Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks and Predictions March 19th 2025

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies March 19th 2025

The Trail Blazers will host the Grizzlies at the Moda Center in Portland tonight at 10:00 ET. Portland is currently a 4.5-point underdog and has won two straight games. The Grizzlies are favored by 4.5 points and have a record of 43-26, which is good for 5th in the Western Conference. The over/under line for this game is 235.5 points.

This Western Conference matchup will be televised on KATU. The Grizzlies are -184 on the moneyline, while the Blazers are +154. Memphis is 2nd in the Southwest Division, while Portland is 4th in the Northwest Division.

Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers
• Where: Portland at Moda Center
• Date: Wednesday, March 19th
• Betting Odds MEM -4.5, MEM -184 | POR +154 O/U 235.5

The Grizzlies Can Win If…

The Grizzlies fell to 43-26 on the season after a 132-122 road loss to the Kings on Monday. Memphis entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs but couldn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 254, exceeding the over/under line of 237.5 by 16.5 points.

A 10-0 run by the Kings early on put Memphis in a hole, as they trailed 37-26 after the 1st quarter. The Grizzlies played the Kings evenly in the 2nd quarter and were outscored by just one point in the 3rd. Heading into the 4th quarter down 98-86, Memphis outscored Sacramento 36-34 in the final period but couldn’t complete the comeback.

Desmond Bane was on fire from deep, hitting 7 threes without a miss and finishing with 44 points and 6 rebounds in the Grizzlies’ loss to the Kings. He shot 60% from the field and poured in 20 points in the 3rd quarter, adding another 10 in the 4th.

Memphis hit 13 threes at a 43.3% clip, with an overall shooting percentage of 48.9%. Brandon Clarke contributed 15 points, 9 of which came in the final period, while Jaylen Wells added 14 points, including 8 in the 4th quarter.

The Grizzlies struggled defensively against the Kings, giving up 132 points on 52% shooting. Memphis allowed 37 points in the 1st quarter and 34 in the 4th, despite a better 2nd quarter where they gave up 28 points.

From beyond the arc, the Kings hit 20 threes at a 48% clip. The Grizzlies sent the Kings to the line 30 times, where they made 20 free throws. Memphis recorded 8 steals and 7 blocks in the game.

• Through their last ten road games, Memphis has an ATS record of just 4-5-1. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 119 points per game.
• In their last three contests as the favorite, Memphis has a poor record vs the spread going 1-2. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-0.
• Over their last three games, the Grizzlies have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Trail Blazers Can Win If…

With a 112-97 win over the Wizards on Monday, the Trail Blazers improved to 30-39 for the season. Playing at home, Portland was favored by 6.5 points and covered the spread with a 15-point victory. The total points for the game were 209, falling well short of the 231-point line.

A key moment came when the Blazers went on a 13-0 run, stretching their lead from 46-43 to 59-43. They continued to build on this, outscoring the Wizards 30-21 in the 3rd quarter. Despite being outscored 27-23 in the 4th, Portland’s lead was too much for Washington to overcome.

Anfernee Simons led the Trail Blazers to a win over the Wizards, scoring 30 points and hitting 5 threes at 45.5% efficiency. He shot 58.8% from the field overall. Shaedon Sharpe added 16 points, and Duop Reath contributed 15 points, connecting on 3 threes at 50% from deep.

Portland made 15 threes as a team, shooting 32.6% from beyond the arc and 42.4% overall. Simons scored 10 points in the 2nd quarter and added 7 more in both the 3rd and 4th quarters.

The Trail Blazers put together a strong defensive performance on Monday, holding the Wizards to just 97 points. Portland gave up 24 points in the 1st quarter, 25 in the 2nd, and just 21 in the 3rd before allowing 27 in the final period. Overall, the Wizards shot 41% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Trail Blazers limited Washington to 12 made threes on 30% shooting. The Wizards also went 9/12 from the free-throw line. Portland finished with 36 defensive rebounds, allowed 11 offensive boards, and recorded 15 steals.

• Across the Trail Blazers last three home games, the team averaged 109 points per game while allowing 121. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 0-3 straight-up.
• In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Trail Blazers have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
• In their last three games, the Trail Blazers have an over/under record of 0-3 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Our bet is on the Grizzlies for a win, and we project the score to be 136-116. Additionally, we expect them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to wager on the Grizzlies with the spread at -4.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 235.5 and given that our model is projecting 252 points between the teams, we like the over.

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Grizzlies Look to Lean on Desmond Bane vs. Trail Blazers

The Memphis Grizzlies will once again be without star point guard Ja Morant when they visit the Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday night. With Morant sidelined, Desmond Bane will look to carry the offensive load once more.

Bane Steps Up in Morant’s Absence

Morant will miss his third straight game due to a left hamstring injury after previously being sidelined with a right shoulder issue. His absence has put the scoring burden on Bane, who delivered a stellar performance in Monday’s 132-122 loss to the Sacramento Kings.

Bane erupted for a season-high 44 points, hitting all seven of his three-point attempts and going 15-for-25 from the field. He came just five points shy of matching his career-high 49-point outing from December 2023.

“We don’t try to put too much of a magnifying glass on any one result. A win isn’t going to dictate everything, a loss isn’t going to dictate everything. We have to think about the whole 48 minutes and how our process looks like.” — Taylor Jenkins

Memphis (43-26) had won five of its last six games before falling to Sacramento. The Grizzlies remain in a tight race for playoff seeding, currently tied for fourth place in the Western Conference with the Los Angeles Lakers and just one game behind both the Houston Rockets and Denver Nuggets for the second seed. Those looking at NBA expert picks should keep an eye on how Memphis navigates this crucial stretch.

Trail Blazers Fighting to Stay in Playoff Hunt

Portland (30-39) is coming off a 112-97 victory over the Washington Wizards on Monday, marking their second consecutive win. Anfernee Simons led the way with 30 points, his fifth 30-point performance this month.

“We played well. We got up, we sustained it and we were able to pull away.” — Anfernee Simons

Despite their recent success, the Trail Blazers remain three games behind the 10th-place Dallas Mavericks for the final playoff spot in the West. With matchups against Denver, Boston, and Cleveland looming, every game carries added urgency.

Portland has also welcomed back Matisse Thybulle, who has made an immediate defensive impact after returning from knee surgery and an ankle injury. In just two games, Thybulle has recorded seven steals, reminding opponents why he is considered an elite perimeter defender.

“It was regular ‘Tisse. He’s all over the place. He’s trying to get his feet under him. It’s been a long time since he played.” — Chauncey Billups

Jerami Grant (knee) is listed as doubtful, while forward Toumani Camara (calf) is questionable for Wednesday’s contest. Portland’s playoff hopes hinge on getting healthy and stringing together wins, making this matchup an important one for those following NBA betting predictions.

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Matchup Outlook

Memphis dominated the first two meetings between these teams in November, winning 134-89 in Portland and 123-98 at home. Wednesday’s game marks their final meeting of the regular season.

With Morant out, the Grizzlies will once again look to Bane to lead the charge. Meanwhile, Portland will rely on Simons and their improving defense to keep their postseason hopes alive. Those analyzing the latest NBA predictions will want to monitor the injury updates and how each team adjusts.