San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions March 30th 2025

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors March 30th 2025

At 7:00 ET, the San Antonio Spurs will host the Golden State Warriors in a Western Conference matchup. The Spurs come into this game on a three-game losing streak and are currently 13th in the Western Conference. On the other side, the Warriors are 7th in the West and are favored by 12 points.

This game will be played at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio and can be seen on NBCS. The over/under line for the game is currently sitting at 232.5 points.

Warriors vs. Spurs Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs
• Where: San Antonio at Frost Bank Center
• Date: Sunday, March 30th
• Betting Odds GS -12, GS -654 | SA +471 O/U 232.5

The Warriors Can Win If…

The Warriors improved to 42-31 on the season with a 111-95 win over the Pelicans on Friday. Golden State, who were favored by 16 points, pushed the spread with the win. The game’s total points of 206 fell well short of the 226.5 O/U line.

After trailing 28-21 at the end of the 1st quarter, the Warriors outscored the Pelicans 29-25 in the 2nd and 33-29 in the 3rd. Golden State pulled away in the 4th, holding New Orleans to just 13 points while scoring 28 of their own.

In their win over the Pelicans, the Warriors shot just 41.3% from the field and 23.6% from three-point range, hitting 13 threes. Stephen Curry led the way with 23 points, despite shooting 33.3% overall and 31.2% from deep, making 5 threes.

Jimmy Butler contributed 18 points and 10 rebounds, while Jonathan Kuminga added 16 points. Curry scored 13 of his points in the 2nd quarter, and Quinten Post and Buddy Hield each scored 7 points in the 4th quarter.

The Warriors held the Pelicans to just 95 points on Friday, including a dominant 4th quarter where they allowed only 13 points. Golden State limited New Orleans to 40% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Warriors gave up just 7 threes on 30% shooting. They also recorded 10 steals and 1 block in the game.

• In their last ten games away from home, the Warriors have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 5-4-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 114 points per game in these contests.
• Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the Warriors have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-2-1.
• Over their last three games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 0-2-1 vs. the spread.

The Spurs Can Win If…

The Spurs fell to 31-42 on the season after a 121-111 loss to the Celtics on Saturday. San Antonio, playing at home, entered the game as +12.5 point underdogs but managed to keep the game closer than expected. The total points for the game ended at 232, just over the pre-game line of 230.5.

San Antonio got off to a slow start, trailing 36-27 after the 1st quarter. They were down 94-81 heading into the 4th but outscored Boston 30-27 in the final period to narrow the gap.

Keldon Johnson’s efficient 23-point performance on 75% shooting led the Spurs in their 121-111 loss to the Celtics, with Stephon Castle adding 22 points despite shooting 38.9% from the field. Jeremy Sochan contributed 18 points, hitting just 33.3% of his shots.

San Antonio shot 43.7% overall, connecting on 14 threes at a 35% rate. Chris Paul scored 10 of his 12 points in the 4th quarter, while Castle and Sochan each added 6 points in the final period.

The Spurs’ defense gave up 121 points to the Celtics on Saturday, including 36 in the 1st quarter. They tightened up in the 4th, allowing just 27 points. Overall, San Antonio allowed Boston to shoot 47% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Celtics hit 17 threes at a 33% clip. San Antonio sent Boston to the line 18 times, where they made 14 free throws. The Spurs finished with 6 steals and 1 block.

• Through their last ten home games, San Antonio has an ATS record of just 3-7. However, their overall record was 2-8 while averaging 111 points per game.
• Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Spurs have a straight up record of 3-7. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
• In their last five games, the Spurs have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Not only do we have the Warriors winning this one by a score of 125-94, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Warriors at -12.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 232.5, and our model projects the Warriors and Spurs to reach a combined total of 219 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

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Warriors Look to Improve Status in Standings Against Spurs

As the regular season nears its dramatic conclusion, the Golden State Warriors are in full pursuit mode. They’re chasing not just a guaranteed playoff berth, but also a coveted home-court advantage in the first round. Their Sunday clash with the San Antonio Spurs could prove pivotal in that mission.

