Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix-suns Picks and Predictions February 5th 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix-Suns February 5th 2025

At 9:30 ET, the 9th ranked Suns (25-24) will travel to take on the 1st ranked Thunder (39-9) at Paycom Center. The Thunder are currently favored by 12 points and have won two straight games. The Suns have lost two straight and are listed at +518 on the moneyline.

This Western Conference matchup can be seen on ESPN.

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Suns vs. Thunder Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Phoenix Suns at Oklahoma City Thunder
• Where: Oklahoma City at Paycom Center
• Date: Wednesday, February 5th
• Betting Odds OKC -12, PHO +518 | OKC -743 O/U 226.5

The Suns dropped to 25-24 on the season after a narrow 121-119 road loss to the Trail Blazers on Monday. Phoenix, who were -5.5 point favorites, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game exceeded the 228.5 O/U line by 11.5 points.

Phoenix went on an 11-0 run to extend their lead from 42-41 to 53-41, but a rough 3rd quarter, where they were outscored 37-25, put them behind. Despite a strong defensive effort in the 4th, holding Portland to 21 points, the Suns couldn’t complete the comeback.

Devin Booker led the Suns with 34 points and 4 assists in their 121-119 loss to the Trail Blazers, shooting 50% from the field and hitting 3 threes at a 37.5% clip. Kevin Durant added 27 points, 5 rebounds, and 5 assists, while Bradley Beal contributed 25 points, 5 rebounds, and 3 made threes, matching Booker’s 37.5% shooting from deep.

The Suns connected on 15 threes, shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc and 47.1% overall. Booker scored 12 points in the 1st quarter and added 11 more in the 3rd, while Durant and Beal each contributed 8 points in the 4th and 4 points in overtime.

Defensively, the Suns had a strong 2nd quarter, holding the Trail Blazers to just 18 points, but they struggled in the 3rd, allowing 37 points. Overall, they gave up 121 points in the game. Phoenix allowed Portland to shoot 44% from the field.

The Suns had trouble defending the three, as the Trail Blazers hit 16 threes at a 40% clip. Phoenix also sent Portland to the line 30 times, where they made 25 free throws. The Suns recorded 12 steals and 5 blocks in the game.

Oklahoma City improved to 39-9 on the season with a dominant 125-96 win over the Bucks on Monday. The Thunder, who were -17.5 point favorites, covered the spread with the win. The game’s total points of 221 fell short of the 226.5 O/U line.

OKC set the tone early, going on an 11-0 run and winning both the 1st and 2nd quarters 39-22. They led 116-75 going into the 4th, allowing them to ease off in the final period, where they were outscored 21-9.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder’s offense in their win over the Bucks, scoring 34 points on 78.9% shooting, with 21 of those points coming in the first quarter. Oklahoma City shot 51.5% from the field and made 16 threes at a 39% clip.

Ousmane Dieng contributed 21 points, while Isaiah Joe added 18, hitting 5 threes at 62.5%. Joe scored 9 points in the 2nd quarter, and Jaylin Williams added 7 of his 13 points in the 3rd.

The Thunder put on a defensive clinic against the Bucks, holding them to just 96 points in a 125-96 win. Oklahoma City gave up 22 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters and finished strong by allowing just 21 points in the 4th.

Milwaukee shot 37% from the field and 33% from three, making 13 threes. The Bucks also went 13/21 from the free-throw line. The Thunder grabbed 41 defensive rebounds, gave up 9 offensive boards, and added 9 steals and 5 blocks.

The Suns come in as the underdog at +12, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 226.5 and our model has the Suns and Thunder finishing with a combined 248 points. Our pick is to take the over.

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Kevin Durant Nears 30,000 Career Points as Suns Face Red-Hot Thunder

Kevin Durant is on the verge of history, needing just 26 points to become only the eighth player in NBA history to reach 30,000 career points. The potential milestone moment could happen in a fitting location—Oklahoma City, where Durant spent the first eight years of his career.

However, there’s uncertainty surrounding whether Durant will play. The Suns (31-22) listed the 15-time All-Star as doubtful for Wednesday’s game due to a left ankle sprain, leading to speculation that he could be held out ahead of Thursday’s trade deadline.

Durant’s Legacy and Oklahoma City’s Growth

Durant, who scored the first 17,566 points of his career with the Thunder franchise, left Oklahoma City in 2016 to join the Golden State Warriors, where he won two NBA championships. His return visits to Paycom Center were once hostile, but time has softened the relationship.

Meanwhile, the Thunder (35-15) have built their own championship-caliber roster behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who has evolved into one of the NBA’s premier superstars.

Thunder’s Dominance and Gilgeous-Alexander’s MVP Case

Gilgeous-Alexander leads the NBA in scoring (32.5 PPG) while playing the fewest minutes per game (34.1) among the league’s top 10 scorers. The Thunder have been steamrolling opponents, winning 24 of their last 28 games, including blowout victories over Sacramento and Milwaukee in their last two outings.

• OKC’s Average Margin of Victory in Last Two Games: 31.5 points
• Gilgeous-Alexander’s Combined Points in Those Wins: 63
• Fourth-Quarter Minutes Played by SGA in Last Two Games: 0

Gilgeous-Alexander expressed mild frustration over his limited playing time due to OKC’s dominance.

“I would like to play as much as I can. I wake up, come to the game to compete. But Coach (Mark Daigneault) makes a decision on how much he wants me to play,” he said.

Suns Struggling Amid Trade Rumors

The Suns have lost three of their last four games, including back-to-back road losses in Portland. Their most recent defeat was a 121-119 overtime loss on Monday.

That game saw Devin Booker surpass Walter Davis to become Phoenix’s all-time leading scorer (15,678 points).

“It is foreign in this league for people to do what the Tim Duncans, Dirk Nowitzkis, and Kobe Bryants did all under one roof,” Booker said. “I came in at 18 not knowing what to expect.”

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Key Matchups to Watch

1. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander vs. Suns’ Perimeter Defense
   • SGA dominated the first meeting on Nov. 15, scoring 28 points in 33 minutes in a 99-83 Thunder win.
   • Can Phoenix slow him down, or will OKC continue its offensive onslaught?
2. Durant’s Potential Milestone
   • If Durant plays, he could become just the eighth player in NBA history to reach 30,000 points.
   • If he sits, the Suns could struggle to keep pace against a high-powered OKC team.
3. Thunder’s Depth vs. Suns’ Big Three
   • The Thunder have thrived on depth and defensive intensity.
   • Phoenix’s Booker, Bradley Beal, and possibly Durant will have to match OKC’s offensive firepower.

What to Expect

With Durant’s status uncertain, the Thunder enter as clear favorites, having already beaten Phoenix once this season. The Suns need a strong response to snap out of their recent slump, but OKC’s defensive discipline and offensive firepower will make that a tough task.

If Durant plays and hits the 30,000-point milestone, it would be a storybook moment in the city where his NBA legend first took shape. If he sits, Gilgeous-Alexander and OKC will look to continue their red-hot surge toward the top of the Western Conference.