Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks and Predictions April 11th 2025

Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder April 11th 2025

At 9:30 ET, the Jazz will host the Thunder in a Northwest Division matchup. Oklahoma City (-516) is currently favored by 10.5 points over Utah (+386). The over/under line for this game is set at 234 points.

TV: KJZZ

Register Here to Join the Top Handicappers

Thunder vs. Jazz Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder at Utah Jazz
• Where: Salt Lake City at Delta Center
• Date: Friday, April 11th
• Betting Odds OKC -10.5, OKC -516 | UTA +386 O/U 234

The Thunder Can Win If…

With a 125-112 road win over the Suns on Wednesday, the Thunder improved to 66-14 this season. Oklahoma City entered the game as -7.5 point favorites and covered the spread, while the total score of 237 points went over the line of 229.

After falling behind 39-29 in the 1st quarter, the Thunder turned things around with a 10-0 run, stretching their lead from 67-63 to 77-63. They dominated the 3rd quarter, outscoring Phoenix 43-26, and maintained control in the 4th, edging the Suns 20-19.

Jalen Williams led the Thunder to a win over the Suns, scoring 33 points and grabbing 7 rebounds while shooting 56.5% from the field. Alex Caruso added 19 points, hitting 75% of his shots, and Chet Holmgren contributed 22 points despite shooting 41.7%.

Oklahoma City shot 52.3% as a team, with a 40% mark from three-point range, making 12 threes in the game. Williams scored 13 points in the 3rd quarter, while Caruso added 9 points in the opening period.

Despite a shaky start, allowing 39 points in the 1st quarter, the Thunder tightened up defensively in their 125-112 win over the Suns. They gave up 28 points in the 2nd quarter, 26 in the 3rd, and just 19 in the 4th, helping them secure the victory.

Oklahoma City held Phoenix to 35% shooting from three, with the Suns making 15 threes. The Thunder also sent the Suns to the line 19 times, where they hit 13 free throws. Defensively, the Thunder recorded 11 steals and 2 blocks.

• Oklahoma City has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 116 points per game while allowing 109. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
• As the betting favorite, the Thunder have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 2-1.
• Over their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Jazz Can Win If…

The Jazz improved to 17-63 on the season with a 133-126 win over the Trail Blazers on Wednesday. Utah, who were +6.5 point underdogs, not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread. The game’s total points of 259.5 exceeded the O/U line of 229.5 by 29.5 points.

Utah went on a 10-0 run to take control early, but Portland fought back, leaving the Jazz trailing 85-80 going into the 4th quarter. Utah responded by outscoring the Blazers 34-29 in the final period to secure the win.

In their 133-126 win over the Trail Blazers, the Jazz shot 51% from the field and connected on 15 threes at a 41.7% clip. Kyle Filipowski led the way with 30 points and 18 rebounds, shooting 76.5% from the floor.

Brice Sensabaugh hit 6 threes at 60%, finishing with 22 points. Keyonte George added 18 points, including 8 in overtime, while Filipowski scored 6 in the extra period.

Defensively, the Jazz had a strong 2nd quarter, giving up just 24 points, but they allowed 33 in the 3rd. Overall, they gave up 126 points on 46% shooting from the field to the Trail Blazers.

Utah did a great job defending the three, holding Portland to 11 made threes on 24% shooting. The Jazz also recorded 14 steals and 4 blocks in the game.

• Through their last three home games, Utah has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 117 points per game.
• Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Jazz have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
• In their last five games, the Jazz have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.

The Lean

The Jazz come in as the underdog at +10.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 234, and our model predicts the Thunder and Jazz to score a combined 128 points. We recommend betting on the under.

Daily NBA Picks & Predictions

Utah Jazz’s Rebuilding Journey

The Utah Jazz’s 2024–25 season has centered around transition. With a record of 17-63, the franchise has embraced a full rebuild, opting to develop young players while eyeing a high pick in the 2025 NBA Draft. Despite their recent struggles, there’s emerging talent on display, most notably from an unlikely rookie star.

