Orlando Magic vs Golden State Warriors February 27th 2025

At 7:00 ET, the Magic will host the Warriors in a non-conference matchup. Golden State (-212) is favored by 5.5 points over Orlando (+176). The over/under line is 211 points.

Golden State is currently 31-27 and has won four straight games. Orlando is 29-31 and sits in 7th place in the Eastern Conference.

Warriors vs. Magic Key Information

Sport: NBA
Teams: Golden State Warriors at Orlando Magic
Where: Orlando at Kia Center
Date: Thursday, February 27th
Betting Odds GS -5.5, GS -212 | ORL +176 O/U 211

The Warriors Can Win If…

The Warriors improved to 31-27 on the season with a dominant 128-92 win over the Hornets on Tuesday. Playing at home, Golden State entered the game as heavy favorites, laying 17.5 points, and they covered the spread with ease. The total score of 220 points narrowly exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 217.5.

Golden State set the tone early, leading 28-18 after the 1st quarter. They maintained control in the 2nd, outscoring Charlotte 28-23. A huge 3rd quarter saw them put up 41 points while holding the Hornets to 24, and they entered the 4th with a 97-65 lead. The Warriors closed out the game by winning the final quarter 31-27.

In their 128-92 win over the Hornets, the Warriors shot 49% from the field and made 15 threes at a 35.7% clip. Buddy Hield led the way with 16 points, hitting 4 threes at 44.4%, while Draymond Green and Stephen Curry added 15 points each.

Hield scored 9 of his 16 points in the 3rd quarter, while Curry had 8 points in the 1st. Kevin Knox contributed 10 of his 12 points in the 4th quarter.

The Warriors put on a defensive clinic against the Hornets, allowing just 92 points in their win on Tuesday. They held Charlotte to 18 points in the 1st quarter and kept the pressure on throughout, giving up 23 in the 2nd, 24 in the 3rd, and 27 in the 4th.

Golden State limited the Hornets to 37% shooting, including 27% from three-point range, where Charlotte made just 11 threes. The Warriors also recorded 16 steals and 5 blocks in the game.

When looking at their past five road matchups, Golden State has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 120 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
Golden State has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.
Over their last three games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 3-0 vs. the spread.

The Magic Can Win If…

The Magic fell to 29-31 on the season after a 122-82 loss to the Cavaliers on Tuesday. Orlando, who were +6.5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The combined score of 204 points was well below the 218.5-point total.

Orlando got off to a rough start, trailing 34-16 after the 1st quarter. They showed some fight in the 2nd, outscoring Cleveland 27-23, but the Cavs pulled away with a 12-0 run, extending the score from 110-78 to 110-90.

In their 122-82 loss to the Cavaliers, the Magic struggled offensively, shooting just 36.7% from the field and hitting only 5 three-pointers at a 17.9% clip. Paolo Banchero led Orlando with 26 points, adding 5 rebounds and 4 assists, while Franz Wagner contributed 19 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists.

Wendell Carter Jr. was the only other Magic player to score more than 8 points, finishing with 9. Banchero scored 9 points in the 2nd quarter and 7 in the 3rd, while Wagner added 6 points in the final period.

Defensively, the Magic struggled against the Cavaliers, allowing 122 points on 56% shooting. Orlando gave up 34 points in the 1st quarter and 35 in the 3rd, with Cleveland scoring 30 in the 4th.

The Cavaliers hit 19 threes at a 59% clip. The Magic sent Cleveland to the line 16 times, where they made 13 free throws. Orlando finished with 7 steals and 8 blocks.

In their last three home games, Orlando has averaged 111 points per game while allowing 110. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
The last ten games that Orlando was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 1-9 straight up.
In their last three games, the Magic have an over/under record of 0-3 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +5.5, the Magic is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 211 and given that our model is projecting 223 points between the teams, we like the over.

Butler, Curry Lead Surging Warriors Into Clash With Slumping Magic

The Golden State Warriors have found new life since acquiring Jimmy Butler, and they’ll look to keep their momentum rolling as they open a five-game road trip against the Orlando Magic on Thursday night.

