Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Picks and Predictions November 12th 2024

Two of the Western Conference’s top teams will square off tonight at 10:00 ET in San Francisco as the Warriors (-142) host the Mavericks (+119). Golden State is favored by 2.5 and the over/under is set at 232.

This game will be televised on TNT and will be played at Chase Center.

Mavericks vs. Warriors Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors
• Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
• Date: Tuesday, November 12th
• Betting Odds GS -2.5, DAL +119 | GS -142 O/U 232

The Mavericks Can Win If…

The Mavericks fell to 5-5 on the season after a 122-120 loss to the Nuggets on Sunday. Dallas, who were +2 point underdogs, pushed the spread with the two-point loss. The game’s total points of 242 exceeded the O/U line of 233 by 9 points.

Dallas took control in the 2nd quarter, outscoring Denver 34-25, but the Nuggets responded by winning the 3rd quarter 37-31. Heading into the 4th quarter down 97-94, the Mavericks couldn’t complete the comeback, as both teams scored 25 points in the final period.

Kyrie Irving’s 43-point performance on 77.3% shooting wasn’t enough for the Mavericks, who fell to the Nuggets on Sunday. Irving hit 6 threes at a 75% clip, while the rest of the team struggled from deep, making just 4 more threes at 30.3% overall.

Dallas shot 53.3% from the field, with Daniel Gafford contributing 16 points on 77.8% shooting. Luka Doncic added 24 points and 9 assists, though he hit just 25% from beyond the arc.

Defensively, the Mavericks had strong 2nd and 4th quarters, giving up 25 points in each, but they struggled in the 1st and 3rd, allowing 35 and 37 points, respectively, in a 122-120 loss to the Nuggets. Overall, they gave up 122 points on 50% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, Dallas allowed Denver to hit 14 threes on 48% shooting. The Mavericks sent the Nuggets to the line 26 times, where they made 18 free throws. Dallas finished with 32 defensive rebounds, allowed 13 offensive boards, and recorded 7 steals and 5 blocks.

• Across their three previous road games, Dallas has an ATS mark of 1-1-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 114 points per game.
• The last three games that Dallas was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-1-1 while going 1-2 straight up.
• Over their last three games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 1-1-1 vs. the spread.

The Warriors Can Win If…

Golden State improved to 8-2 on the season with a 127-116 win over the Thunder on Sunday. The Warriors, who were +6.5 point underdogs, not only secured the win but also covered the spread. The total score of 243 points went over the pre-game line of 227.5.

After trailing 33-26 at the end of the 1st quarter, the Warriors turned things around with a 10-0 run, taking the lead from 65-58 to 68-65. They dominated the 2nd and 3rd quarters, outscoring the Thunder 81-46, before the Thunder rallied in the 4th, outscoring Golden State 37-20.

Stephen Curry knocked down 7 threes, shooting 53.8% from deep, and finished with 36 points and 7 assists in the Warriors’ 127-116 win over the Thunder. Golden State connected on 21 threes as a team, shooting 48.8% from beyond the arc and 50.6% overall from the field.

Jonathan Kuminga added 20 points, with 12 coming in the 2nd quarter, while De’Anthony Melton hit 5 threes and contributed 19 points and 10 rebounds. Curry poured in 17 points in the 3rd quarter, and Andrew Wiggins added 9 of his 18 points in the opening period.

Despite a rough 4th quarter where they allowed 37 points, the Warriors’ defense held strong in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, giving up just 25 and 21 points, respectively, to help secure the win over the Thunder. Overall, they allowed 116 points on 44% shooting from the field.

Golden State did a solid job defending the three, holding Oklahoma City to 11 made threes on 33% shooting. The Warriors also recorded 8 steals and 3 blocks in the game.

• When looking at their past three matchups at home, Golden State has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 120 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
• In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Warriors have a straight up record of 7-3 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
• In their last three games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Coming in as the underdogs at +2.5, we have the Mavericks as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 232 and given that our model is projecting 272 points between the teams, we like the over.

