San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Picks and Predictions March 10th 2025

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks March 10th 2025

At 8:30 ET, the Dallas Mavericks (32-33) will travel to San Antonio to take on the Spurs (26-36) in a Western Southwest division matchup. San Antonio (-255) is favored by 6.5 points over Dallas (+209). The over/under line is set at 229.

This game will be played at Frost Bank Center and can be seen on KENS.

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Mavericks vs. Spurs Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs
• Where: San Antonio at Frost Bank Center
• Date: Monday, March 10th
• Betting Odds SA -6.5, DAL +209 | SA -255 O/U 229

The Mavericks Can Win If…

The Mavericks fell to 32-33 on the season after a 125-116 home loss to the Suns on Sunday. Dallas entered the game as +6.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 241 points exceeded the O/U line of 229.5 by 11.5 points.

A key moment came when Phoenix went on a 13-0 run, turning a 26-24 lead into a 37-26 advantage. Dallas battled back, winning the 2nd and 4th quarters 30-28, but a 37-32 3rd quarter for the Suns left the Mavericks trailing 97-86 heading into the final period.

Naji Marshall led the Mavericks with 34 points, 10 assists, and 9 rebounds, shooting 59.1% from the field and hitting 3 threes at 42.9% in their loss to the Suns. Klay Thompson added 26 points, connecting on 5 threes despite shooting 35.7% from deep and 40% overall.

Dallas made 17 threes as a team, shooting 40.5% from beyond the arc and 48.9% overall. Marshall scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter, while Thompson added 12 in the 4th. Dante Exum also contributed 10 of his 12 points in the final period.

The Mavericks gave up 125 points to the Suns, allowing 37 in the 3rd quarter. They held Phoenix to 28 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters.

Dallas limited the Suns to 10 threes on 35% shooting. Phoenix went 17/18 from the line. The Mavericks finished with 27 defensive rebounds, 8 steals, and 2 blocks.

• When looking at their past ten road matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 4-5-1 while averaging 111 per game. The team went 3-7 overall in these games.
• As the betting underdog, the Mavericks have an ATS mark of just 0-3 in their last three games. Dallas posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
• Over their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 0-5 vs. the spread.

The Spurs Can Win If…

The Spurs fell to 26-36 on the season after a 141-124 road loss to the Timberwolves on Sunday. San Antonio entered the game as +11 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points of 265 exceeded the O/U line of 232.5 by 32.5 points.

San Antonio trailed 37-29 after the 1st quarter and played the 2nd quarter to a 31-31 draw. The Timberwolves pulled away in the 3rd, outscoring the Spurs 41-34, and San Antonio couldn’t mount a comeback in the 4th, losing the quarter 32-30.

De’Aaron Fox led the Spurs with 22 points and 4 made threes, shooting 66.7% from the field in their loss to the Timberwolves. Stephon Castle added 20 points, with 8 coming in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters.

San Antonio shot 55.3% from the field, but made just 11 threes at a 36.7% clip. Devin Vassell and Keldon Johnson each contributed 13 points, with Vassell scoring 7 in the opening quarter.

The Spurs struggled defensively against the Timberwolves, giving up 141 points on 55% shooting. San Antonio allowed 37 points in the 1st quarter and 41 in the 3rd, with Minnesota scoring at least 31 points in every period.

From beyond the arc, the Timberwolves hit 21 threes at a 50% clip. The Spurs sent Minnesota to the line 15 times, where they made 14 free throws. San Antonio recorded 25 defensive rebounds, 8 steals, and 3 blocks.

• Across the Spurs last three home games, the team averaged 121 points per game while allowing 132. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
• Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Spurs have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-2.
• In their last five games, the Spurs have an over/under record of 2-2-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

We’re calling a win for the Spurs, with a final score of 116-81, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Spurs at -6.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 229 and given that our model is projecting 197 points between the teams, we like the under.

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Reeling Mavericks Aim to Halt Slide in Meeting vs. Spurs

Even though they’ve already faced off twice this season, there won’t be much familiarity when the San Antonio Spurs host the Dallas Mavericks on Monday night. A lot has changed since their early-season meetings, and the teams will play twice in three nights.

Mavericks Struggling Amid Injury Crisis

Dallas enters the contest in the midst of a five-game losing streak, coming off a 125-116 home loss to the Phoenix Suns on Sunday afternoon. The team was forced to play with just nine available players due to a slew of injuries and salary cap restrictions, and things aren’t looking much better for Monday.

The Mavericks are without star guards Luka Doncic (traded to the Los Angeles Lakers) and Kyrie Irving (out for the season with a knee injury). Guard Brandon Williams also suffered a hamstring injury on Sunday and is unlikely to play, leaving Dallas shorthanded yet again.

“Never seen this,” Mavericks coach Jason Kidd said. “Never been in a game where we could not take someone out to rest them because we had no one to put in. It’s tough. It is what it is, though. You’ve got to keep pushing forward.”

Despite the adversity, Dallas remains in 10th place in the Western Conference standings, holding a 1.5-game lead over the Phoenix Suns for the final play-in spot.

Spurs Navigating a Transition Period

San Antonio also played on Sunday, losing 141-124 to the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Spurs are adjusting to changes of their own, with Mitch Johnson serving as interim head coach while Gregg Popovich recovers from a stroke.

The Spurs have also undergone a roster shake-up, acquiring star guard De’Aaron Fox in a trade with the Sacramento Kings. However, they are without rookie sensation Victor Wembanyama, who remains sidelined due to injury.

De’Aaron Fox led the Spurs with 22 points against Minnesota, while rookie Stephon Castle added 20 off the bench. San Antonio has now lost seven of its last 10 games, falling to a season-worst 10 games below .500.

“We just have to be ready to go to work and continue to find moments to participate in our own survival and not have self-inflicted mistakes,” Johnson said.

Dallas won the first two meetings against San Antonio earlier this season, earning an 11-point win on Oct. 24 and a 17-point victory on Nov. 16. With both teams dealing with major absences, Monday’s matchup will test depth and resilience.

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