Golden State has won six of seven games since Butler’s arrival, climbing to eighth in the Western Conference and sitting just a half-game behind the Los Angeles Clippers for sixth place. Butler’s defensive intensity and leadership have helped fuel the Warriors’ turnaround, even when he isn’t lighting up the scoreboard.

Meanwhile, the Magic are trending in the opposite direction. After a 17-9 start, Orlando has plummeted to seventh place in the East following a 40-point loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers on Tuesday—their worst defeat of the season.

With the Warriors hitting their stride and the Magic desperate to stop their slide, this game carries major implications as both teams fight for playoff positioning.

Warriors Hitting Their Stride With Butler

Golden State’s 128-92 rout of the Charlotte Hornets on Tuesday was another statement win, showcasing the depth and balance that have made them so dangerous recently.

Butler had just six points in that game—well below his 18-point average since joining the team—but his defense and leadership have been crucial. Steph Curry led the team with 23.3 points per game, while Golden State now boasts eight players averaging double figures.

Head coach Steve Kerr is excited about the team’s momentum but knows there’s still a long way to go.

“Obviously, we found something and it’s exciting,” Kerr said. “But we can’t get too excited because there’s a lot of work ahead, 24 games to go. We are trying to climb the ladder and we have to keep it going.”

The Warriors were without Jonathan Kuminga (ankle) against Charlotte, and his status for Thursday’s game remains unclear. Still, Golden State has plenty of firepower, with Curry, Butler, Klay Thompson, and Draymond Green all playing key roles.

Magic Searching for Answers After Blowout Loss

Orlando’s season has taken a sharp downturn, and Tuesday’s 144-104 loss to Cleveland was another brutal reminder of their struggles.

“We got ran off the floor. Simple as that,” Paolo Banchero said after the game.

The Magic have been decimated by injuries. Banchero missed time earlier this season with an oblique injury, and the team lost Moritz Wagner (ACL) before Christmas. They’ve also been without Jalen Suggs for 13 straight games due to a quad injury. The Magic are 9-16 without Suggs, and his absence has played a major role in their struggles.

Even with the injuries, head coach Jamahl Mosley expects a stronger effort moving forward.

“We’ll practice tomorrow, we’ll get after it, we’ll compete, and we’ll figure out how we get a game on Thursday,” Mosley said. “We need to get back to the basics, back to the fundamentals, and play a simple, physical, aggressive style of Orlando Magic basketball.”

The Magic still boast the NBA’s top defense, allowing just 105.5 points per game, but their offense has been a disaster. Orlando ranks dead last in the league in scoring at 103.9 points per game.

To make things worse, guard Cole Anthony hyperextended his knee against Cleveland and is questionable for Thursday’s game.

Key Matchup: Warriors’ Offense vs. Magic’s Defense

This game features a classic clash of styles—Golden State’s fast-paced, high-scoring attack against Orlando’s gritty, defensive-minded approach.

Golden State is at its best when spacing the floor, moving the ball, and knocking down threes, while the Magic need to slow the pace and force tough shots to have a chance.

Golden State’s Strength: The Warriors are averaging 118.7 points per game since Butler joined, with balanced scoring from multiple players.
Orlando’s Strength: The Magic lead the league in points allowed per game (105.5) and rely on tough, physical defense to stay competitive.

If the Warriors can dictate the tempo, they should have the edge. But if Orlando can turn this into a grind-it-out, defensive battle, they could keep it close.

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What’s at Stake?

For Golden State, this game is about continuing their momentum. With a tough five-game road trip ahead, starting with a win would build confidence and keep them climbing in the West.

For Orlando, this is a must-win game to stop the skid and avoid falling further in the standings. With injuries piling up and morale low, they need to regroup quickly before their season spirals out of control.

The Warriors won the last meeting 104-99 on Feb. 3 in San Francisco, and they’ll look to complete the season sweep in Orlando. Can Butler, Curry, and the red-hot Warriors keep rolling, or will the Magic find a way to turn things around? Tip-off is Thursday night in Orlando.

Orlando Magic vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions February 27th 2025