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Pistons vs Heat November 12th 2024
At 7:00 ET, the 4-7 Pistons (+101) will host the 4-5 Heat (-122) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Pistons are 10th in the East, while the Heat are favored by 1.5 points on the road.
This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit and can be seen on FDSD.
Heat vs. Pistons Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons
- Where: Detroit at Little Caesars Arena
- Date: Tuesday, November 12th
- Betting Odds MIA -1.5, MIA -122 | DET +101 O/U 216
The Heat Can Win If…
Miami improved to 4-5 on the season with a 95-94 win over the Timberwolves on Sunday. The Heat were +7 point underdogs but managed to cover the spread with the win. The game’s total score of 189 points fell well short of the 219-point over/under line.
Miami jumped out to a 27-20 lead in the 1st quarter, but Minnesota responded with an 11-0 run, taking the lead from 41-32 to 43-41. The Timberwolves led 71-68 going into the 4th quarter, but the Heat outscored them 27-23 in the final period to secure the win.
In their 95-94 win over the Timberwolves, the Heat’s offense was led by Tyler Herro, who scored 26 points, hitting 4 threes at a 50% clip. Herro shot 60% from the field overall, while Nikola Jovic added 15 points, shooting 54.5% and making 2 threes at 50% efficiency.
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The Heat made 11 threes as a team, shooting 35.5% from beyond the arc and 44.2% overall. Herro scored 11 points in the 4th quarter, with Jovic adding 7 and Terry Rozier contributing 5 of his 11 points in the final period.
Even with a rough 2nd quarter, the Heat’s defense held strong, giving up just 94 points to the Timberwolves. They allowed 20 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters and 23 in the 4th.
Overall, Miami held Minnesota to 39% shooting, including 28% from three-point range, where the Timberwolves made 13 threes. The Heat also sent Minnesota to the line 13 times, where they made 11 free throws.
- The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.
- Against the spread, the Heat have put together 1-2 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 2-1 straight up.
- Over their last three games, the Heat have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.
The Pistons Can Win If…
The Pistons fell to 4-7 on the season after a 101-99 home loss to the Rockets on Sunday. Detroit, who were +4 point underdogs, managed to cover the spread, but the combined score of 200 points fell short of the 218.5-point over/under line.
Houston went on an 11-0 run early, but Detroit responded by outscoring the Rockets 28-23 in the 2nd quarter. However, a 29-19 3rd quarter in favor of Houston put the Pistons in a tough spot, trailing 72-64 heading into the 4th. Detroit made a push in the final quarter, outscoring the Rockets 35-29, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.
Cade Cunningham led the Pistons with 26 points, 9 assists, and 8 rebounds in their 99-point effort against the Rockets, shooting 47.6% from the field and hitting 2 threes at 50%. Isaiah Stewart contributed 16 points on 77.8% shooting, while Malik Beasley added 15 points, knocking down 4 threes at 44.4%.
As a team, the Pistons shot 42.9% from the field, with an average 32.4% from beyond the arc, making 11 threes. Beasley scored 10 of his 15 points in the 4th quarter, while Cunningham added 6 points in the final period.
Despite a strong defensive effort, the Pistons fell to the Rockets 101-99 on Sunday. Detroit held Houston to just 20 points in the 1st quarter and 23 in the 2nd, but allowed 29 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters.
The Pistons limited the Rockets to 40% shooting from the field, including just 20% from beyond the arc, where Houston made only 7 threes. Detroit also recorded 6 steals and 6 blocks.
- Detroit has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 106 points per game while allowing 98. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Pistons have a straight up record of 3-7. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.
- In their last three games, the Pistons have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.
The Lean
We’re calling a win for the Heat, with a final score of 132-127, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Heat at -1.5.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 216 and our model has the Heat and Pistons finishing with a combined 259 points. Our pick is to take the over.
Heat Look to Build Momentum in NBA Cup Opener Against Pistons
After snapping a three-game losing streak with a dramatic win on Sunday, the Miami Heat are heading into their NBA Cup opener against the Detroit Pistons with renewed energy. Both teams are part of East Group B in the tournament, which also includes the Indiana Pacers, Milwaukee Bucks, and Toronto Raptors. Tuesday’s game in Detroit will be an opportunity for both squads to start their NBA Cup campaigns on the right foot.
