Portland Trail Blazers vs Washington-wizards Picks and Predictions March 17th 2025

Portland Trail Blazers vs Washington-Wizards March 17th 2025

At 10:00 ET, the Portland Trail Blazers (-200) will host the Washington Wizards (+168) at the Moda Center. The Blazers are favored by 5.5 points and the over/under line is set at 230.5. This non-conference matchup will be televised on KATU.

Portland comes into this game with a record of 29-39 and is 12th in the Western Conference. Washington is 15th in the East and has a record of 15-51. The Wizards have won two straight games.

Wizards vs. Trail Blazers Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Washington Wizards at Portland Trail Blazers
• Where: Portland at Moda Center
• Date: Monday, March 17th
• Betting Odds POR -5.5, WAS +168 | POR -200 O/U 230.5

The Wizards Can Win If…

On Saturday, the Wizards improved to 15-51 with a 126-123 win over the Nuggets. Washington, who entered the game as +12 point underdogs, not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread. The total points for the game reached 249, surpassing the pre-game O/U line of 241.

After a rough start, falling behind 44-30 in the 1st quarter, the Wizards turned things around by winning each of the next three quarters. They went on an 11-0 run, extending their lead from 95-90 to 106-90, which proved to be the difference in the game.

In their win over the Nuggets, the Wizards connected on 19 threes, shooting 42.2% from deep and 48.4% overall. Alexandre Sarr led the way with 34 points, hitting 5 threes at a 55.6% clip.

Jordan Poole and Kyshawn George each added 19 points, with Poole scoring 14 in the 4th quarter. George also made 4 threes, shooting 50% from beyond the arc.

Despite a rough start, giving up 44 points in the 1st quarter, the Wizards tightened up defensively, allowing just 28 points in the 2nd and 4th quarters and 23 in the 3rd, helping them secure a 126-123 win over the Nuggets. Washington’s defense sent Denver to the line 17 times, where they made 15 free throws.

The Wizards allowed the Nuggets to shoot 50% from the field, including 35% from three, with Denver hitting 12 threes. Washington finished with 31 defensive rebounds, giving up 10 offensive boards, while also recording 11 steals and 4 blocks.

• When looking at their past ten road matchups, Washington has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 111 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
• In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Wizards have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
• Over their last three games, the Wizards have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

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The Trail Blazers Can Win If…

The Trail Blazers improved to 29-39 on the season with a 105-102 win over the Raptors on Sunday. Portland was favored by 7.5 points but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total of 207 points fell well short of the 227.5-point line.

Portland overcame a slow start, as the Raptors went on a 13-0 run early. The Blazers responded by outscoring Toronto 33-25 in the 2nd quarter. After falling behind 82-77 heading into the 4th, Portland rallied by holding the Raptors to 20 points in the final period while scoring 28 of their own.

In their win over the Raptors, the Trail Blazers hit 18 threes at a 36% clip, with an overall shooting percentage of 40.9%. Anfernee Simons led the way with 22 points, knocking down 6 threes at 50% efficiency.

Toumani Camara added 21 points and 7 rebounds, also hitting 5 threes at 50%. Simons scored 12 points in the 4th quarter, while Camara added 8 in the final period.

Defensively, the Trail Blazers held the Raptors to 102 points on Sunday, including a strong 4th quarter where they allowed just 20 points. Overall, Portland limited Toronto to 40% shooting from the field.

The Blazers also did well defending the three, with the Raptors hitting 10 threes at a 32% clip. Portland finished with 10 steals and 7 blocks in the game.

• Portland has a 1-4 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 115 points per game while allowing 120. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
• Through their last three games as the favorite, the Trail Blazers have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.
• In their last five games, the Trail Blazers have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.

The Lean

For a pick on the point-spread in this Trail Blazers vs. Wizards matchup, our bet is to grab the Wizards at +5.5. Even though our projections have the Trail Blazers winning 96-95, we see the Wizards as the play on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 230.5 and given that our model is projecting 191 points between the teams, we like the under.