Klay Thompson Returns to Chase Center: NBA Cup Opener – Mavericks vs. Warriors

The Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors will face off Tuesday night in a marquee NBA Cup opener, marked by Klay Thompson’s much-anticipated return to Chase Center. This matchup not only rekindles the legacy of one of the Warriors’ most beloved players but also showcases the Mavericks and Warriors’ desire to make an impact in the NBA’s in-season tournament.

Klay Thompson’s Legacy with the Warriors

For 13 seasons, Thompson was a foundational part of Golden State’s identity. Drafted in 2011, he became one of the NBA’s most iconic shooters, forming the “Splash Brothers” duo with Stephen Curry and helping to secure four NBA championships. Despite overcoming two major injuries, Thompson has left a lasting legacy, ranking second in franchise history for 3-pointers made and holding top-ten spots in points, games played, and steals.

Golden State has planned a heartfelt pregame tribute titled “Salute Captain Klay,” with plans to retire his No. 31 jersey once his playing career ends. Reflecting on Thompson’s influence, Curry shared, “It’s a chance to look back at all the memories, but we still have a game to play.”

A New Chapter in Dallas

Since joining the Mavericks, Thompson has averaged 13.8 points per game over his first 10 appearances, though his three-point percentage has dipped slightly as he adapts to his new role. Teaming up with Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, Thompson has brought his championship experience to Dallas. Meanwhile, Golden State has filled his role with sharpshooter Buddy Hield, who has been lights-out from three-point range, shooting 48.8% this season.

Warriors head coach Steve Kerr spoke highly of Thompson’s choice to embrace a new challenge. “Klay made the right decision going to Dallas. Sometimes a fresh start is what you need.”

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NBA Cup Adds Extra Energy to the Matchup

Now in its second season, the NBA Cup adds midseason excitement, with both Dallas and Golden State looking to establish dominance in their group. The tournament setup includes notable Western Conference teams, such as the Memphis Grizzlies and Denver Nuggets, promising competitive matchups ahead. For Thompson, competing in the NBA Cup with Dallas represents a new objective and a chance to help his team make a statement.

Game Dynamics and Key Matchups

Golden State boasts a strong 8-2 record, with Curry in stellar form and Hield filling in effectively for Thompson. They’ll be looking to continue their winning ways and build momentum for the NBA Cup group stage. The Warriors recently wrapped up a successful 4-1 road trip, with impressive wins against the Celtics and Thunder.

Dallas, on the other hand, narrowly lost to Denver in their last game, despite a 43-point explosion from Kyrie Irving. With Doncic also nearing a triple-double in that matchup, Dallas has shown its offensive firepower but has struggled with depth—a potential disadvantage against Golden State’s balanced lineup.

Key Matchups

• Klay Thompson vs. Warriors’ Defense: Thompson’s return will be charged with emotion, and all eyes will be on how he performs against his former team.
• Stephen Curry vs. Mavericks’ Defense: Curry’s shooting and playmaking are central to Golden State’s offense. A strong performance from him could turn the tide for the Warriors.
• Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic: Dallas’ star duo will need to play at an elite level to keep up with Golden State’s offense. Irving’s recent 43-point game shows he’s capable of taking over, but consistency will be key.

Game Outlook

With both teams looking to establish themselves in the NBA Cup, the stakes are high in Tuesday’s matchup. For Golden State, it’s about maintaining momentum and honoring a franchise icon, while the Mavericks aim to begin their tournament run with a victory and build cohesion in a high-stakes game. Expect an emotional, high-energy atmosphere as Thompson returns to the Bay Area in his new colors.

This game sets the tone for both teams in the NBA Cup and hints at a brewing rivalry between old friends turned new opponents. Fans can look forward to a thrilling contest, rich with nostalgia and competitive fire.