Portland Trail Blazers vs Indiana Pacers Picks and Predictions February 4th 2025

Portland Trail Blazers vs Indiana Pacers February 4th 2025

At 10:00 ET, the Pacers (-205) will travel to the Moda Center to take on the Trail Blazers (+172) in a non-conference matchup. The Pacers are currently favored by 5.5 and have won four straight games.

Indiana (28-20) is fourth in the Eastern Conference, while Portland (21-29) is 13th in the West. The over/under line for this game is 234 points.

Pacers vs. Trail Blazers Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Indiana Pacers at Portland Trail Blazers
• Where: Portland at Moda Center
• Date: Tuesday, February 4th
• Betting Odds IND -5.5, IND -205 | POR +172 O/U 234

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The Pacers Can Win If…

Indiana improved to 28-20 with a 112-111 win over the Jazz on Monday. The Pacers were favored by 6.5 points but didn’t cover the spread, and the total score of 223 points fell short of the 243-point over/under line.

After Utah went on a 17-0 run early, Indiana fought back, outscoring the Jazz 33-29 in the 2nd quarter. Trailing 88-83 going into the 4th, the Pacers closed strong, winning the final quarter 29-23 to secure the victory.

In their win over the Jazz, the Pacers shot 47.3% from the field and struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 23.8% of their threes, with 10 made triples. Pascal Siakam led the way with 22 points and 6 rebounds, shooting 57.1% from the field, while Tyrese Haliburton added 18 points, connecting on 3 threes at 30% efficiency.

Siakam delivered 10 points in the 4th quarter, and Aaron Nesmith also stepped up late, scoring 6 of his 13 points in the final period. Haliburton contributed 8 points in the 3rd quarter, and Obi Toppin finished with 13 points, including 5 in the opening quarter.

Despite a slow start, the Pacers tightened up their defense in the 4th quarter, allowing just 23 points to secure a 112-111 win over the Jazz. Overall, they held Utah to 42% shooting from the field.

Indiana also limited the Jazz from deep, giving up 13 threes on 35% shooting. The Pacers sent Utah to the line 30 times, where they made 20 free throws. Defensively, Indiana came up with 13 steals and 10 blocks.

• When looking at their past three road matchups, Indiana has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 119 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
• Although the Pacers have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 2-3.
• Over their last three games, the Pacers have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Trail Blazers Can Win If…

Portland improved to 21-29 on the season with a 121-119 win over the Suns on Monday. The Trail Blazers were +5.5 point underdogs heading into the game but managed to pull off the upset at home. The total score of 240 points exceeded the pre-game over/under line of 228.5 by 11.5 points.

Portland fell behind after an 11-0 run by the Suns, but they responded by outscoring Phoenix 37-25 in the 3rd quarter. They entered the 4th quarter with an 86-80 lead and held on for the win, despite being outscored 27-21 in the final period.

Deandre Ayton’s 9 points in overtime helped the Trail Blazers edge the Suns, finishing with 25 points and 20 rebounds. Deni Avdija contributed 24 points, scoring 11 in the opening quarter, while Toumani Camara added 17 points, hitting 5 threes at a 71.4% rate.

Portland connected on 16 threes, shooting 40% from deep and 44.9% overall. Camara made 5 threes, and Avdija added 3, shooting 50% from beyond the arc.

Despite giving up 31 points in the 1st quarter, the Trail Blazers tightened up defensively in the 2nd and 3rd, allowing just 24 and 25 points, respectively, to help secure the win. Portland gave up 27 points in the 4th but held on for the victory, even while allowing the Suns to shoot 47% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Trail Blazers held the Suns to 15 made threes on 35% shooting. Portland also sent Phoenix to the line 28 times, where they made 24 free throws. The Blazers finished with 34 defensive rebounds, allowing 10 offensive boards, and recorded 6 steals and 2 blocks.

• In their last ten games at home, the Trail Blazers have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 7-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 107 points per game in this stretch.
• The Trail Blazers have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 4-1 straight up and 5-0 against the spread.
• In their last three games, the Trail Blazers have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 3-0 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +5.5, the Trail Blazers is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 234 and our model has the Pacers and Trail Blazers finishing with a combined 253 points. Our pick is to take the over.