Oklahoma City Thunder’s Championship Focus

On the flip side, the Oklahoma City Thunder have soared to new heights. Boasting a 66-14 record, they’ve clinched the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference and are on the verge of securing the league’s best overall record. For the Thunder, every game is another chance to sharpen their playoff form.

Kyle Filipowski’s Breakout Performance for the Jazz

Career-High Game Against the Trail Blazers

In a season filled with losses, rookie Kyle Filipowski delivered a shining moment. The former Duke standout erupted for 30 points and 18 rebounds in an overtime win against the Portland Trail Blazers. He was efficient, going 13-for-17 from the field and adding two three-pointers, five assists, and three steals.

Coach and Teammate Reactions

Head coach Will Hardy praised the young forward’s development, noting, “From a stat standpoint, it’s his best game as a pro.” Teammate Keyonte George echoed this sentiment, reminiscing about Filipowski’s AAU dominance and calling his recent performance “the Flip I grew up with.”

A Bright Spot in a Dark Season

Filipowski, a second-round draft pick, has emerged as a potential cornerstone in the Jazz’s rebuild. While their record remains bleak, moments like these signal hope for the future.

Oklahoma City Thunder’s Pursuit of League Supremacy

How OKC Secured the No. 1 Seed in the West

Following a decisive 125-112 win over the Phoenix Suns, OKC not only knocked the Suns out of playoff contention but also secured the top seed in the Western Conference. With just one more win (or a Cleveland loss), they’ll finish with the best overall NBA record.

Contributions from Williams, Holmgren, and Caruso

Without star guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder still dominated. Jalen Williams led with 33 points, Chet Holmgren added a 22-point double-double, and Alex Caruso turned heads with 19 points and five steals.

Depth That Defines a Contender

Williams credited Caruso’s defense as the game-changer: “I think AC started us off playing defense, getting back to our identity.” OKC’s ability to perform without its leading scorer underscores their depth and cohesion — essential ingredients for a title run.

Star Absence, Team Presence: Winning Without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Jalen Williams Leading the Charge

Williams has emerged as a leader in Shai’s absence, showcasing poise, scoring, and versatility. His approach reflects the team’s maturity: “I’m trying to use a lot of these games as reps and treat them as close to the playoffs as I can regardless of who we’re playing.”

Defensive Masterclass by Alex Caruso

Caruso’s steals set the tone early, contributing to a critical 13 stops in 15 possessions to open the third quarter — a defensive masterclass that overwhelmed the Suns and exemplified OKC’s playoff readiness.

What’s at Stake in Friday’s Matchup?

Playoff Preparation for OKC

While the Thunder have already locked up their position, they see the Jazz game as a meaningful dress rehearsal. It’s about rhythm, reps, and readiness — all of which matter in a deep playoff run.

Development Opportunity for Utah’s Rookies

For Utah, this is about more than just another game. It’s a valuable chance for rookies like Filipowski to test themselves against elite competition and end the season with a sense of progress and direction.

Lessons From the Court: Mindset, Grit, and Growth

OKC’s Mental Edge Going into the Postseason

The Thunder’s young core has displayed composure beyond their years. From handling injuries to dominating without stars, they’ve proven that their identity is grounded in resilience and team-first basketball.

The Importance of Reps and Rhythm

Even “meaningless” games can build momentum. Williams’ emphasis on treating every game like a playoff game could give OKC an edge when the real battle begins.

The Road Ahead: Expectations for Both Teams Post-Game

Thunder’s Playoff Prospects

With elite talent, bench depth, and a top defensive unit, the Thunder enter the playoffs as serious contenders. Their mix of youth and experience positions them for a potential deep run.

Jazz’s Offseason Strategy and Draft Outlook

For Utah, the focus now shifts to the 2025 Draft. Securing a top pick and continuing to develop rising stars like Filipowski will be key to transforming potential into long-term success.

Conclusion: One Game, Two Very Different Futures

Friday’s game between the Jazz and Thunder isn’t just a regular-season finale. It’s a reflection of two franchises at different points in their journey — one poised for a playoff push, the other building for the future. As the Thunder look to lock up the league’s best record against Jazz, both teams will be chasing something meaningful: progress, momentum, and ultimately, hope.