Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks Picks and Predictions December 1st 2024

At 9:00 ET, the Portland Trail Blazers (8-12) will host the Dallas Mavericks (12-8) in a Western Conference matchup. The Mavericks are favored by 7 points, and the over/under line is set at 228.5.

This game will be played at the Moda Center in Portland and can be seen on KATU.

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Dallas Mavericks at Portland Trail Blazers
• Where: Portland at Moda Center
• Date: Sunday, December 1st
• Betting Odds DAL -7, DAL -286 | POR +233 O/U 228.5

The Mavericks Can Win If…

Dallas improved to 12-8 on the season with a 106-94 win over the Jazz on Saturday. The Mavericks, who were favored by 6 points, covered the spread with the win. The game’s total points of 200 fell well short of the O/U line of 230.

A 13-0 run helped Dallas take control, turning a 30-20 deficit into a 33-30 lead. After a strong 1st quarter, where they outscored Utah 40-22, the Mavericks held off the Jazz in the 4th, limiting them to 18 points.

Kyrie Irving led the Mavericks to a win over the Jazz, scoring 30 points, 9 assists, and 7 rebounds, hitting 6 threes at 46.2%. Quentin Grimes added 24 points, making 5 threes at 45.5%.

Dallas made 15 threes, shooting 38.5% from deep and 45.6% overall. P.J. Washington contributed 16 points and 11 rebounds, while Daniel Gafford added 14 points.

The Mavericks put on a defensive clinic against the Jazz, holding them to just 94 points on 35% shooting. Dallas gave up 22 points in the 1st quarter and 27 in both the 2nd and 3rd, but they really clamped down in the 4th, allowing only 18 points to secure the win.

Dallas was especially effective at defending the three, limiting Utah to 9 made threes on 23% shooting. The Mavericks also came up with 12 steals and 6 blocks in the game.

• When looking at their past three road matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 117 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
• In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 6-4 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
• Over their last three games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 3-0 vs. the spread.

The Trail Blazers Can Win If…

Portland improved to 8-12 on the season with a 115-106 win over the Kings on Friday. The Blazers, who were +7 point underdogs, not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread. The combined score of 221 points fell just under the O/U line of 225.

After trailing 30-25 at the end of the 1st quarter, Portland took control by outscoring Sacramento 29-20 in the 2nd quarter and 33-22 in the 3rd. They entered the 4th with an 87-72 lead, and despite being outscored 34-28 in the final period, they held on for the win.

Deandre Ayton led the Trail Blazers to a win over the Kings, scoring 26 points and grabbing 9 rebounds, shooting 57.9% from the field. Anfernee Simons added 21 points and 9 assists, hitting 3 threes at 37.5%, while Deni Avdija contributed 20 points, making 4 threes at 44.4%.

Portland shot 51.1% from the field, though they struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 29.7% of their threes, making 11 in total. Simons scored 12 points in the 4th quarter, while Avdija added 11 in the 3rd, and Shaedon Sharpe contributed 8 of his 14 points in the final period.

Despite a rough 4th quarter, the Trail Blazers held the Kings to 106 points, thanks to strong defensive efforts in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, where they allowed just 20 and 22 points, respectively. Portland’s defense gave up 15 threes on 35% shooting from deep.

The Blazers sent the Kings to the line 28 times, where they hit 21 free throws. Portland grabbed 32 defensive rebounds while allowing 11 offensive boards. They also recorded 10 steals and 3 blocks.

• When looking at their past three home matchups, Portland has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 105 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
• The last ten games that Portland was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 5-5 straight up.
• In their last five games, the Trail Blazers have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

The Trail Blazers come in as the underdog at +7, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 228.5, and our model predicts the Mavericks and Trail Blazers to score a combined 248 points. We recommend betting on the over.

Mavericks Look to Continue Dominance Without Luka Doncic

The Dallas Mavericks are enjoying their best stretch of the season, despite missing superstar Luka Doncic for the sixth straight game due to a wrist sprain. As they prepare to face the Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday night, Dallas will aim to secure its eighth win in nine games.

Doncic’s absence, coupled with teammate Klay Thompson (foot) likely missing his fourth consecutive game, hasn’t slowed the Mavericks. Kyrie Irving has stepped into the spotlight, delivering stellar performances. Irving notched 30 points, nine assists, and four steals in Saturday’s 106-94 victory over the Utah Jazz. He also tied his season high with six three-pointers, showcasing his versatility and leadership.

Quentin Grimes Steps Up Big

In addition to Irving, Quentin Grimes continues to shine. Grimes contributed five three-pointers and a season-high 24 points against the Jazz, marking his second consecutive 20-point game. His hot streak comes after his 21-point performance in Wednesday’s 129-114 win over the New York Knicks.

Mavericks coach Jason Kidd praised Irving’s ability to manage the game.

“The way he goes about the game, understanding when it’s time to go and when it’s time for others to go — he does a really good job of pushing the others to score,” Kidd said.

The Mavericks initially built a commanding 40-22 first-quarter lead against Utah but faced challenges in the second quarter, managing only 16 points. Despite this, they held on to secure the victory, a testament to Irving’s steady hand and the team’s resilience.

Trail Blazers Seek Consistency

On the other side, the Portland Trail Blazers are looking to build momentum following a 115-106 home win over the Sacramento Kings. This victory snapped a streak of four losses in five games.

Deandre Ayton was instrumental, posting a season-high 26 points and nine rebounds. His dominance in the paint was complemented by strong showings from Anfernee Simons (21 points, nine assists), Deni Avdija (20 points, nine rebounds), and Dalano Banton, who added 17 points and a career-high five steals.

Banton emphasized the importance of the NBA Cup, saying,

“It brings a whole different aspect to the game with the different court and the energy that it brings. … We really do want to qualify for the next round.”

Key Matchups and Injuries

The Trail Blazers face uncertainty with forward Jerami Grant (knee) and point guard Scoot Henderson (quadriceps) both listed as questionable. Their absence could challenge Portland’s ability to sustain offensive pressure.

For the Mavericks, Irving will likely bear the brunt of the playmaking responsibilities again, with Doncic and Thompson sidelined. However, Irving’s recent form gives Dallas a strong chance to extend their dominance over Portland, having won 10 of the last 12 matchups.

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Can the Mavericks Stay Hot Without Doncic?

Sunday’s game is pivotal for both teams. The Mavericks aim to sustain their impressive run and hold firm in the Western Conference standings. Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers are eyeing consistency and a spot in the next round of the NBA Cup.

Dallas holds a psychological edge, having swept Portland last season. But with both teams boasting stars capable of game-changing performances, this clash promises to be an entertaining battle of wills and strategies.