New Orleans Pelicans vs Brooklyn Nets Picks and Predictions November 11th 2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Brooklyn Nets NBA Mon, Nov 11, 20:00 pm.
New Orleans Pelicans
ML: 100
0
0
Brooklyn Nets
ML: -120
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At 8:00 ET, the Brooklyn Nets (-131) will travel to the Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans (+111) in a non-conference matchup. The Nets are currently favored by 2 points, and the over/under line is set at 212.

This game will be televised on Gulf.

Nets vs. Pelicans Key Information

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Brooklyn Nets at New Orleans Pelicans
  • Where: New Orleans at Smoothie King Center
  • Date: Monday, November 11th
  • Betting Odds BKN -2, BKN -131 | NO +111 O/U 212

The Nets Can Win If…

The Nets fell to 4-6 on the season after a 105-100 road loss to the Cavaliers on Saturday. Brooklyn entered the game as +12.5 point underdogs and managed to cover the spread, but the combined score of 205 points fell short of the 220-point over/under line.

Brooklyn appeared poised for an upset after a strong 3rd quarter, where they outscored Cleveland 27-13, including a 12-0 run. However, the Nets couldn’t hold onto their 82-70 lead heading into the 4th quarter, as the Cavaliers stormed back with a 35-18 final period to seal the win.

In their 105-100 loss to the Cavaliers, the Nets struggled offensively, shooting 44.7% from the field and 34.9% from three-point range. They did manage to hit 15 threes, with Cameron Johnson and Dennis Schröder each knocking down 4.

Johnson led the Nets with 23 points, shooting 61.5% from the field and 57.1% from beyond the arc. Schröder and Cam Thomas both added 22 points, with Thomas contributing 9 points in the 3rd quarter.

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The Nets put together a strong defensive effort in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, but a 35-point 4th quarter from the Cavaliers proved costly in their 105-100 loss. Brooklyn gave up 34 points in the 1st quarter before tightening up, allowing just 23 in the 2nd and 13 in the 3rd.

Despite the loss, the Nets limited Cleveland’s three-point shooting, holding them to 10 made threes on 35% shooting. The Cavaliers also went to the line 19 times, hitting 15 free throws. Brooklyn finished with 26 defensive rebounds, allowing 4 offensive boards, and recorded 4 steals and 2 blocks.

  • In their last three road games, Brooklyn has averaged 107 points per game while allowing 106. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 3-0.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Brooklyn has an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 6-4 straight up.
  • Over their last five games, the Nets have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.

The Pelicans Can Win If…

The Pelicans fell to 3-7 on the season after a 115-88 loss to the Magic on Friday. New Orleans, who entered the game as +8.5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The game’s total of 203 points came in under the O/U line of 209.5.

Orlando jumped out to a 37-23 lead after the 1st quarter, but the Pelicans responded with a 13-0 run, extending their lead from 56-34 to 69-34. However, New Orleans couldn’t sustain their momentum, as they were outscored 30-16 in the 4th quarter.

In their 115-88 loss to the Magic, the Pelicans struggled offensively, shooting just 38.1% from the field and hitting 10 threes at a 32.3% clip. Brandon Boston Jr. led the way with 26 points, 9 of which came in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters.

Jose Alvarado added 21 points, knocking down 4 threes, while Jeremiah Robinson-Earl contributed 12 points. Brandon Ingram finished with 11 points, scoring 5 in the 3rd quarter.

Defensively, the Pelicans had a strong 2nd quarter, allowing just 20 points, but they couldn’t contain the Magic in the 1st and 4th quarters, giving up 37 and 30 points, respectively. Overall, they allowed 115 points on 52% shooting from the field.

New Orleans did a good job defending the three, holding Orlando to 25% shooting with just 8 made threes. The Pelicans also recorded 10 steals in the game.

  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, New Orleans has an ATS record of 3-7 while averaging 103 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Pelicans have a straight up record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 0-3.
  • In their last five games, the Pelicans have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.

