Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks Picks and Predictions March 22nd 2025

Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks March 22nd 2025

At 10:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings (-121) will host the Milwaukee Bucks (+101) in a non-conference matchup. The Kings are currently favored by 1 point, and the over/under line is set at 227.5.

This game will be played at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento and can be seen on NBCS. The Bucks are 5th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 39-30, while the Kings are 9th in the West at 35-34.

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Bucks vs. Kings Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Milwaukee Bucks at Sacramento Kings
• Where: Sacramento at Golden 1 Center
• Date: Saturday, March 22nd
• Betting Odds SAC -1, MIL +101 | SAC -121 O/U 227.5

The Bucks Can Win If…

The Bucks improved to 39-30 this season with a dominant 118-89 win over the Lakers on Thursday. Milwaukee, favored by -8.5, covered the spread with ease, winning by 29 points. The total score of 207 points fell short of the 217-point over/under line.

A key moment in the game came when the Bucks went on a 16-0 run, turning a 17-14 lead into a 30-17 advantage. After the Lakers won the 2nd quarter 27-23, the Bucks responded by outscoring them 34-23 in the 3rd and 27-20 in the 4th.

Giannis Antetokounmpo led the Bucks with 28 points and 7 rebounds in their 118-89 win over the Lakers, shooting 60% from the field. Gary Trent Jr. also shot 60%, hitting 6 threes at a 60% clip, finishing with 23 points.

Kyle Kuzma added 20 points, shooting 56.2%. The Bucks hit 11 threes, shooting 31.4% from deep, and finished with an overall field goal percentage of 47.6%.

The Bucks put on a defensive clinic against the Lakers, holding them to just 89 points. Milwaukee’s defense was consistent throughout, giving up 19 points in the 1st quarter and 20 in the 4th. The Lakers shot 41% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Bucks limited the Lakers to 11 threes on 34% shooting. Milwaukee also sent the Lakers to the line 16 times, where they made 10 free throws. The Bucks finished with 12 steals and 4 blocks.

• In their last five road games, Milwaukee has averaged 116 points per game while allowing 109 . The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Bucks have gone 4-5-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 4-6.
• Over their last three games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 0-3 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Kings Can Win If…

The Kings dropped to 35-34 on the season after a 128-116 loss to the Bulls on Thursday. Sacramento, who were -7.5 point favorites, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 244.5 exceeded the O/U line of 236.5 by 7.5 points.

After leading 39-28 after the 1st quarter, the Kings were outscored in each of the remaining quarters. A key moment came when the Bulls went on an 11-0 run, stretching the score from 80-78 to 91-78. Sacramento couldn’t recover, as Chicago outscored them 36-27 in the 4th quarter.

Malik Monk’s 34-point performance, including 5 threes at 50% shooting, led the Kings in their 128-116 loss to the Bulls. He shot 63.2% from the field, scoring 15 points in the 1st quarter and adding 8 more in the 4th.

Trey Lyles contributed 22 points, hitting 4 threes at 57.1%, while DeMar DeRozan also added 22 points. The Kings made 15 threes, shooting 38.5% from deep and 47.7% overall.

Defensively, the Kings held the Bulls to 28 points in the 1st quarter and 27 in the 2nd, but they gave up 37 points in the 3rd and 36 in the 4th, leading to a 128-116 loss. Sacramento allowed Chicago to shoot 52% from the field.

The Bulls hit 15 threes, shooting 42% from beyond the arc. The Kings sent Chicago to the line 26 times, where they made 23 free throws. Sacramento finished with 27 defensive rebounds, allowing 12 offensive boards, while recording 4 steals and 5 blocks.

• Through their last ten home contests, the Kings offense has averaged 116 points per game while allowing an average of 116. Sacramento posted an overall record of 5-5 while going 6-4 ATS.
• Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Sacramento has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 8-2 straight up.
• In their last five games, the Kings have an over/under record of 5-0 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Kings to secure the win, with an expected final score of 123-104. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -1.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 227.5, and our model projects the Bucks and Kings to reach a combined total of 227 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

Bucks Look to Stay Hot, Solidify Playoff Spot vs. Kings

The Milwaukee Bucks aim to build momentum on their West Coast swing as they face the Sacramento Kings on Saturday in a pivotal cross-conference matchup.

Milwaukee Focusing on Playoff Positioning

The Bucks (39-30) currently sit fifth in the Eastern Conference and are looking to climb the standings during their five-game road trip. After a lackluster showing against Golden State to begin the swing, Milwaukee bounced back with a dominant 118-89 win over a depleted Los Angeles Lakers squad on Thursday.

Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 28 points, and Gary Trent Jr. added 23. The Bucks capitalized on the Lakers’ shorthanded roster and tightened up defensively after allowing 104 points in their previous outing. A bright spot came from young guard Ryan Rollins, who contributed energy and defensive intensity off the bench with 10 points, five rebounds, and three steals.

Milwaukee continues to monitor star guard Damian Lillard, who missed Thursday’s game with a right calf injury and remains questionable for Saturday. The Bucks are 15-18 on the road this season but have won their last three matchups against Sacramento, including a 130-115 win at home in January when Antetokounmpo scored 33 points.

Kings Begin Tough Stretch at Home

The Kings (35-34), ninth in the Western Conference, began their seven-game homestand with two straight wins before falling flat Thursday in a 128-116 loss to the Chicago Bulls. Sacramento allowed the Bulls to shoot over 52 percent from the floor and gave up 60 points in the paint without center Domantas Sabonis, who is out with a right ankle sprain and will be reevaluated next week.

Malik Monk continued his strong play with 34 points, while DeMar DeRozan chipped in 22 and reached a career milestone by becoming the 27th player in NBA history to score 25,000 points. Despite the individual accomplishments, head coach Doug Christie was openly frustrated with the team’s defensive effort, citing a lack of urgency and energy on their home floor.

Sacramento will need to improve quickly, as they face the Celtics and Thunder in their next two games. The Kings are 20-14 at home this season but have been inconsistent defensively without their All-Star big man anchoring the paint.

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Matchup Outlook

Milwaukee has an opportunity to sweep the season series and maintain pace in the East playoff picture. Sacramento, meanwhile, is clinging to a play-in position and can’t afford to drop another home game with tough opponents on deck. The health status of Lillard and Sabonis could shift the dynamic, but the focus will be on whether the Kings can match Milwaukee’s physicality inside.

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