Heat Finding Their Groove After Thrilling Win
The Heat are coming off a hard-fought 95-94 victory against the Minnesota Timberwolves, where a clutch three-point play by Nikola Jovic with just 7.8 seconds remaining sealed the deal. Miami had been struggling, having lost their previous three games to Sacramento, Phoenix, and Denver, but Sunday’s win provided a much-needed confidence boost.
“That was a signature win for us,” said Heat center Bam Adebayo, emphasizing the emotional lift the team needed.
Coach Erik Spoelstra praised the execution of the game-winning play, where Duncan Robinson set up Jovic with a perfectly timed pass off an inbound. “It is extremely difficult to generate an open shot on a side out of bounds, particularly against a well-coached team with great length,” Spoelstra noted. “Duncan made a great pass, Niko made a great cut.”
Tyler Herro Leading the Charge
Tyler Herro has been Miami’s go-to scorer, averaging 26.3 points over the last four games. But the real story on Sunday was the Heat’s defensive effort, holding Minnesota to their lowest point total of the season. “This is the hardest we’ve played in any of the regular-season games this season,” Spoelstra said. “It doesn’t guarantee you anything, but it gives you the best collective chance to win.”
The Heat may still be without Jimmy Butler, who sprained his right ankle against Denver. While his status is uncertain, there’s a good chance he could sit out Tuesday’s game to avoid aggravating the injury.
Pistons Seeking to Break Free from Late-Game Heartbreaks
The Detroit Pistons, meanwhile, are dealing with their own frustrations. Their last three games have all come down to the wire, with the latest being a tough 101-99 loss to the Houston Rockets on Sunday. Tobias Harris had a chance to tie the game with two free throws in the final second but missed the first, leaving Detroit with no time to recover.
Coach J.B. Bickerstaff expressed confidence in Harris despite the miss:
“Obviously that’s tough, but we trust Tobias to knock his free throws down. He just missed it.”
The Pistons’ inability to secure defensive rebounds has been a significant issue, allowing Houston to grab 17 offensive boards, including crucial ones in the final quarter. “We fought hard, but seven offensive rebounds in the fourth quarter; it’s just too tough to overcome,” Bickerstaff admitted.
Cade Cunningham Continues to Impress
Despite the recent losses, Cade Cunningham has been a bright spot for Detroit. His streak of three consecutive triple-doubles was snapped against Houston, but he still posted an impressive stat line with 26 points, eight rebounds, and nine assists. Cunningham has been the engine driving Detroit’s offense, and the team will rely on him heavily in the NBA Cup.
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In positive news, second-year forward Ausar Thompson has been cleared to play after dealing with blood clot issues. However, it remains to be seen how much playing time he will get as Bickerstaff has settled into a rotation through the first 11 games.
Key Matchups to Watch
- Tyler Herro vs. Cade Cunningham: Both guards have been carrying the offensive load for their respective teams. Herro’s scoring prowess and Cunningham’s all-around playmaking will be crucial in determining which team gets off to a strong start in NBA Cup play.
- Defensive Rebounding: The Pistons’ struggles on the boards could be a major factor, especially if Bam Adebayo and the Heat capitalize on second-chance opportunities. Detroit needs to tighten up on the glass if they hope to contain Miami’s offense.
- Miami’s Depth Without Butler: If Jimmy Butler sits out, the Heat will once again rely on players like Jovic, Adebayo, and Herro to step up. The Pistons will need to take advantage of any gaps in Miami’s lineup to pull off a win at home.
NBA Cup Stakes: A Fresh Start for Both Teams
The NBA Cup presents an opportunity for both the Heat and Pistons to shift gears and build some momentum. For Miami, it’s about finding consistency after a rocky start, while Detroit is eager to shake off the late-game struggles that have plagued them in recent outings.
Will the Heat’s renewed defensive intensity carry them to another win, or can the Pistons finally close out a tight game? Both teams have something to prove as they open their NBA Cup campaigns, making this matchup one to watch.