Daily NBA Picks & Predictions

Pacers Aim for Seventh Straight Road Win Against Red-Hot Trail Blazers

The Indiana Pacers are on the brink of tying a franchise record for consecutive road victories, but their next challenge may be their toughest yet. To match their seven-game road winning streak from the 2003-04 season, they must overcome not only a surging Portland Trail Blazers squad but also their own history of struggles in Portland.

Pacers’ Road Woes in Portland

Indiana has historically struggled when visiting the Trail Blazers, losing 14 of their last 15 trips to Portland. Their only win in that span came on Jan. 14, 2021, in an empty arena due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The last time they secured a victory in front of Trail Blazers fans? November 28, 2007—more than 16 years ago.

However, the Pacers enter this game in top form, riding a four-game winning streak and having won 12 of their last 14 contests. Their recent success is fueled by resilience, as demonstrated in their 112-111 comeback win over the Utah Jazz on Monday.

Indiana’s Stunning Comeback Over Utah

Trailing by 12 midway through the fourth quarter, the Pacers stormed back with a 14-1 run, overcoming poor shooting (10-of-42 from three-point range) and a massive rebounding deficit (60-37).

“It’s one of the best wins of the year considering the circumstances and how we shot the ball,” head coach Rick Carlisle said.

Star guard Tyrese Haliburton emphasized the team’s growth:
“In past years, if we don’t make shots, we get blown out. This time, we found a way to win.”

Forward Pascal Siakam played a pivotal role, scoring 10 of his 22 points in the final quarter, including a crucial dunk with 5.1 seconds left to secure the victory.

Portland’s Resurgence: A New Threat

While Indiana is on a hot streak, Portland has been one of the NBA’s most improved teams over the past two weeks. After sitting 15 games below .500, the Trail Blazers have won eight of their last nine, including five victories by double-digit margins.

Most recently, they pulled off a 121-119 overtime win over the Phoenix Suns, completing a two-game sweep of a star-studded Suns squad featuring Kevin Durant and Devin Booker.

Deandre Ayton’s Dominance for Portland

No player has been more instrumental in Portland’s resurgence than Deandre Ayton. The former No. 1 overall pick has turned in five straight 20+ point performances, including a dominant showing against Phoenix, where he tallied:

• 24.5 points per game over the two-game series
• A season-high 20 rebounds on Monday, including nine offensive boards
• Clutch free throws (5-of-6 in the final seconds of overtime)

Portland head coach Chauncey Billups was full of praise:
“I think this might have been D.A.’s best all-around game. He did everything, and he sealed it with clutch free throws.”

Key Matchup: Indiana’s Offense vs. Portland’s Defense

The Pacers, one of the league’s fastest-paced offensive teams, will need to find ways to break through Portland’s improved defensive intensity. They managed a 121-114 win over the Trail Blazers on Nov. 27, with Siakam leading the charge with 29 points. Portland’s Anfernee Simons scored 30 in that game and remains a key scoring threat.

X-Factor: Myles Turner’s Status

Indiana center Myles Turner (ankle) sat out against Utah and is listed as questionable for the Portland matchup. His availability could be a major factor, as Indiana was badly outrebounded in their last game and will have to deal with Ayton’s dominance inside.

Can the Pacers Overcome Their Portland Struggles?

Indiana is playing some of its best basketball of the season, but Portland’s red-hot form and Indiana’s history of struggles in this matchup add layers of difficulty. If the Pacers can execute in crunch time like they did against Utah, they could finally break their 16-year drought of road wins in front of Blazers fans—and tie a franchise record in the process.

Key Storylines to Watch

✔ Indiana’s attempt to tie a franchise-best seven-game road winning streak
✔ Can the Pacers win in Portland for the first time in front of fans since 2007?
✔ How will Indiana handle Deandre Ayton’s rebounding and interior presence?
✔ Will Myles Turner be available to strengthen Indiana’s defense?

With both teams red-hot, this matchup is shaping up to be one of the most intriguing of the night.