The Lean

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Nets to secure the win, with an expected final score of 101-77. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -2.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 212, and our model projects the Nets and Pelicans to reach a combined total of 178 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

Nets Aim to Bounce Back Against Struggling Pelicans

The Brooklyn Nets have been battle-tested in their recent stretch, coming up just short in back-to-back road losses against some of the league’s toughest competition. Now, they set their sights on the injury-ravaged New Orleans Pelicans as they look to turn things around on Monday night.

Nets: Learning from Painful Losses

Brooklyn has been on the brink of victory, only to falter late. On Friday, they took the defending champion Boston Celtics to overtime before falling 108-104. The following night, they held an undefeated Cleveland team in check until the Cavaliers exploded with a 35-18 fourth quarter to win 105-100.

Coach Jordi Fernandez didn’t mince words after the Cleveland loss, emphasizing the importance of starting and finishing strong. “It’s how you open the game and how you finish the game,” he said. Fernandez admitted to pushing point guard Dennis Schroder too hard, leaving him on the court for the entire fourth quarter.

“I didn’t give him a break,” Fernandez reflected. “That’s how your execution goes down; that’s how your defense goes down. At the end, we paid for it.”

The Nets had moments of brilliance, like their 30-5 run that flipped a 15-point deficit into a lead, but costly turnovers undid their efforts. The team turned the ball over 20 times, leading to 26 points for Cleveland—a major factor in their loss.

Cameron Johnson, who led the team with 23 points, expressed the team’s mindset moving forward: “We have to stick with it, and we have to keep chasing that goal and not dropping our heads.”

Pelicans: Battling Injuries and Struggles

On the other side, the New Orleans Pelicans are in the middle of a rough patch, losing four straight and going just 1-7 over their last eight games. Their latest defeat, a 115-88 blowout loss to the Orlando Magic, highlighted the team’s struggles. They never led in the game, and their defense was porous, getting outscored 74-30 in the paint.

Coach Willie Green is trying to keep spirits up, even as injuries pile up. “I feel like the guys are trying, but we have to be a team that at some point decides that we don’t want to get pushed around,” Green said.

The injury bug has hit the Pelicans hard. Zion Williamson is out indefinitely with a left hamstring strain, and several other key players have been missing time. Brandon Ingram was the only healthy player among their top seven in Friday’s game, forcing the team to dig deep into their bench.

But there is some hope on the horizon. Forward Trey Murphy III is expected to make his season debut on Monday after missing the first 10 games with a hamstring strain. His return could provide a much-needed boost for the Pelicans.

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Stepping Up Amid Adversity

With the team’s star players sidelined, guards Jose Alvarado and Brandon Boston Jr. have stepped up in a big way. Alvarado, who has been starting in recent games, is averaging 17.2 points and 5.7 assists in his expanded role. Meanwhile, Brandon Boston Jr. has been a bright spot, putting up 20 points per game over his last three starts.

Coach Willie Green praised Boston’s resilience: “He’s a bright spot when you think of all the things that are going on with our team right now.”

The Showdown: Nets’ Experience vs. Pelicans’ Grit

Both teams are looking to right the ship in this matchup. The Nets are hoping to finally close out games after their recent heartbreaks, while the Pelicans are looking to find their footing despite missing key players.

Brooklyn’s focus will be on tightening up their turnovers and managing player fatigue, especially as Coach Fernandez fine-tunes his rotations. For the Pelicans, the challenge will be finding enough scoring depth and defensive intensity to keep up with a hungry Nets squad.

Will the battle-tested Nets finally break through, or can the Pelicans rally behind their young players and get back in the win column? This game has all the makings of a hard-fought contest between two teams desperate for a victory.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Mon, Nov 11, 05:49 am.
spread
moneyline
over/under
New Orleans Pelicans
+0.5
-105
100
O 108.5
-110
Brooklyn Nets
-0.5
-115
-120
U 108.5
-110
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