Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz Picks and Predictions March 16th 2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz NBA Sun, Mar 16, 18:00 pm.
Minnesota Timberwolves
ML: -420
0
0
Utah Jazz
ML: 320

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At 7:00 ET, the Timberwolves (-837) will host the Jazz (+573) at Target Center. Minnesota is currently favored by 13 points and has won seven straight games. Utah has lost eight in a row and is 15-52 on the season.

This divisional matchup will be televised on FDSN. The over/under line for the game is 231.5.

Jazz vs. Timberwolves Key Information

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Utah Jazz at Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Where: Minneapolis at Target Center
  • Date: Sunday, March 16th
  • Betting Odds MIN -13, UTA +573 | MIN -837 O/U 231.5
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The Jazz Can Win If…

Utah’s season continued to be a struggle after a 126-118 home loss to the Raptors on Friday, dropping their record to 15-52. The Jazz, who were -2 point favorites, failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 244 exceeded the O/U line of 237.

Toronto’s 10-0 run early on was a key moment, but Utah responded by outscoring the Raptors 32-23 in the 2nd quarter. However, the Jazz couldn’t maintain their momentum, as Toronto took both the 3rd and 4th quarters by a score of 35-30.

In their loss to the Raptors, the Jazz shot 43.8% from the field, but connected on 16 threes at an impressive 42.1% rate. Jordan Clarkson led the way with 19 points, while Kyle Filipowski added 18 points and 11 rebounds.

Lauri Markkanen and Isaiah Collier each contributed 16 points, with Collier scoring 9 in the 3rd quarter. Johnny Juzang added 14 points, 8 of which came in the 4th quarter.

Despite a strong 2nd quarter defensively, where they allowed just 23 points, the Jazz struggled in the 3rd and 4th, giving up 35 points in each, leading to a 126-118 loss to the Raptors. Utah allowed Toronto to shoot 48% from the field.

The Jazz did a decent job defending the three, with the Raptors hitting 12 threes at a 37% clip. Utah also recorded 12 steals and 2 blocks in the game.

  • Across their last three road contests, Utah has a 3-0 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 0-3, while averaging 115 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Jazz have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Utah posted a straight up mark of 1-9 in these matchups.
  • Over their last five games, the Jazz have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
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The Timberwolves Can Win If…

The Timberwolves improved to 39-29 on the season with a 118-111 home win over the Magic on Friday. Minnesota entered the game as -11 point favorites but didn’t cover the spread. The total score of 229 points exceeded the O/U line of 207 by 22 points.

After trailing 87-78 going into the 4th quarter, the Timberwolves rallied by outscoring the Magic 40-24 in the final period. Orlando had extended their lead with a 13-0 run, but Minnesota responded with a strong finish to secure the win.

Anthony Edwards led the Timberwolves to a win over the Magic with 28 points, including 9 in the 4th quarter. Julius Randle added 22 points, scoring 10 in the opening period.

Minnesota shot 52.5% from the field and 42.4% from three, hitting 14 threes. Donte DiVincenzo and Jaden McDaniels both scored 8 points in the final quarter.

Defensively, the Timberwolves gave up 111 points to the Magic but tightened up in the 4th quarter, allowing just 24 points to help secure the win. Overall, they held Orlando to 44% shooting from the field.

Minnesota limited the Magic to 12 made threes, though Orlando shot 42% from deep. The Timberwolves also sent the Magic to the line 22 times, where they made 19 free throws. Defensively, Minnesota grabbed 39 rebounds, gave up 6 offensive boards, and recorded 8 steals and 6 blocks.

  • Although Minnesota has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 117 points per game in these games.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Timberwolves have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.
  • In their last three games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 3-0 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

We’re calling a win for the Timberwolves, with a final score of 130-102, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Timberwolves at -13.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 231.5 and given that our model is projecting 232 points between the teams, we like the over.

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Surging Timberwolves Host Struggling Jazz

Minnesota Aims to Extend Winning Streak

The Minnesota Timberwolves (39-29) are on a mission to secure the best possible playoff seed in the competitive Western Conference, riding a season-best seven-game winning streak into Sunday’s matchup against the Utah Jazz. Minnesota’s latest victory was a 118-111 comeback win over the Orlando Magic, showcasing the team’s growth and improved chemistry.

Donte DiVincenzo emphasized the team’s maturity:

“We’ve matured as a team, becoming more comfortable and understanding each other. It’s about staying together.”

Led by star guard Anthony Edwards, who averages 27.2 points on impressive shooting efficiency, the Timberwolves are positioned seventh in the Western Conference standings. Julius Randle (18.9 points, 7.2 rebounds) and Naz Reid (14.7 points, 6.1 rebounds) provide key supporting roles.

Jazz Focus on Player Development and Draft Position

Conversely, the Jazz (15-52) have struggled significantly, dropping games and shifting their focus towards player evaluation and development. Utah has lost five straight games, highlighted by recent controversy over player availability, leading to a $100,000 fine from the NBA due to the handling of star Lauri Markkanen’s playing status.

Coach Will Hardy stressed the importance of evaluating team fundamentals:

“It’s about understanding what’s important to our team—executing the basics defensively, team defense, and things we can control.”

Markkanen leads Utah with 19.1 points per game, but recent limited action underscores the Jazz’s current priorities. Injuries have further impacted their lineup, notably second-leading scorer John Collins (ankle sprain).

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Season Series Insights

Minnesota and Utah have split their two meetings this season. The Timberwolves won convincingly 138-113 in January, while Utah narrowly edged Minnesota 117-116 in a thrilling contest a month later.

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Keys to Victory

Minnesota must continue to lean on its star players, Edwards and Randle, while maintaining their recent strong defensive effort. Utah’s chance lies in disciplined defensive execution and maximizing scoring opportunities from available players like Collin Sexton (18.0 points per game).

Betting Odds and Expert Analysis

Consult our comprehensive expert betting guide for detailed analysis of this crucial Western Conference matchup, featuring the latest NBA odds and in-depth player and team insights.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Sat, Mar 15, 18:16 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Minnesota Timberwolves
-8
-110
-420
O 113.5
-110
Utah Jazz
+8
-110
320
U 113.5
-110
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