heat in a shocking playoff upset. Before last week’s meeting between these teams in Phoenix, the Suns’ PR team restricted Bucks reporters from asking questions about Budenholzer’s return, but he did briefly respond to one from Suns media.
“It was a great five years, but right now, my focus is on Phoenix and our guys,” Budenholzer said. “Our players don’t care about my history with Milwaukee, and I probably shouldn’t either.”
Both Teams Looking to Snap Losing Streaks
Neither the Suns nor the Bucks are coming into this game in great shape.
Phoenix (35-40) suffered a brutal 148-109 loss to the Houston Rockets on Sunday, their third straight defeat. Just a few days ago, they were riding a four-game win streak, but now, Budenholzer is searching for answers.
“We have to get back to that level,” he said. “Tonight was a step in the wrong direction, but this group has fight. We’ve got to bring it on Tuesday.”
The Suns will be without superstar Kevin Durant, who rolled his ankle early in Sunday’s game and will not travel with the team to Milwaukee.
Meanwhile, the Bucks (40-34) have also been struggling, dropping four straight and losing nine of their last 13. Their latest defeat came in a 145-124 blowout against the Atlanta Hawks. Despite shooting an incredible 69% in the first half, Milwaukee still trailed by seven at the break.
“It’s almost impossible,” said Bucks coach Doc Rivers. “I told our guys that any game we score over 120, we should win with our defense. Obviously, I was wrong.”
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Key Players and Injuries
Milwaukee Bucks
- Giannis Antetokounmpo continues to dominate, averaging 30.2 points, 11.9 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game, taking on more playmaking responsibilities with Damian Lillard sidelined.
- Brook Lopez remains a key contributor in the paint, both offensively and defensively.
- Injury Report:
- Damian Lillard (deep vein thrombosis) is out indefinitely.
- Jericho Sims (thumb) and Bobby Portis (suspension) are also out.
- AJ Green (shoulder) is day-to-day.
Phoenix Suns
- Devin Booker is the main offensive force with Durant out, averaging 25.3 points and 7 assists per game.
- Mason Plumlee leads the team in rebounding with 6.2 per contest.
- Injury Report:
- Kevin Durant (ankle) and Bradley Beal (hamstring) are out.
- No clear timetable for Beal’s return.
Last Matchup: Suns Stole a Thriller
When these teams met last Tuesday, Devin Booker delivered in crunch time, sinking a go-ahead jumper in the final seconds to lift Phoenix to a 108-106 win.
- Phoenix: Durant led the way with 38 points, while Booker added 19 points and 12 assists.
- Milwaukee: Antetokounmpo posted 31 points and 10 rebounds, while Brook Lopez contributed 23 points and 10 boards.
This matchup has been tight in recent years, with the teams trading wins in their last four meetings. However, Phoenix now has a chance to sweep the season series for the first time since their 2021 NBA Finals run.
Can the Suns Break Their Slump Without Durant?
With both teams struggling, this game could come down to which squad executes better defensively. The Suns have to find ways to score without Durant, while the Bucks will look for their defense to step up after allowing 145 points to Atlanta.
Phoenix needs a big night from Booker, while Milwaukee will rely on Giannis to set the tone. Will Budenholzer get revenge against his former team, or will the Bucks get back on track at home?
