San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings Picks and Predictions November 11th 2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings NBA Mon, Nov 11, 20:00 pm.
San Antonio Spurs
ML: -105
0
0
Sacramento Kings
ML: -115
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At 8:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings (-121) will travel to take on the San Antonio Spurs (+102) in a Western Conference matchup. The Kings are currently favored by 1.5 points, with the over/under line set at 222.

This game will be played at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio and can be seen on NBCS.

Kings vs. Spurs Key Information

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs
  • Where: San Antonio at Frost Bank Center
  • Date: Monday, November 11th
  • Betting Odds SAC -1.5, SAC -121 | SA +102 O/U 222

The Kings Can Win If…

The Kings improved to 6-4 on the season with a 127-118 win over the Suns on Sunday. Sacramento, who were favored by 1 point, covered the spread with a 9-point victory. The game’s total score of 245 points exceeded the O/U line of 230 by 15 points.

Sacramento led 36-31 after the 1st quarter and 60-53 at halftime. However, Phoenix took control in the 3rd quarter, outscoring the Kings 29-19. Sacramento responded in the 4th quarter, outscoring the Suns 32-29 to secure the win.

DeMar DeRozan’s 34 points, including 16 in the 4th quarter and 8 in overtime, led the Kings to a win over the Suns. De’Aaron Fox added 21 points, with 8 coming in the extra period, while Domantas Sabonis contributed 20 points and 12 rebounds.

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Despite making just 11 threes at a 29.7% rate, the Kings shot 49% from the field overall. Sabonis was efficient, hitting 64.3% of his shots, and DeRozan connected on 56% from the floor.

Despite giving up 31 points in the 1st quarter, the Kings tightened up defensively in the 2nd, allowing just 22 points. They gave up 29 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters but still managed to secure the win.

Sacramento held the Suns to 41% shooting, including 31% from three-point range, where Phoenix hit 18 threes. The Kings sent the Suns to the line 15 times, where they made 12 free throws. Sacramento also recorded 49 defensive rebounds, gave up 8 offensive boards, and added 7 steals.

  • Across their last three road contests, Sacramento has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 122 points per game.
  • As the betting favorite, the Kings have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 3-2.
  • Over their last three games, the Kings have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Spurs Can Win If…

The Spurs fell to 4-6 on the season after a narrow 111-110 loss to the Jazz on Saturday. San Antonio, who were favored by 6.5 points, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 221, just under the O/U line of 221.5.

San Antonio went on a 10-0 run to take the lead, moving the score from 75-69 to 79-75. However, the Jazz responded, outscoring the Spurs 29-28 in the final quarter to seal the win.

In the Spurs’ 111-110 loss to the Jazz, Victor Wembanyama led the way with 24 points and 16 rebounds, hitting 6 threes at a 66.7% clip. Stephon Castle added 23 points, including 10 in the 4th quarter, while Devin Vassell contributed 21 points, with 10 coming in the 2nd quarter.

San Antonio connected on 17 threes, shooting 36.2% from deep and 44.7% overall. Wembanyama shot 53.3% from the field, and Vassell hit 61.5% of his shots, knocking down 3 threes at 50% efficiency.

Defensively, the Spurs allowed 111 points in their loss to the Jazz, giving up 25 points in the 1st quarter, 28 in the 2nd, and 29 in both the 3rd and 4th. San Antonio held Utah to 10 made threes on 30% shooting from beyond the arc.

San Antonio sent the Jazz to the line 35 times, where they made 25 free throws. The Spurs grabbed 31 defensive rebounds while allowing 9 offensive boards. They also recorded 8 steals and 10 blocks.

  • When looking at their past three home matchups, San Antonio has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 103 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Spurs have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. San Antonio posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
  • In their last five games, the Spurs have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

The Kings is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 134-129. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Kings at -1.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 222, and our model projects the Kings and Spurs to reach a combined total of 263 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

Spurs Excited to Have Vassell Back as They Face the Kings

The San Antonio Spurs are set to welcome one of their key players back into the mix as they continue their homestand against the Sacramento Kings on Monday night. With Devin Vassell back on the court, the Spurs are ready to see if his return can spark a winning streak.

Spurs Balancing Wins and Close Losses

The Spurs are two games into a five-game homestand, having split the first two games. They came out strong with a win over the Portland Trail Blazers on Thursday, only to narrowly fall to the Utah Jazz in a nail-biting 111-110 loss on Saturday.

Victor Wembanyama was a powerhouse in the Jazz game, racking up 24 points and 16 rebounds, though he was called for a critical offensive foul late in the game. Stephon Castle also stepped up with a career-high 23 points in his third start, while Vassell, back from injury, added a solid 21 points. Keldon Johnson and Harrison Barnes chipped in with 14 and 10 points, respectively.

Castle praised the team’s confidence and chemistry, saying, “My guys have been in the gym with me. We’re all confident in each other to shoot the ball no matter who it is. If we get open when we’re told, we’ve got to shoot it. (It’s about) just stepping up and shooting with confidence.”

Vassell’s Return: A Long-Awaited Comeback

Vassell’s performance on Saturday marked his first game back after missing over seven months with a broken foot. For Vassell, returning to the game was a huge milestone after months of rehab.

“I haven’t played in a long time,” Vassell shared. “During the offseason, I was kind of frustrated because at the end of the day, I just want to be out there with my teammates. They helped me get back in shape and everything.”

His return not only boosts the Spurs’ lineup but also brings a seasoned player back into the fold, one who can provide stability and confidence to the team as they work through their current form.

Kings Coming Off a Big Win, But Facing Challenges

The Kings, meanwhile, are arriving in San Antonio fresh from a 127-118 overtime win against the Phoenix Suns on Sunday night. They’ll look to carry that momentum into Monday’s game, although back-to-back games can take a toll.

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DeMar DeRozan led the Kings with 34 points, while De’Aaron Fox, Domantas Sabonis, and Keegan Murray each recorded double-doubles. Kevin Huerter also contributed 17 points, adding depth to their already solid lineup. The Kings have been hot, winning three of their past four games, and they’ll be eager to keep that streak alive.

Huerter is still getting into his rhythm after a 6 1/2-month recovery from a shoulder injury last April. “I’m still trying to find my rhythm,” he admitted. “A couple of new guys on our team and a new offense, so I’m trying to fully immerse myself with the team and kind of get my feet under me.”

Malik Monk’s Status Uncertain

Sacramento may be without one of their key bench players, Malik Monk, who left Sunday’s game in the second quarter after twisting his ankle. His status for Monday’s game remains uncertain, and his absence could impact the Kings’ depth, especially in the backcourt.

Spurs and Kings: A Test of Resilience

Both teams bring their own narratives into Monday’s showdown. The Spurs are looking to integrate Vassell’s return into their gameplay, while the Kings are aiming to sustain their winning momentum despite fatigue and potential injuries. With the Spurs’ energy at home and the Kings’ recent high-scoring efforts, it’s set to be an exciting matchup. Will Vassell’s return and Wembanyama’s dominance be enough to overcome the Kings, or will Sacramento’s depth and experience carry them to victory?

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Mon, Nov 11, 05:56 am.
spread
moneyline
over/under
San Antonio Spurs
+0.5
-115
-105
O 113.5
-110
Sacramento Kings
-0.5
-105
-115
U 113.5
-110
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