Phoenix-suns vs Boston Celtics Picks and Predictions March 26th 2025

Phoenix-Suns vs Boston Celtics March 26th 2025

The Boston Celtics (-159) are favored by 3.5 points as they take on the Phoenix Suns (+133) in a non-conference matchup. The over/under line is set at 222.5 points.

This game will tip-off at 10:00 ET and will be televised on ESPN. The Celtics (53-19) are currently on a six-game win streak and are 2nd in the Eastern Conference, while the Suns (35-37) have won four straight and are 10th in the West.

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Celtics vs. Suns Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Boston Celtics at Phoenix Suns
• Where: Phoenix at PHX Arena
• Date: Wednesday, March 26th
• Betting Odds BOS -3.5, BOS -159 | PHO +133 O/U 222.5

The Celtics Can Win If…

The Celtics improved to 53-19 on the season with a 113-95 road win over the Kings on Monday. Boston, favored by 5 points, covered the spread with the victory. The game’s total points of 208 fell short of the 224.5 O/U line.

After a 10-0 run by the Kings early on, the Celtics settled in, winning each quarter. They outscored Sacramento 26-22 in the 2nd, 32-27 in the 3rd, and 25-17 in the 4th to close out the game.

Jayson Tatum led the Celtics to a win over the Kings with 25 points, 8 assists, and 7 rebounds, hitting 5 threes at 55.6% efficiency. Payton Pritchard also connected on 5 threes, finishing with 22 points, while Kristaps Porzingis contributed 16 points despite shooting 38.5% from the field.

Boston made 19 threes as a team, shooting 38% from deep and 45.6% overall. Tatum scored 11 points in the 1st quarter, and added 8 more in the 3rd, while Derrick White scored 6 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters.

The Celtics’ defense shined in their win over the Kings, holding them to just 95 points. Boston’s best defensive effort came in the 4th quarter, where they allowed only 17 points. The Celtics also limited the Kings to 22 points in the 2nd quarter.

Boston did a great job defending the three-point line, allowing just 8 made threes on 33% shooting. The Celtics sent the Kings to the free-throw line 11 times, where they made 9. Defensively, Boston recorded 9 steals and 4 blocks.

• Boston has played well in their previous three road games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 121 points per game while allowing 103. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
• The Celtics have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.
• Over their last three games, the Celtics have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 3-0 vs. the spread.

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The Suns Can Win If…

The Suns improved to 35-37 on the season with a 108-106 win over the Bucks on Monday, March 24th. Playing at home, Phoenix was favored by 3 points but didn’t cover the spread. The total score of 214 points fell short of the O/U line of 223.5.

After trailing 30-25 at the end of the 1st quarter, the Suns edged the Bucks 29-28 in the 2nd quarter. A strong 3rd quarter, where they outscored Milwaukee 27-20, gave Phoenix an 81-78 lead heading into the 4th. The Suns held on, despite being outscored 28-27 in the final period.

Kevin Durant’s 38 points and 8 rebounds powered the Suns to a win over the Bucks, as he hit 7 threes at a 77.8% clip. He shot 52.4% overall, adding 11 points in the 1st quarter and 13 more in the 3rd.

Devin Booker contributed 19 points and 12 assists, despite shooting just 38.9%. Ryan Dunn added 12 points, with 7 coming in the 3rd quarter. The Suns hit 14 threes as a team, shooting 38.9% from deep and 47.6% overall.

Defensively, the Suns gave up 106 points to the Bucks but still managed to secure the win. They allowed 30 points in the 1st quarter and 28 in both the 2nd and 4th, but they tightened up in the 3rd, giving up just 20 points. Overall, they held Milwaukee to 44% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Suns limited the Bucks to 12 made threes on 30% shooting. Phoenix also sent Milwaukee to the free-throw line 29 times, where they made 20. The Suns grabbed 38 defensive rebounds while allowing 9 offensive boards and added 2 steals and 4 blocks.

• Across their last five home contests, Phoenix has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-4, while averaging 116 points per game.
• Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Suns have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
• In their last five games, the Suns have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Our bet is on the Celtics for a win, and we project the score to be 139-119. Additionally, we expect them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to wager on the Celtics with the spread at -3.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 222.5, and our model predicts the Celtics and Suns to score a combined 258 points. We recommend betting on the over.

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Celtics Likely Without Tatum in Road Test vs. Red-Hot Suns

The Boston Celtics will likely be without star forward Jayson Tatum on Wednesday night as they face a surging Phoenix Suns squad looking to complete a perfect homestand. Tatum is listed as doubtful with a left ankle sprain suffered during Boston’s 113-95 win over the Sacramento Kings on Monday.

The injury occurred when Tatum landed awkwardly on the foot of Kings star Domantas Sabonis after sinking a third-quarter three-pointer. He fell to the court in visible pain, prompting officials to call a flagrant-1 foul on Sabonis. Tatum split the resulting free throws before exiting the game for good.

“He seems to be doing OK,” said Celtics coach Joe Mazzulla. “I didn’t see the play, but they made the right call.”

Despite the scare, Tatum appears to have avoided serious injury—a key relief for a Celtics team with championship aspirations.

Celtics Rolling Without Needing to Rush

Boston (53-19) currently holds second place in the Eastern Conference and has won six straight and 11 of its last 12 games. With just 10 regular-season games remaining, the Celtics can afford to be cautious with Tatum’s health, especially given their comfortable lead over the third-place New York Knicks.

Even without their All-Star forward, the Celtics are getting key contributions across the board. Payton Pritchard continues to shine off the bench, scoring 22 points against Sacramento and reaching double figures in six consecutive games.

Pritchard also recently erupted for a career-high 43 points and 10 threes against Portland, showing his ability to take over in spurts.

Boston’s road dominance has also been a storyline this season, with a league-best 29-7 mark away from home. They’ve swept through the first three games of their current six-game road trip, winning by an average of 17.7 points.

Suns Heating Up at the Right Time

Phoenix (35-37) has found its stride and is riding a four-game win streak heading into the final contest of a five-game homestand. The Suns are battling for a play-in spot in the Western Conference and are now in a tight race with the Dallas Mavericks, who lost on Tuesday night.

Phoenix has scored impressive wins over the Cleveland Cavaliers and Milwaukee Bucks in its last two games. Against Milwaukee, Devin Booker drained a clutch game-winner with 1.7 seconds left to lift the Suns to a 108-106 victory.

Kevin Durant led the scoring effort with 38 points and tied his season-high with seven made three-pointers, but he credited the team’s defense for the turnaround.

“You’re always going to give yourself a chance when you’re playing how we played defensively,” said point guard Tyus Jones.

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“I just like that we’re standing on our identity of playing hard, playing for each other,” Durant added. “We’re more decisive with what we want to do on both ends, which is making us closer as a team.”

Durant is on fire, averaging 40 points over the last two games and shooting 11-for-18 from deep in that span. However, the Suns will once again be without Bradley Beal, who is set to miss his fifth straight game due to a hamstring strain.

This will be the first of two meetings between the teams this season. The rematch is set for April 4 in Boston. The Celtics have won four of the last five matchups.

Looking for more value in this marquee East vs. West showdown? Don’t miss expert NBA picks and insights to help you break down every angle of this high-stakes clash.