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Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks January 10th 2025
At 7:00 ET, the Milwaukee Bucks (-223) will travel to take on the Orlando Magic (+186) in a conference matchup. The Bucks are favored by 5.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 209.5.
Milwaukee comes into this game with a record of 19-16, which is good for 5th in the Eastern Conference. They are currently on a 2-game win streak. The Magic are 22-17 and sit 4th in the East.
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Bucks vs. Magic Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Milwaukee Bucks at Orlando Magic
- Where: Orlando at Kia Center
- Date: Friday, January 10th
- Betting Odds MIL -5.5, MIL -223 | ORL +186 O/U 209.5
The Bucks Can Win If…
The Bucks improved to 19-16 on the season with a 121-105 win over the Spurs on Wednesday. Milwaukee, favored by 4.5 points, covered the spread, while the game’s total of 226 points narrowly missed the over/under line of 226.5.
A key moment came when the Bucks went on a 10-0 run, breaking a 22-22 tie. They dominated the 2nd quarter, outscoring the Spurs 34-19. Although San Antonio fought back in the 3rd, winning it 32-26, Milwaukee held them off in the 4th, edging them 30-27.
Damian Lillard’s 26 points and 8 assists led the Bucks to a 121-105 win over the Spurs, with Lillard hitting 4 threes at 57.1% efficiency. Giannis Antetokounmpo added 25 points and 16 rebounds, while Brook Lopez contributed 22 points, knocking down 5 threes at 45.5%.
The Bucks connected on 19 threes, shooting 45.2% from deep and 47.8% overall. Lillard scored 10 points in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters, while Gary Trent added 12 of his 14 points in the 4th.
The Bucks put together a strong defensive performance on Wednesday, holding the Spurs to 105 points on 36% shooting. Milwaukee’s best defensive stretch came in the 2nd quarter, where they allowed just 19 points. The Bucks gave up 32 points in the 3rd but limited San Antonio to 27 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters.
Milwaukee allowed 18 made threes, with the Spurs shooting 34% from beyond the arc. San Antonio also went 17/20 from the free-throw line. The Bucks finished with 47 defensive rebounds, giving up 12 offensive boards, and added 7 steals and 4 blocks.
- Across their last five road contests, Milwaukee has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 114 points per game.
- Milwaukee has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
- Over their last three games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.
The Magic Can Win If…
The Magic fell to 22-17 on the season after a 104-89 home loss to the Timberwolves on Thursday. Orlando, who were +6 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The total score of 193 points was under the 199.5-point line.
A 12-0 run by the Timberwolves turned the game, extending their lead from 40-37 to 49-40. Orlando couldn’t recover, trailing 78-62 going into the 4th quarter, despite outscoring Minnesota 27-26 in the final period.
In their 104-89 loss to the Timberwolves, the Magic’s offense struggled, shooting just 37.9% from the field and 25% from beyond the arc, making 10 threes. Goga Bitadze led the team with 15 points, 9 of which came in the 4th quarter.
Caleb Houstan added 14 points, hitting 4 threes at 66.7%, while Kentavious Caldwell-Pope contributed 13 points, connecting on 3 threes at 75%. Cole Anthony also chipped in 7 of his 12 points in the 3rd quarter.
Even with a strong defensive effort, the Magic couldn’t secure a win against the Timberwolves, allowing 104 points on 40% shooting. Orlando gave up 29 points in the 1st quarter but tightened up in the 2nd, allowing just 23 points. They allowed 26 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters.
From beyond the arc, the Magic allowed Minnesota to hit 12 threes on 35% shooting. The Timberwolves also went to the line 31 times, making 24 free throws. Orlando finished with 34 defensive rebounds, gave up 14 offensive boards, and recorded 10 blocks.
- When looking at their past three matchups at home, Orlando has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 101 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- As the betting underdog, the Magic have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Orlando posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
- In their last five games, the Magic have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 0-5 vs. the spread.
The Lean
Not only do we have the Bucks winning this one by a score of 141-98, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Bucks at -5.5.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 209.5 and given that our model is projecting 239 points between the teams, we like the over.
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Magic Anticipate Paolo Banchero’s Return Against Bucks
The Orlando Magic, riddled with injuries in recent weeks, are set for a significant boost as All-Star forward Paolo Banchero is expected to return Friday night for a home matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks. Banchero’s return could not come at a better time for the injury-plagued Magic.
Banchero Back in Action
Banchero started the season on fire, averaging 29 points per game, including a 50-point outburst on Oct. 28, before an oblique tear sidelined him on Oct. 30. His absence has left a glaring void in Orlando’s offense, which has been further strained by injuries to other key contributors like Franz Wagner, Jalen Suggs, and Moritz Wagner.
“I won’t be playing 40 minutes right away,” Banchero said. “I’ll listen to the coaches and trainers, trust the process, and gradually work back to my regular minutes. I’m just excited to be back out there.”
Magic’s Recent Struggles
Without Banchero and other top scorers, the Magic have struggled offensively. In Thursday’s 104-89 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves, Orlando shot just 37.9 percent from the field and a dismal 25 percent from beyond the arc. Goga Bitadze led the team with 15 points, but the lack of firepower was evident.
Bucks Rolling Into Orlando
The Bucks arrive in Florida riding a two-game winning streak, bolstered by strong defensive performances. Milwaukee recently dismantled the Toronto Raptors on the road and cruised past the San Antonio Spurs 121-105 at home.
Giannis Antetokounmpo, the NBA’s second-leading scorer at 31.3 points per game, continues to dominate. Against the Spurs, he recorded 25 points, 16 rebounds, and eight assists. His playmaking has been a key focus, drawing praise from coach Doc Rivers.
“If the defense wants to help on you, hurt them,” Rivers said of Antetokounmpo’s passing. “He’s so patient now, baiting defenders to create open shots for teammates. It’s fantastic to see.”
Key Matchups and Recent History
The Bucks also feature Damian Lillard, who has been instrumental with his 24.8 points and 7.4 assists per game. Lillard added 26 points and eight assists in the win over San Antonio, complementing Antetokounmpo’s all-around play.
These two teams last met on Dec. 10, with Milwaukee narrowly defeating Orlando 114-109 behind a 37-point explosion from Antetokounmpo. Friday’s game will be the second of three meetings this season, with the series shifting to Milwaukee next week.
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What to Watch For
- Banchero’s Impact: How quickly can Banchero shake off the rust and help Orlando’s struggling offense?
- Giannis’ Dominance: Can Orlando find a way to contain the Bucks’ superstar after his 37-point performance in their last meeting?
- Supporting Cast Contributions: Both teams will need their role players to step up. For Orlando, that means continued energy from players like Bitadze, while Milwaukee will rely on its depth to support Antetokounmpo and Lillard.
The Magic hope Banchero’s return sparks a turnaround, but they face a daunting challenge against a surging Bucks squad led by two of the league’s premier stars.
