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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat February 12th 2025
At 8:00 ET, the Thunder (-783) will host the Heat (+538) in a non-conference matchup. Oklahoma City is favored by 13.5 points and has won six straight games. Miami, on the other hand, has lost two in a row and is 7th in the Eastern Conference.
This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and can be seen on FDSO. The over/under line for this game is 219.
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Heat vs. Thunder Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Miami Heat at Oklahoma City Thunder
- Where: Oklahoma City at Paycom Center
- Date: Wednesday, February 12th
- Betting Odds OKC -13.5, MIA +538 | OKC -783 O/U 219
The Heat Can Win If…
The Heat fell to 25-26 on the season after a 103-85 loss to the Celtics on Monday. Miami, who were +8.5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread at home. The game’s total of 188 points was well below the 211.5-point line.
After leading 24-18 at the end of the 1st quarter, Miami gave up an 18-0 run, allowing Boston to take control. The Celtics outscored the Heat 34-19 in the 2nd quarter and 36-22 in the 3rd, putting the game out of reach before Miami held Boston to 15 points in the 4th.
The Heat struggled offensively in their 103-85 loss to the Celtics, shooting just 33.7% from the field and 24.4% from three-point range. They connected on 11 threes, with Alec Burks hitting 3 of them at a 60% clip.
Bam Adebayo led Miami with 22 points and 12 rebounds, scoring 9 points in the 1st quarter and another 7 in the 2nd. Burks added 8 of his 13 points in the 3rd quarter, while Andrew Wiggins finished with 11 points, contributing 6 in the opening period.
Defensively, the Heat were strong in the 1st and 4th quarters, allowing just 18 and 15 points, respectively. However, they struggled in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, giving up 34 and 36 points, leading to a 103-85 loss to the Celtics.
Miami allowed Boston to hit 17 threes at a 32% clip. The Celtics also went 8/8 from the free-throw line. The Heat grabbed 39 defensive rebounds, giving up just 3 offensive boards, while recording 2 steals and 2 blocks.
- Although Miami has a straight up record of 3-2 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 105 points per game in these games.
- Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Miami has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
- Over their last three games, the Heat have an over/under record of 0-3 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.
The Thunder Can Win If…
The Thunder improved to 43-9 this season with a dominant 137-101 win over the Pelicans on Monday. Playing at home, Oklahoma City entered the game as heavy favorites, with a -17.5 point spread, and they covered with ease, winning by 36 points. The game’s total of 238 points narrowly exceeded the O/U line of 233.5.
Oklahoma City set the tone early, jumping out to a 33-20 lead after the 1st quarter. An 11-0 run extended their lead from 41-26 to 52-26, and they continued to pull away, outscoring the Pelicans 39-30 in the 2nd quarter. Heading into the 4th quarter with a 102-78 lead, the Thunder finished strong, outscoring New Orleans 35-23 in the final period.
In their win over the Pelicans, the Thunder connected on 27 threes, shooting 49.1% from deep and 51.6% overall. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 31 points, hitting 4 threes, while Aaron Wiggins added 24 points, also making 4 threes at 57.1%.
Gilgeous-Alexander scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter, and Wiggins added 10 in the 4th. Jalen Williams also had 10 points in the 3rd, finishing with 16 points and 5 assists, hitting 3 threes at 75%.
The Thunder put together a strong defensive performance, holding the Pelicans to 101 points in their win on Monday. Oklahoma City limited New Orleans to 20 points in the 1st quarter and 23 in the 4th, while giving up 30 in the 2nd and 28 in the 3rd. The Pelicans shot 43% from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Thunder allowed 10 made threes on 37% shooting. New Orleans went to the free-throw line 28 times, making 19. Oklahoma City grabbed 35 defensive rebounds, gave up 12 offensive boards, and recorded 15 steals and 8 blocks.
- Across the Thunder last three home games, the team averaged 117 points per game while allowing 112. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 2-1 straight-up.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Thunder have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
- In their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
The Lean
As the underdogs with a spread of +13.5, we recommend going with the Heat on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 219, and our model predicts the Heat and Thunder to score a combined 249 points. We recommend betting on the over.
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Andrew Wiggins, Heat Face Challenge at Oklahoma City
Two weeks ago, Andrew Wiggins played a key role in defeating the Oklahoma City Thunder as a member of the Golden State Warriors. Now, he’ll try to do it again—this time in a Miami Heat uniform—when the teams meet Wednesday night in Oklahoma City.
Wiggins Adjusting to New Role in Miami
Wiggins, who scored 27 points on 10-of-17 shooting in Golden State’s 116-109 win over the Thunder on Jan. 29, was part of a five-team trade at the deadline that sent Jimmy Butler to the Warriors. He made his Heat debut in Monday’s 103-85 loss to Boston, struggling with 11 points on 3-of-12 shooting while adding five rebounds and five assists.
“It’s the NBA. When you get traded midseason, you’ve got to figure it out,” Wiggins said after the loss. “We have great teammates here, (a) great coaching staff. Everybody has been wonderful to me, so I’m excited. We didn’t win today, but we’ve got a lot coming down the stretch.”
Miami also debuted fellow trade acquisitions Davion Mitchell and Kyle Anderson, both of whom are expected to play key roles moving forward.
“I see the potential in all three of them,” Heat coach Erik Spoelstra said. “We want to get them as comfortable as possible. I think Wiggs, once he gets really comfortable, you can see the areas that he can help on both ends of the court. But he’s a weapon offensively. Defensively, he can really move.”
Thunder Rolling with League’s Best Record
Since their late-January loss to Wiggins and the Warriors, the Thunder (43-9) have been dominant, boasting the NBA’s best record and winning six straight games by an average of nearly 26 points per contest.
On Monday, Oklahoma City set a franchise record with 27 made three-pointers in a 137-101 rout of New Orleans.
Aaron Wiggins—not Andrew—has been red-hot for the Thunder during the winning streak, averaging 23.2 points per game while shooting 57.6 percent from the field and 48.8 percent from beyond the arc.
“I’m just kind of playing confident,” Aaron Wiggins said. “Guys are finding me, and I’m getting good looks. Shots are falling, so I’m just continuing to kind of play within the offense and try to make plays.”
From New Tech To Big Moves, It’s All On Gambling News.
Gilgeous-Alexander Dominates on Wednesdays
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been particularly dominant on Wednesdays, scoring 50 or more points in each of the past three played on that day.
- Jan. 22: 54 points vs. Utah
- Jan. 31: 52 points vs. Golden State
- Feb. 7: 50 points vs. Phoenix
He’ll look to continue that trend against a Miami defense that ranks 10th in the NBA (111.9 defensive rating). However, the Thunder have been even better on that end, boasting the league’s top defensive rating (104.2).
Final Meeting of the Season
Oklahoma City won the first matchup between these teams, 104-97, on Dec. 20 in Miami. With both teams adjusting to roster changes, will the Thunder’s high-powered offense continue its dominance, or can Wiggins and the Heat pull off an upset?
