Phoenix-suns vs Sacramento Kings Picks and Predictions March 14th 2025

Phoenix-Suns vs Sacramento Kings March 14th 2025

At 10:00 ET, the 11th ranked Phoenix Suns (-144) will host the 9th ranked Sacramento Kings (+122) in a Western Pacific division matchup. The Suns are currently favored by 3 points and have lost two straight games, while the Kings have lost three in a row.

This game will be played at PHX Arena in Phoenix and can be seen on NBCS.

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Kings vs. Suns Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Sacramento Kings at Phoenix Suns
• Where: Phoenix at PHX Arena
• Date: Friday, March 14th
• Betting Odds PHO -3, SAC +122 | PHO -144 O/U 235.5

The Kings Can Win If…

The Kings fell to 33-32 on the season after a 130-104 road loss to the Warriors on Thursday. Sacramento entered the game as +7.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 234 points narrowly went over the pre-game line of 233.5.

Sacramento got off to a slow start, trailing 30-18 after the 1st quarter. They played better in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, but a 10-0 run by the Warriors in the 4th put the game out of reach, as the Kings were outscored 34-21 in the final period.

DeMar DeRozan led the Kings with 23 points and 7 assists in their 130-104 loss to the Warriors, shooting 61.5% from the field. Keon Ellis added 18 points, while Zach LaVine contributed 14 points, hitting 4 threes at a perfect rate.

The Kings shot 46.8% overall and made 14 threes at a 37.8% clip. DeRozan scored 12 points in the 3rd quarter, while Ellis added 7 in the 4th.

The Kings struggled defensively against the Warriors, giving up 130 points on 57% shooting. Sacramento allowed 30 points in the 1st quarter and 31 in the 2nd, then 35 in the 3rd and 34 in the 4th.

From beyond the arc, the Warriors hit 22 threes at a 56% clip. The Kings sent Golden State to the line 24 times, where they made 18 free throws. Sacramento finished with 25 defensive rebounds, 7 steals, and 4 blocks.

• Across their last three road contests, Sacramento has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 0-3, while averaging 108 points per game.
• Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Kings have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.
• Over their last five games, the Kings have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

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The Suns Can Win If…

The Suns dropped to 30-36 on the season after a 111-104 road loss to the Rockets on Wednesday. Phoenix entered the game as +4.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 215, falling short of the 227-point O/U line.

Houston took an early lead, winning the 1st quarter 32-27. The 2nd quarter was even at 25-25, but the Rockets pulled ahead by 9 points after outscoring the Suns 31-27 in the 3rd. Phoenix edged Houston 25-23 in the 4th, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.

Bradley Beal led the Suns with 25 points in their 111-104 loss to the Rockets, shooting 64.3% from the field. Kevin Durant and Devin Booker each added 19 points, with Durant hitting 66.7% of his shots and going 2-for-2 from three-point range.

Phoenix shot 53.4% overall, but struggled from beyond the arc, making just 10 threes at a 35.7% clip. Beal scored 6 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters, while Durant also added 9 points in the 3rd.

The Suns gave up 111 points to the Rockets on Wednesday, with their toughest defensive stretch coming in the 1st and 3rd quarters, where they allowed 32 and 31 points, respectively. They tightened up in the 4th, giving up just 23 points. Overall, Phoenix held Houston to 45% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Suns limited the Rockets to 12 made threes on 31% shooting. Houston also went 19/25 from the free-throw line. Defensively, Phoenix recorded 7 steals and 8 blocks, while allowing 11 offensive rebounds.

• In their last three home games, Phoenix has averaged 115 points per game while allowing 115. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
• In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Suns have a straight up record of 3-2, while going 2-3 against the spread.
• In their last five games, the Suns have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Not only do we have the Suns winning this one by a score of 134-124, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Suns at -3.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 235.5 and our model has the Kings and Suns finishing with a combined 258 points. Our pick is to take the over.

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Suns Sinking Fast as They Prepare to Host Kings

The Phoenix Suns are running out of time to salvage their season, and a loss to the Sacramento Kings on Friday night would push them even closer to the brink.

Suns Facing Uphill Battle

Phoenix has dropped 14 of its last 19 games, tumbling six games below .500 with just 16 games remaining. The Suns sit 2.5 games behind the Dallas Mavericks for the final play-in spot in the Western Conference and trail Sacramento by 3.5 games.

“This road trip took a little bit out of us, but I think these guys, couple of nights in their own bed, get back in our gym, we’ll be ready to go,” Suns coach Mike Budenholzer said.

Phoenix is entering a critical stretch with six of its next seven games at home, making this a must-win contest.

Kings in a Slump of Their Own

Sacramento has lost three straight games, including two blowout defeats—133-104 to the New York Knicks and 130-104 against the Golden State Warriors on Thursday. The Kings, who currently occupy the ninth seed in the West, have struggled in the absence of star center Domantas Sabonis.

Sabonis has missed six straight games with a left hamstring injury, and though he returned to practice this week, he sat out against the Warriors. His status for Friday remains uncertain.

Interim coach Doug Christie was frustrated after the latest loss, believing his team should have performed better.

“We’re going to figure it out, we’re not going to sit here and have excuses,” Christie said. “This is a game in my opinion that we should’ve won.”

Suns Searching for Consistency

Phoenix wrapped up a 1-3 road trip with a 111-104 loss to the Houston Rockets on Wednesday. Despite another strong performance from Bradley Beal (25 points), the Suns couldn’t string together enough defensive stops.

Mason Plumlee remains optimistic despite the team’s struggles.

“I feel like really the last three, four games we have a good rhythm with a good group,” Plumlee said. “We are playing well. I know it didn’t result in a win (Monday) in Memphis, but we’ve had moments with our group that look really good, so I’m excited for this last stretch.”

Devin Booker and Kevin Durant each scored 19 points against Houston but will need to step up to keep the Suns’ slim postseason hopes alive.

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Sacramento Needs More from Key Players

DeMar DeRozan led the Kings with 23 points and seven assists against Golden State, but the rest of the team struggled. Zach LaVine added 14 points, while Malik Monk (seven points, 3-for-13 shooting) and Keegan Murray (six points, 2-for-10) had off nights.

Sacramento got a bright spot from Keon Ellis, who scored 18 points off the bench.

Injury Updates

Phoenix could be without Grayson Allen (foot), while Nick Richards (ankle) is questionable. Sabonis’ status for Sacramento remains up in the air.