Phoenix-suns vs San Antonio Spurs Picks and Predictions April 11th 2025

Phoenix-Suns vs San Antonio Spurs April 11th 2025

At 10:00 ET, the Phoenix Suns will host the San Antonio Spurs in a Western Conference matchup. The Suns (-186) are favored by 4.5 points over the Spurs (+157), and the over/under line is set at 232.5.

Phoenix (-186) has lost eight straight games and is 11th in the Western Conference. San Antonio (+157) is 13th in the West and has a record of 33-47.

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Spurs vs. Suns Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns
• Where: Phoenix at PHX Arena
• Date: Friday, April 11th
• Betting Odds PHO -4.5, SA +157 | PHO -186 O/U 232.5

The Spurs Can Win If…

San Antonio improved to 33-47 for the season with a 114-111 win over the Warriors on Wednesday. The Spurs, who were +17.5 point underdogs, not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread. The game’s total points of 225 fell short of the 233.5 O/U line.

After falling behind 13-0 early, the Spurs turned things around with a strong 2nd quarter, outscoring the Warriors 32-19. Despite a rough 3rd quarter where they were outscored 37-21, San Antonio stormed back in the 4th, putting up 38 points while holding Golden State to 23.

The Spurs shot 48.1% from the field and knocked down 18 threes at a 39.1% clip in their win over the Warriors on Wednesday. Keldon Johnson and Stephon Castle both scored 21 points, while Harrison Barnes added 20, hitting 6 threes at 66.7% efficiency.

Johnson delivered 10 points in the 4th quarter, and Castle added 7. Barnes and Julian Champagnie each contributed 9 points in the final period, while Chris Paul scored 10 of his 12 points in the 2nd quarter.

Despite a tough 1st and 3rd quarter, the Spurs’ defense stepped up in the 2nd and 4th, allowing just 19 and 23 points, respectively, to secure a 114-111 win over the Warriors. San Antonio held Golden State to 41% shooting from the field.

The Spurs gave up 16 threes at a 33% clip and sent the Warriors to the line 28 times, where they hit 23 free throws. San Antonio finished with 33 defensive rebounds, allowed 16 offensive boards, and recorded 6 steals and 5 blocks.

• When looking at their past three road matchups, San Antonio has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 113 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
• Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Spurs have gone 4-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
• Over their last five games, the Spurs have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.

The Suns Can Win If…

The Suns fell to 35-45 on the season after a 125-112 loss to the Thunder on Wednesday. Phoenix, who were +7.5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread at home. The game’s total points of 237 exceeded the O/U line of 229.

Despite leading 39-29 after the 1st quarter, the Suns couldn’t maintain their momentum. A pivotal 10-0 run by the Thunder stretched the score from 67-63 to 77-63. Phoenix struggled in the 3rd quarter, getting outscored 43-26, and entered the 4th down 105-93.

Bradley Beal led the Suns with 25 points and 4 made threes in their 125-112 loss to the Thunder. Devin Booker added 20 points and 14 assists, while Collin Gillespie chipped in 17 points, hitting 3 threes at 50% efficiency.

Phoenix connected on 15 threes, shooting 35.7% from deep and 48.3% overall. Booker scored 11 points in the 1st quarter, while Beal added 7 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters.

The Suns struggled defensively in the 3rd quarter, giving up 43 points, which contributed to their 125-112 loss to the Thunder. Overall, they allowed 125 points on 52% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Thunder hit 12 threes at a 40% clip. The Suns sent the Thunder to the line 27 times, where they made 23 free throws. Defensively, the Suns recorded 10 steals and 3 blocks.

• When looking at their past ten home matchups, Phoenix has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 116 per game. The team went 1-9 overall in these games.
• Through their last three games as the favorite, the Suns have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.
• In their last five games, the Suns have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 0-5 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Not only do we have the Suns winning this one by a score of 101-59, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Suns at -4.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 232.5, and our model predicts the Spurs and Suns to score a combined 160 points. We recommend betting on the under.

Daily NBA Picks & Predictions

Game Preview: Pride at Stake in Western Conference Matchup

As the NBA regular season nears its conclusion, Friday’s clash between the Phoenix Suns and the San Antonio Spurs offers more emotional closure than competitive significance. Both teams are officially out of the postseason picture, and this game serves as a final chance to evaluate talent, honor departing veterans, and give fans one last performance.

Phoenix Suns: A Season of High Hopes, Low Returns

Current Record: 35-45

Streak: Lost 8 straight games

Playoff Status: Eliminated

Just a few seasons removed from the NBA Finals, the Suns find themselves completely out of playoff contention for the first time since 2020. An alarming slide over the past three weeks saw them drop eight consecutive games — each by at least 10 points.

Their most recent defeat came at the hands of Western Conference leaders Oklahoma City Thunder, 125-112, sealing their fate.

“When you’ve had a season this bad, it’s a bunch of things,” said Suns star Devin Booker, expressing deep frustration with the team’s fall from grace.

Key Players & Stats – Phoenix Suns

Booker emphasized that while the season was tough, the focus should now shift to learning and consistency, especially for younger players and team development.

San Antonio Spurs: Rebuilding with Positives

Current Record: 33-47

Last Game: Beat Golden State Warriors 114-111

Season Status: Also eliminated from playoffs

While the Spurs are also missing the postseason, they are making headlines for their resilience and growth. Their most recent game featured a dramatic win over the playoff-bound Golden State Warriors, capped off by a buzzer-beating three-pointer from veteran Harrison Barnes.

“We just never let it get too far away,” said acting head coach Mitch Johnson. “It was always within striking distance.”

Key Players & Stats – San Antonio Spurs

Season Series Update: Tied at 1-1

The Suns and Spurs have split their previous matchups this season:

• Dec 3: Suns win at home
• Feb 20: Spurs win in Austin

Friday’s game will decide the season series, giving each team extra motivation despite having nothing at stake in the standings.

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What’s at Stake?

Even though the playoffs are out of reach, this game holds significance:

• For the Suns: A final home win could offer a glimmer of hope and appreciation for loyal fans.
• For the Spurs: Another win signals continued progress and team development.

Game Details

Conclusion: Can Phoenix Salvage Some Pride?

The Suns are eager to close their home campaign with a morale-boosting win, while the Spurs look to carry momentum into the off-season. Regardless of the outcome, both teams will be eyeing internal growth and future improvement.