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Pelicans vs Lakers November 16th 2024
The Lakers (-271) are favored by 6.5 points on the road against the Pelicans (+222) tonight. The over/under line is currently sitting at 221.5 points.
This Western Conference matchup will take place at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 ET and the game can be seen on SN-LA.
Lakers vs. Pelicans Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Los Angeles Lakers at New Orleans Pelicans
- Where: New Orleans at Smoothie King Center
- Date: Saturday, November 16th
- Betting Odds LAL -6.5, LAL -271 | NO +222 O/U 221.5
The Lakers Can Win If…
The Lakers improved to 8-4 on the season with a 120-115 road win over the Spurs on Friday. Los Angeles, favored by 2.5 points, covered the spread, while the game’s total of 235 points went over the line of 228.
San Antonio jumped out to a 13-0 lead, but the Lakers responded by outscoring the Spurs 37-30 in the 2nd quarter. They entered the 4th quarter up 93-86 and held on for the win, despite being outscored 29-27 in the final period.
Anthony Davis led the Lakers to a win over the Spurs, scoring 40 points and grabbing 12 rebounds, with 16 of his points coming in the 1st quarter. Austin Reaves contributed 19 points, hitting 5 threes at a 55.6% rate, while LeBron James added 15 points, 16 rebounds, and 12 assists.
The Lakers made 14 threes, shooting 45.2% from beyond the arc and 50% overall. Reaves hit 5 threes, and Davis connected on 2 from deep at a 50% rate.
Defensively, the Lakers gave up 115 points to the Spurs, who shot 48% from the field. Los Angeles allowed 30 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters, but tightened up in the 3rd, giving up 26 points before allowing 29 in the 4th.
The Lakers struggled to contain the Spurs from beyond the arc, allowing 17 threes on 37% shooting. San Antonio went to the line 16 times, making 12 free throws. The Lakers finished with 31 defensive rebounds, gave up 11 offensive boards, and recorded 10 steals.
- Across their five previous road games, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 1-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 115 points per game.
- The Lakers have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
- Over their last five games, the Lakers have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
The Pelicans Can Win If…
The Pelicans improved to 4-9 on the season with a 101-94 win over the Nuggets on Friday. New Orleans, who were +2 point underdogs, covered the spread with the win. The total score of 195 points fell well short of the 217.5-point O/U line.
A key moment in the game was a 12-0 run by the Pelicans, which helped them take control. New Orleans led 32-22 after the 1st quarter, and while Denver narrowed the gap in the 2nd, the Pelicans held them off in the 3rd and 4th quarters, winning both by a single point.
Brandon Ingram’s 29 points and 9 rebounds led the Pelicans to a 101-94 win over the Nuggets, shooting 46.2% from the field and hitting 3 threes at 33.3%. Brandon Boston added 19 points, connecting on 3 threes at 42.9%, while Trey Murphy contributed 17 points and 8 rebounds, despite shooting 25% from deep.
New Orleans hit 11 threes at 31.4% and shot 42.5% overall. Ingram scored 13 points in the 1st quarter, adding 6 in both the 2nd and 3rd, and 4 in the 4th. Boston scored 9 points in the 2nd quarter and 5 in both the 1st and 4th.
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The Pelicans put together a strong defensive performance on Friday, holding the Nuggets to just 94 points. They gave up 32 points in the 2nd quarter but tightened up in the 3rd, allowing only 18 points. New Orleans also limited Denver to 22 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters.
New Orleans held Denver to 42% shooting from the field, including just 27% from beyond the arc, where the Nuggets made only 10 threes. The Pelicans also sent Denver to the line just 11 times, where they hit 10 free throws. On the boards, New Orleans grabbed 39 defensive rebounds while allowing only 5 offensive boards.
- In their last three games at home, the Pelicans have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 88 points per game in these contests.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Pelicans have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-8.
- In their last three games, the Pelicans have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.
The Lean
The Lakers is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 126-72. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Lakers at -6.5.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 221.5, and our model projects the Lakers and Pelicans to reach a combined total of 198 points. Our bet is on taking the under.
