Oklahoma City Thunder vs L.a. Clippers Clippers Picks and Predictions November 11th 2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs L.A. Clippers Clippers NBA Mon, Nov 11, 20:00 pm.
Oklahoma City Thunder
ML: -200
0
0
L.A. Clippers Clippers
ML: 170
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At 8:00 ET, the Thunder (-281) will host the Clippers (+233) in a Western Conference matchup. The Thunder are currently favored by 7 points, and the over/under line is set at 218.5.

This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, and can be seen on NBA TV. The Clippers come into this game with a record of 6-4, while the Thunder are 8-2.

Clippers vs. Thunder Key Information

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Los Angeles Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Where: Oklahoma City at Paycom Center
  • Date: Monday, November 11th
  • Betting Odds OKC -7, LAC +233 | OKC -281 O/U 218.5

The Clippers Can Win If…

The Clippers improved to 6-4 on the season with a 105-103 win over the Raptors on Saturday. L.A. was favored by six points at home but didn’t cover the spread, while the total score of 208 points fell well short of the 226.5-point over/under line.

A key moment in the game was a 12-0 run by the Clippers, which stretched their lead from 36-31 to 48-31. They took an 81-70 lead into the 4th quarter, but the Raptors made a push, outscoring L.A. 33-24 in the final period.

James Harden and Norman Powell each scored 24 points in the Clippers’ 105-103 win over the Raptors, with Harden adding 12 rebounds and 7 assists despite shooting just 29.4% from the field. Powell hit 50% of his shots, including 3 threes at 50% efficiency.

The Clippers made 10 threes, shooting 38.5% from deep and 46.1% overall. Kevin Porter Jr. added 15 points, hitting 2 threes at 100%, while Powell scored 11 of his 24 points in the 4th quarter.

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Defensively, the Clippers were solid through the first three quarters, allowing 22, 25, and 23 points, respectively, before giving up 33 in the 4th. Still, they held the Raptors to 103 points on 42% shooting.

From beyond the arc, the Clippers limited Toronto to 11 threes on 29% shooting. They also sent the Raptors to the line 21 times, where they hit 12 free throws. The Clippers finished with 6 steals and 8 blocks.

  • The Clippers are 3-0 ATS in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Clippers have a straight up record of 4-6 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
  • Over their last three games, the Clippers have an over/under record of 0-3 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Thunder Can Win If…

Oklahoma City fell to 8-2 on the season after a 127-116 home loss to the Warriors on Sunday. The Thunder, who were favored by 6.5 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total score of 243 points exceeded the over/under line of 227.5 by 15.5 points.

After leading 33-26 following the 1st quarter, the Thunder were outscored 39-25 in the 2nd and 42-21 in the 3rd. A 10-0 run by the Warriors shifted the game’s momentum, and Oklahoma City’s 37-20 advantage in the 4th quarter wasn’t enough to close the gap.

In Sunday’s loss to the Warriors, the Thunder’s offense was led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who finished with 24 points, though he shot just 35.3% from the field. Jalen Williams added 20 points, shooting 60%, and Luguentz Dort contributed 16 points, hitting 3 threes at a 37.5% clip.

As a team, the Thunder made 11 threes, shooting 33.3% from beyond the arc, and finished with a 44.7% field goal percentage overall. Cason Wallace also scored 16 points, with 8 coming in the 4th quarter.

Defensively, the Thunder struggled in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, giving up a combined 81 points, which contributed to their 127-116 loss to the Warriors. Despite a solid 4th quarter where they allowed just 20 points, Oklahoma City couldn’t overcome their earlier defensive lapses.

The Thunder had trouble defending the perimeter, as the Warriors hit 21 threes at a 48% clip. Oklahoma City also sent Golden State to the line 23 times, where they made 16 free throws. The Thunder recorded 27 defensive rebounds, allowed 13 offensive boards, and finished with 4 steals and 6 blocks.

  • In their last three home games, Oklahoma City has averaged 121 points per game while allowing 110. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Thunder have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
  • In their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

As the underdogs with a spread of +7, we recommend going with the Clippers on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 218.5 and given that our model is projecting 211 points between the teams, we like the under.

Thunder and Clippers Face Off Without Key Players

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Los Angeles Clippers are set to battle it out on Monday night, each missing a critical star. The Thunder will be without their standout rookie Chet Holmgren, while the Clippers continue to adjust without Kawhi Leonard.

Thunder Facing Life Without Holmgren

The Thunder took a big hit when Chet Holmgren sustained a pelvic fracture during Sunday’s game against the Golden State Warriors. The injury happened in the first quarter when Holmgren took a hard fall trying to defend a layup. Now, he’s expected to miss 8 to 10 weeks, though the team is optimistic about his return later this season.

Holmgren has been a major force for the Thunder, averaging 16.4 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 2.6 blocks per game. His absence leaves a significant void, especially since he played a crucial role in Oklahoma City’s previous win over the Clippers on November 2, where he posted 10 points and 14 rebounds.

Head coach Mark Daigneault remains confident in the team’s resilience. “This is a resilient, tough, competitive, adaptive team, and that’s what we’re going to be, regardless of the circumstances,” Daigneault said. The Thunder will need to tap into that adaptability now more than ever.

Thunder’s Depth Tested

Oklahoma City’s frontcourt is already stretched thin. Before Holmgren’s injury, the team was missing Isaiah Hartenstein, Jaylin Williams, and Kenrich Williams, none of whom have appeared in a game this season. The loss of Holmgren only intensifies the pressure on the rest of the roster.

Jalen Williams summed up the team’s mindset: “It’s kind of a next-man-up thing. Can’t dwell too long.”

The Thunder’s defense, currently the best in the league, allowing just 100.3 points per 100 possessions, is likely to feel Holmgren’s absence. Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander emphasized the importance of team effort, saying, “All of us have to figure out how to get stops and rebound.”

Clippers on a Hot Streak, But Still Missing Kawhi

Meanwhile, the Clippers have been without Kawhi Leonard all season due to a lingering knee issue. Leonard remains sidelined and won’t travel with the team during their current three-game road trip, starting with Monday’s game in Oklahoma City.

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Despite the absence of their star forward, the Clippers have hit their stride, winning four consecutive games, including a tight 105-103 victory over the Toronto Raptors on Saturday. Center Ivica Zubac has been a key player during this winning stretch, averaging 14.8 points and 12.3 rebounds.

“Zu’s been great,” Clippers coach Tyronn Lue said. “The big man that we’ve been playing a lot of minutes, but he’s one of the most durable big men in the league, probably the most durable big man in the league.”

Zubac’s consistency has been crucial, especially with the team’s defense ranking in the top five, allowing just 107.7 points per 100 possessions.

A Tough Test in OKC

The Clippers face a unique challenge heading into this game: they’ve lost six straight games in Oklahoma City, with their last win there dating back to March 3, 2020. However, with their current winning momentum, they’re looking to break that streak.

The Thunder, on the other hand, have been solid in back-to-back scenarios, holding a 2-0 record in such games this season. Despite their depleted frontcourt, they’ll aim to leverage their home court advantage and their league-best defense to keep the Clippers at bay.

Will the Thunder’s resilience and home-court magic be enough to overcome their injury woes, or will the Clippers’ recent hot streak carry them to victory in a tough road environment? This matchup is set to be a test of depth, grit, and adaptability for both teams.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Mon, Nov 11, 06:04 am.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Oklahoma City Thunder
-3.5
-110
-200
O 107.5
-110
L.A. Clippers Clippers
+3.5
-110
170
U 107.5
-110
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