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Wizards Riding Momentum Into Clash With Blazers

The Washington Wizards have endured a tough season, but they’re showing signs of promise down the stretch. Fresh off a 126-123 victory over the Denver Nuggets, the Wizards (15-51) look to continue their strong play when they visit the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday night.

Saturday’s win over Denver was more than just another victory. Jordan Poole hit a 35-foot game-winning three-pointer with 1.8 seconds left, securing Washington’s sixth win in its past 10 games.

“Being a young team, I think it’s just really good for us,” Poole said. “It was big for us, and I feel a lot of our players grew up (Saturday night). Those are the things that set us up for next year, trying to make playoff runs.”

Rookie sensation Alex Sarr, the No. 2 overall pick, had a career-high 34 points, six rebounds, and five assists, showing why he’s a future star. Going head-to-head with three-time NBA MVP Nikola Jokić, Sarr proved he can hold his own against elite competition.

Wizards Wrap Up Road Trip Looking for Another Win

Washington is now 3-2 on its seven-game road trip, which ends Wednesday against the Utah Jazz.

Before shocking the Western Conference-leading Nuggets, the Wizards also beat the Detroit Pistons 129-125 in another high-scoring contest.

Rookie Bub Carrington celebrated the victory against Denver as a defining moment.

“That was a joyous moment, obviously,” Carrington said. “Alex went off, but it felt like a really good win for all of us.”

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Blazers Still Clinging to Western Conference Playoff Hopes

The Blazers (29-39) are not out of the NBA Championship chase just yet. They snapped a five-game losing streak on Sunday with a 105-102 victory over the Toronto Raptors, keeping their Western Conference play-in hopes alive.

Although Portland is 3.5 games out of the final play-in spot, teams ahead of them have been struggling. The Sacramento Kings have lost four straight, while the Dallas Mavericks have dropped three in a row. Even the Phoenix Suns, currently 11th in the Western Conference, are just two games ahead of the Blazers.

“We’re still watching the standings,” Anfernee Simons said. “We know it’s a tough road ahead. We’ve got to hope (other teams) lose, we got to keep winning.”

Simons, Camara, and Portland’s Late-Game Growth

Simons led Portland with 22 points, including 12 in the fourth quarter, as the Blazers erased a 16-point deficit against Toronto.

Toumani Camara was also a difference-maker, scoring 21 points and tying his career-high with five three-pointers.

Head coach Chauncey Billups praised his team’s ability to learn from past mistakes.

“The thing that stood out to me was the growth that we showed at the end of the game,” Billups said. “I was proud of our guys for it.”

Key Matchups to Watch

Jordan Poole vs. Anfernee Simons

Both guards are NBA Scoring Leader-caliber players when they’re on. Poole hit the game-winner against Denver, while Simons has been the Blazers’ most reliable scorer in recent weeks.

Alex Sarr vs. Portland’s Frontcourt

Sarr dominated against NBA MVP contender Nikola Jokić and will now face a Blazers frontcourt that lacks a true defensive anchor. Can he replicate his breakout performance?

Blazers’ Three-Point Shooting

With Simons and Camara hitting a combined 11 threes last game, Portland’s ability to stretch the floor could be a major factor.

Previous Meeting Recap

The Blazers defeated the Wizards 129-121 in Washington on February 26. Shaedon Sharpe had a career-high 36 points, while Poole led the Wizards with 24 points.

With both teams now in must-win mode, this rematch could have serious implications for NBA Summer League development and draft positioning.

What’s at Stake?

For the Wizards, their recent success in the Eastern Conference is building confidence for the future. Their young core, led by Poole and Sarr, is beginning to show its potential.

For the Blazers, every game is a chance to climb back into the Western Conference playoff picture.

With both teams riding the momentum of big weekend wins, who will take control in Portland?