Toronto-raptors vs Charlotte Hornets Picks and Predictions March 28th 2025

Toronto-Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets March 28th 2025

The Toronto Raptors (-244) are 6.5-point favorites over the Charlotte Hornets (+201) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The over/under line for the game is 217.5 points.

Charlotte is currently on a three-game losing streak and is 14th in the Eastern Conference. Toronto has won two straight and is 11th in the East.

Hornets vs. Raptors Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Charlotte Hornets at Toronto Raptors
• Where: Toronto at Scotiabank Arena
• Date: Friday, March 28th
• Betting Odds TOR -6.5, CHA +201 | TOR -244 O/U 217.5

The Hornets Can Win If…

After a 111-104 loss to the Magic on Tuesday, the Hornets are now 18-54 this season. Charlotte was +5 point underdogs at home and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 215, just over the 213.5 O/U line.

Charlotte went on a 12-0 run to take the lead, but they couldn’t hold on. After tying the game at 83 going into the 4th quarter, they were outscored 28-21 in the final period.

In their loss to the Magic, the Hornets shot 42% from the field but connected on 14 threes, hitting 41.2% from deep. LaMelo Ball led the way with 25 points, 9 assists, and 3 made threes, shooting 75% from beyond the arc.

Josh Green and Nick Smith each added 13 points, with Green also hitting 3 threes at a 75% clip. Ball scored 14 points in the 4th quarter, while Green added 7 in the 3rd.

The Hornets struggled defensively in the 2nd quarter, giving up 34 points, but they tightened up in the 3rd, allowing just 20 points. Overall, they allowed 111 points on 45% shooting from the field in their loss to the Magic.

Charlotte did well defending the three, holding Orlando to 13 made threes on 31% shooting. The Magic also went 16/19 from the free-throw line. The Hornets finished with 30 defensive rebounds, 4 steals, and 3 blocks.

• In their last ten games away from home, the Hornets have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 3-7 vs. the spread. The team averaged 102 points per game in this stretch.
• Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Hornets have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-4.
• Over their last three games, the Hornets have an over/under record of 3-0 and are 0-3 vs. the spread.

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The Raptors Can Win If…

Toronto improved to 26-47 with a dominant 116-86 win over the Nets on Wednesday. The Raptors, who were +2.5 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread with a +30 point victory. The game’s total points of 202 fell short of the 216 O/U line.

The Raptors set the tone early, leading 32-18 after the 1st quarter. They continued to outscore the Nets in each quarter, taking a 93-68 lead into the 4th and closing out the game by holding Brooklyn to 18 points in the final period.

Orlando Robinson’s 23 points and 12 rebounds on 71.4% shooting led the Raptors to a win over the Nets, as Toronto shot 42.2% from the field and 30.3% from three-point range, hitting 10 threes. Jonathan Mogbo added 16 points, while RJ Barrett and Scottie Barnes each contributed 15 points.

Robinson scored 10 points in the 1st quarter and added 9 more in the 3rd. Barrett scored 7 points in the 2nd quarter, while Ochai Agbaji added 7 of his 12 points in the 3rd.

The Raptors put on a defensive clinic against the Nets, holding them to just 86 points on Wednesday. Toronto gave up 18 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters, while allowing 27 in the 2nd and 23 in the 3rd.

Brooklyn shot just 35% from the field, including 19% from beyond the arc, where they made only 8 threes. The Raptors also sent the Nets to the line 19 times, where they hit 16 free throws. Toronto finished with 46 defensive rebounds, allowing 10 offensive boards, and added 5 steals and 3 blocks.

• Across their ten previous home games, Toronto has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 108 points per game.
• The Raptors have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
• In their last three games, the Raptors have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

For a point-spread bet in this Hornets vs. Raptors matchup, we’re leaning towards the Hornets at +6.5. Although our projections show the Raptors winning 94-89, we suggest placing your bet on the Hornets for the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 217.5 and our model has the Hornets and Raptors finishing with a combined 183 points. Our pick is to take the under.

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Hornets Look to Compete as They Visit Revitalized Raptors

As the season winds down, the Charlotte Hornets remain focused on internal growth and building a culture, even as the losses continue to pile up. Their next challenge comes Friday night on the road against a Toronto Raptors team showing signs of life after a rough stretch.

The Hornets (18-54) have dropped five of their last six games and are in the midst of a three-game losing streak. Most recently, they let a close game slip away against the Orlando Magic, ultimately falling by seven despite entering the fourth quarter tied.

While the standings may not reflect progress, head coach Charles Lee insists the Hornets are laying a meaningful foundation.

“The goal for us was to create a standard of competitiveness… an environment of just work and obsession with daily improvement,” Lee said. “I think all those goals are still in motion, and I’m happy as hell with them.”

Bridges Leading, Ball Missing

Injuries have heavily shaped Charlotte’s season. LaMelo Ball, the team’s leading scorer at 25.2 points per game, remains sidelined, and standout rookie Brandon Miller was averaging 21 points before a season-ending wrist injury in January.

That’s left Miles Bridges to shoulder the offensive load. He’s led the team in scoring 18 times over the last 30 games, highlighted by a career-high 46 points earlier this month and a game-winning three-pointer against the Spurs in February.

The Hornets are currently third from the bottom in the NBA, positioning themselves well in the draft lottery race. Fans tracking future outcomes can monitor key matchups and odds using expert NBA picks and predictions.

Raptors Showing Late-Season Grit

After a string of ugly losses, the Raptors (26-47) have bounced back with back-to-back wins over the Wizards and Nets. The 30-point drubbing of Brooklyn on Wednesday was one of Toronto’s most complete performances of the season.

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RJ Barrett continues to lead the team offensively with 21.3 points per game, but it’s Scottie Barnes who has become the heartbeat of the roster. Barnes is averaging nearly 20 points per game while contributing heavily in rebounds, assists, steals, and blocks.

“We go as far as Scottie goes,” Raptors coach Darko Rajakovic said. “He sets the tone on both ends of the floor. He’s constantly improving in all aspects of his game.”

Veteran big man Jakob Poeltl is adding size and consistency in the paint, pulling down nearly 10 rebounds per game, while Immanuel Quickley continues to provide a steady scoring punch with 17.4 points per contest.

As the Raptors continue to evaluate young talent and build for next season, they’ll also be keenly aware of their standing in the NBA Draft lottery, adding some intrigue to every remaining game.