New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions March 4th 2025

New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors March 4th 2025

At 7:30 ET, the Knicks (-184) will host the Warriors (+154) in a non-conference matchup. The Knicks are favored by 4.5 points and have won three straight games. The over/under line for this game is 230 points.

This game will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York and can be seen on TNT. The Warriors are 6th in the Western Conference with a 33-28 record, while the Knicks are 3rd in the East at 40-20.

Warriors vs. Knicks Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks
• Where: New York at Madison Square Garden
• Date: Tuesday, March 4th
• Betting Odds NY -4.5, GS +154 | NY -184 O/U 230

The Warriors Can Win If…

The Warriors improved to 33-28 on the season with a 119-101 win over the Hornets on Monday. Golden State, favored by 12.5 points, covered the spread with the victory. The total points for the game were 220, falling short of the 229.5-point O/U line.

After the Hornets went on an 11-0 run to take the lead early, the Warriors regained control and led 86-77 going into the 4th quarter. They closed out the game strong, outscoring Charlotte 33-24 in the final period.

Buddy Hield led the Warriors with 22 points and 5 made threes in their win over the Hornets, shooting 55.6% from deep. Stephen Curry added 21 points and 10 assists, while Brandin Podziemski contributed 19 points and 11 rebounds, hitting 4 threes.

Golden State connected on 18 threes, shooting 36% from beyond the arc and 42.1% overall. Hield scored 9 points in the 4th quarter, while Curry had 10 in the 3rd.

The Warriors put together a strong defensive performance on Monday, holding the Hornets to 101 points. They gave up 21 points in the 1st quarter, 28 in both the 2nd and 3rd, and 24 in the 4th. Charlotte shot just 39% from the field.

Golden State was particularly effective at defending the three, allowing just 11 made threes on 27% shooting. They also collected 42 defensive rebounds, gave up 8 offensive boards, and recorded 10 steals.

• In their last five road games, Golden State has averaged 119 points per game while allowing 109 . The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
• Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Warriors have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 3-7.
• Over their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.

The Knicks Can Win If…

The Knicks improved to 40-20 on the season with a 116-112 win over the Heat on Sunday. New York was favored by 6.5 points but didn’t cover the spread, winning by four. The total score of 228 points went over the pre-game line of 220.

New York fell behind early, as Miami went on a 16-0 run to extend their lead from 44-39 to 60-39. However, the Knicks responded by outscoring the Heat 36-25 in the 3rd quarter and 24-18 in the 4th to complete the comeback.

Jalen Brunson led the Knicks with 31 points and 6 assists in their win over the Heat, shooting 52% from the field and hitting 3 threes at 27.3%. OG Anunoby added 23 points, knocking down 4 threes at 44.4% efficiency, and Karl-Anthony Towns contributed 19 points and 16 rebounds, shooting 54.5% from the field.

The Knicks made 14 threes as a team, shooting 31.8% from beyond the arc, and finished with an overall field goal percentage of 48.4%. Brunson scored 10 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters, adding 6 more in overtime, while Anunoby chipped in 13 points in the 3rd quarter and 3 more in the extra period.

Despite allowing 112 points on 53% shooting from the field, the Knicks tightened up defensively in the 4th quarter, giving up just 18 points to secure the win. They struggled in the 2nd quarter, allowing 35 points, but had a better showing in the 3rd, where they gave up 25 points.

New York did a good job defending the three-point line, holding the Heat to 31% shooting with 11 threes made. They also limited Miami’s trips to the free-throw line, where the Heat went 11/16. The Knicks grabbed 35 defensive rebounds and allowed just 3 offensive boards, adding 5 steals and 6 blocks.

• Across their three previous home games, New York has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 111 points per game.
• Against the spread, the Knicks have put together 0-3 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 3-0 straight up.
• In their last five games, the Knicks have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 0-5 vs. the spread.

The Lean

The Knicks is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 131-125. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Knicks at -4.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 230, and our model projects the Warriors and Knicks to reach a combined total of 256 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

Road Warriors Visit Knicks, Look to Create Breathing Room in West Race

The Golden State Warriors continue their gruelling road stretch when they visit the New York Knicks on Tuesday night, with both teams battling for postseason positioning.

Golden State Staying Afloat in Crowded Western Playoff Picture

The Warriors (8-2 in their last 10 games) have been one of the hottest teams in the NBA, despite an unforgiving road schedule. Tuesday marks their 11th road game in the past 13 contests, but Golden State has managed to climb into the No. 6 seed in the West, just ahead of a logjam including the Clippers, Timberwolves, Kings, and Mavericks.

A 119-101 win over Charlotte on Monday night helped keep Golden State in control of its playoff destiny. Even better, no Warriors player logged more than 32 minutes, which should help mitigate fatigue on the second night of a back-to-back.

“Fantastic, but obviously everybody’s bunched together,” Warriors coach Steve Kerr said. “We can’t take too much time to celebrate. We’ve got another game (Tuesday). We could very easily find ourselves in ninth (after the New York game). We’ve just got to keep going.”

Jimmy Butler Boosting Warriors’ Playoff Push

Golden State is 8-1 when Jimmy Butler plays since acquiring the six-time All-Star from Miami last month. Butler returned from back spasms on Monday, scoring 13 points with four assists in limited action.

The last time Butler played in Madison Square Garden, he dropped 28 points for the Heat in a loss last January. Now, he faces a red-hot Knicks team in his first MSG appearance as a Warrior.

Knicks Balancing Rotation as Postseason Nears

The Knicks (13-4 in their last 17 games) have used their defensive intensity and depth to stay competitive despite a shifting lineup.

A 116-112 overtime win at Miami on Sunday capped a perfect 2-0 road trip, helping the Knicks stay within reach of the second-seeded Boston Celtics in the Eastern Conference standings.

Head coach Tom Thibodeau made bold lineup decisions, sitting Mikal Bridges down the stretch in favor of Miles McBride, who shut down Tyler Herro late.

“That’s what you love about the team: Whoever has got it going, we’re going to ride those guys a little bit more,” Thibodeau said. “The most important thing is the team winning. Mikal is fully engaged in the team. He does a lot of the dirty work for us, and it’s much appreciated.”

Bridges finished with just five points, but McBride’s defensive impact helped seal the big road win.

Explore in-depth NBA Eastern Conference odds and expert predictions to uncover this season’s key matchups

What’s at Stake?

• For Golden State: A win keeps them ahead of the Western Conference play-in pack and solidifies their recent strong form.
• For New York: A victory maintains their pursuit of the East’s top seeds, with a tough five-game West Coast trip ahead.

Expect an intense, defensive battle at Madison Square Garden, with playoff implications on the line for both squads.