Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards Picks and Predictions November 24th 2024

The Pacers (-683) are favored by 11.5 points over the Wizards (+487) in this Eastern Conference matchup. The over/under line is set at 242.5 points. Washington (2-12) has lost 10 straight games and is 15th in the East, while Indiana (6-10) has dropped three in a row and is 12th in the conference.

This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Tip-off is scheduled for 5:00 ET and can be seen on MNMT.

Wizards vs. Pacers Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Washington Wizards at Indiana Pacers
• Where: Indianapolis at Gainbridge Fieldhouse
• Date: Sunday, November 24th
• Betting Odds IND -11.5, WAS +487 | IND -683 O/U 242.5

The Wizards Can Win If…

The Wizards fell to 2-12 on the season after a 108-96 home loss to the Celtics on Friday. Washington was a +15.5 point underdog heading into the game and managed to cover the spread, but the total points of 204 were well below the expected 238.5.

Washington went on a 10-0 run early, taking the score from 11-10 to 20-11. They led 51-49 at halftime, but a 26-21 third quarter for Boston left the Wizards trailing 75-72 going into the 4th. The Celtics pulled away in the final quarter, outscoring Washington 33-24.

In their 108-96 loss to the Celtics, the Wizards struggled offensively, shooting 43.3% from the field and hitting just 7 threes at a 25% clip. Jordan Poole led the way with 23 points and 8 assists, knocking down 3 threes at 42.9% efficiency.

Kyle Kuzma added 21 points, while Malcolm Brogdon contributed 18 points and 10 rebounds. Poole scored 13 of his 23 points in the 4th quarter.

Defensively, the Wizards had a strong 2nd quarter, holding the Celtics to 20 points, but a 33-point 4th quarter from Boston sealed the game. Washington allowed 108 points on 42% shooting.

The Wizards did well defending the three, with Boston hitting just 11 threes at 23%. Washington gave up 32 free throws, with the Celtics making 25. The Wizards finished with 38 defensive rebounds, 6 steals, and 4 blocks.

• Across their five previous road games, Washington has an ATS mark of 1-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-5 while averaging 107 points per game.
• Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Wizards have a straight up record of 0-10. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-8.
• Over their last three games, the Wizards have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

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The Pacers Can Win If…

After a 129-117 loss to the Bucks on Friday, the Pacers are now 6-10 this season. Indiana, who entered the game as +5.5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The total score of 246 points exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 235.5 by 10.5 points.

Milwaukee opened the game with a 10-0 run, and Indiana couldn’t recover. The Pacers were down 34-22 after the 1st quarter and 93-79 going into the 4th, despite outscoring the Bucks 38-36 in the final period.

In their 129-117 loss to the Bucks, the Pacers shot 47.3% from the field and connected on just 32.4% of their three-point attempts, hitting 11 threes overall. Pascal Siakam led the way with 25 points and 8 rebounds, shooting 56.2% from the floor.

Bennedict Mathurin added 20 points, including 12 in the 4th quarter, while Tyrese Haliburton contributed 18 points and 9 assists, hitting 4 threes at a 40% rate. Siakam scored 11 points in the 3rd quarter, while Mathurin’s big 4th quarter effort stood out.

Defensively, the Pacers struggled against the Bucks, allowing 129 points on 53% shooting. Indiana gave up 34 points in the 1st quarter and 36 in the 4th, though they tightened up in the 2nd, holding Milwaukee to 24 points.

The Pacers had trouble defending the three, with the Bucks hitting 17 threes at a 47% clip. Indiana sent Milwaukee to the line 20 times, where they made 16 free throws. The Pacers finished with 11 steals and 6 blocks in the game.

• Through their last ten home games, Indiana has an ATS record of just 3-7. However, their overall record was 2-8 while averaging 110 points per game.
• In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Pacers have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 2-3.
• In their last three games, the Pacers have an over/under record of 3-0 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +11.5, the Wizards is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 242.5 and given that our model is projecting 250 points between the teams, we like the over.

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Underperforming Pacers Welcome Struggling Wizards

Two struggling teams looking to reverse their fortunes will square off Sunday as the Indiana Pacers host the Washington Wizards at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Both teams are reeling, with Indiana on a three-game skid and Washington in the midst of a daunting 10-game losing streak.

Pacers Look to Bounce Back at Home

After their first Eastern Conference Finals appearance since 2014, the Pacers entered the season with high hopes. However, injuries and inconsistency have marred their campaign, as they’ve dropped five of their last six games.

Indiana’s struggles are most evident on the road, where they’ve posted a dismal 2-8 record. They return home after an 0-3 road trip, capped by a 129-117 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday. Despite the defeat, Pacers head coach Rick Carlisle found a silver lining.

“I thought it was one of our most competitive games,” Carlisle said. “The guys really were together. They kept fighting. We made some great runs in the second half. It’s something to build on, as tough as it’s been.”

The Pacers will need to rely on their home court as they begin a four-game homestand. Pascal Siakam led the way in Milwaukee with 25 points, while Bennedict Mathurin added 20. Siakam averages 20.8 points per game to lead Indiana, followed closely by Mathurin at 18.9.

However, injuries continue to hinder the Pacers. Key players like Isaiah Jackson and James Wiseman are out for the season with Achilles tears, while Aaron Nesmith (ankle), Andrew Nembhard (knee), and Ben Sheppard (oblique) remain sidelined.

Wizards Searching for a Spark

The Washington Wizards entered the season with modest expectations, and their struggles have lived up to that projection. After posting a franchise-worst 15-67 record last season, Washington has just two wins through 14 games.

The Wizards haven’t tasted victory since Oct. 30, when they defeated the Atlanta Hawks 133-120. Since then, they’ve dropped 10 straight games, including a 108-96 loss to the defending champion Boston Celtics on Friday.

Despite the loss, the Wizards showed signs of life, leading by two at halftime and keeping it close until the final minutes. Jordan Poole led Washington with 23 points, while Kyle Kuzma added 21.

“Our guys, like I thought they would, came out and brought it,” Wizards head coach Brian Keefe said. “We were physical, we were committed, we tried to contest everything tonight. It was a good step forward for our team.”

The Wizards’ defense, which has allowed a league-high 123.5 points per game, showed improvement against Boston, holding the Celtics to 42.4 percent shooting and just 23.9 percent from beyond the arc.

“I thought our defense was a lot better tonight,” Keefe said. “You have to give Boston credit, they hit some tough shots, but our guys really showed their character.”

Poole leads Washington in scoring with 21.2 points per game, while Kuzma contributes 17.4.

What to Expect

The Pacers will look to capitalize on their return home to stop their losing skid, while the Wizards aim to build on the defensive improvements they showed against Boston. With both teams struggling for rhythm and consistency, Sunday’s matchup could come down to which side gets the hot hand.

For Indiana, keeping Siakam and Mathurin involved offensively will be crucial. Meanwhile, Washington will rely on Poole and Kuzma to keep them competitive as they seek their first win in nearly a month.

This matchup is a chance for both squads to turn the tide of their seasons, but only one will walk away with renewed momentum.