Golden State Back on Track

The Warriors (42-31) snapped a two-game skid with an emphatic 111-95 road win over the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday night. The victory was even more significant due to the return of Stephen Curry, who had missed the previous two games with a pelvic contusion. Curry not only led the team with 23 points but also reignited Golden State’s rhythm at a critical juncture of their season.

“It’s all about timing,” head coach Steve Kerr said after the game. “Steph’s presence brings calmness and control. We’re rediscovering who we are.”

Jimmy Butler added 18 points and 10 rebounds, while Jonathan Kuminga and Quinten Post chipped in 16 and 15 points respectively. The Warriors dominated the fourth quarter, outscoring the Pelicans by 15 to secure the win.

Golden State currently sits in the 7th spot in the Western Conference, tied in record with the Los Angeles Clippers but disadvantaged in tiebreakers. The team is only 2.5 games back of the No. 4 seed Los Angeles Lakers and remains firmly in the hunt for not just a playoff berth, but home-court advantage in Round 1.

With nine games remaining, every contest carries playoff weight. For up-to-date NBA standings and odds, visit the NBA Odds Section.

Curry’s Resilience Sparks Golden State

Curry’s return, while still hindered by discomfort, is an emotional and strategic boost.

“This injury is similar to the one I had back in Houston in 2021. It’s painful, but manageable,” said Curry. “As long as I avoid another bad fall, I’ll be out there.”

Curry’s presence on the floor doesn’t just improve scoring — it elevates ball movement, spacing, and shot quality for the entire squad. The Warriors’ playoff hopes rest heavily on his shoulders, and his leadership remains indispensable down the stretch.

For NBA betting insights and game previews, head to the NBA Expert Guide.

Spurs Falling Behind in Play-In Race

Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs (31-42) are clinging to postseason hopes. Their 121-111 loss to the Boston Celtics on Saturday marked their third straight defeat and further distanced them from the final play-in position, now 4.5 games behind the 10th-seeded Sacramento Kings.

Despite the loss, the Spurs showed resilience against one of the NBA’s best. Keldon Johnson led the way with 23 points off the bench, and rookie sensation Stephon Castle added 22 — marking his 22nd 20-point game this season.

“No rookie in the league has matched what Castle is doing this year,” acting head coach Mitch Johnson stated. “He’s setting a new standard.”

Castle’s production has far outpaced fellow rookies like Alex Sarr, and his scoring volume speaks to the Spurs’ long-term upside even if the current season ends in disappointment.

Stay updated on all NBA rookies and projections with the NBA Team Stats page.

Head-to-Head & What’s at Stake

Sunday’s game is the second of three meetings between the two teams this season. The Spurs won the first game 104-94 on Nov. 23 in San Antonio. They will meet again in San Francisco on April 9.

For Golden State, a win would tighten the race for a top-six finish, lifting them out of the play-in bracket — a scenario every playoff-caliber team wants to avoid. For San Antonio, it’s a chance to salvage pride and perhaps play spoiler to a conference heavyweight.

Catch the latest betting lines for this matchup on the NBA Picks Page.

Player Spotlight

• Stephen Curry (GSW): 23 PPG in return from injury; catalyst for offense.
• Jimmy Butler (GSW): Veteran consistency with a 10-rebound double-double vs. NOLA.
• Stephon Castle (SAS): 22 games with 20+ points — no rookie comes close.
• Keldon Johnson (SAS): Sparks the second unit with instant scoring.

Final Thoughts

Both teams enter Sunday’s game with drastically different ambitions. The Warriors are ramping up for a potential deep playoff run, while the Spurs are experimenting with rotations and grooming young talent for next year.

But make no mistake: this isn’t a meaningless game. It’s a must-win for Golden State — and a must-prove for San Antonio.

For full game previews, trends, and team analysis, bookmark the NBA Picks and Predictions section at Scores and Stats.