Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks and Predictions November 27th 2024

Warriors vs Thunder November 27th 2024

At 10:00 ET, the Thunder (-141) will travel to San Francisco to take on the Warriors (+119) in a Western Conference showdown. Oklahoma City is currently in first place in the West, while Golden State is second.

ESPN will have the TV coverage for this game, and the over/under line is currently sitting at 230 points.

Thunder vs. Warriors Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors
• Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
• Date: Wednesday, November 27th
• Betting Odds OKC -2.5, OKC -141 | GS +119 O/U 230

The Thunder Can Win If…

Oklahoma City improved to 13-4 this season with a 130-109 road win over the Kings on Monday. The Thunder, who were favored by 3.5 points, covered the spread with a +21 point margin. The game’s total score of 239 points exceeded the O/U line of 224.5 by 14.5 points.

After a tight first half, where both teams scored 31 points in the 1st quarter and 32 in the 2nd, the Thunder took control in the 3rd, outscoring the Kings 34-22. They entered the 4th quarter with a 97-84 lead and sealed the win by outscoring Sacramento 33-25 in the final period.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder to a 130-109 win over the Kings, finishing with 37 points, 11 assists, and 4 made threes at 57.1% shooting from deep. He shot 65% from the field overall, while the Thunder hit 55.8% of their shots as a team, including 45.2% from three-point range, knocking down 14 threes.

Jalen Williams added 28 points, scoring 11 in the 4th quarter, and Isaiah Hartenstein contributed 19 points and 10 rebounds. Gilgeous-Alexander also scored 12 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters.

Despite giving up 62 points in the first half, the Thunder tightened up defensively after the break, allowing just 22 points in the 3rd quarter and 25 in the 4th to secure the win. Oklahoma City held Sacramento to 109 points on 48% shooting.

The Thunder did an excellent job defending the three, limiting the Kings to just 8 made threes on 25% shooting. Oklahoma City also sent Sacramento to the line 23 times, where they made 17 free throws. The Thunder finished with 6 steals and 3 blocks.

• Across their last five road contests, Oklahoma City has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 119 points per game.
• In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Thunder have a straight up record of 3-2, while going 2-3 against the spread.
• Over their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.

The Warriors Can Win If…

Golden State fell to 12-5 on the season after a 128-120 loss to the Nets on Monday. The Warriors were favored by 13.5 points at home but couldn’t cover the spread. The game’s total of 248 points exceeded the 224.5 O/U line.

Golden State went on an 11-0 run early, turning a 26-20 deficit into a 31-26 lead. They dominated the 2nd quarter, outscoring Brooklyn 37-24, but the Nets took control in the 4th, outscoring the Warriors 41-28 after Golden State entered the final period with a 92-87 lead.

In their 128-120 loss to the Nets, the Warriors connected on 19 threes, shooting 41.3% from deep and 48.4% overall. Stephen Curry led the way with 8 made threes, hitting 50% from beyond the arc and finishing with 28 points and 7 assists.

Curry scored 11 points in the 4th quarter, while Andrew Wiggins added 9 of his 18 points in the final period. Moses Moody contributed 12 of his 15 points in the 2nd quarter, and Lindy Waters chipped in 13 points, including 7 in the opening frame.

The Warriors had a solid defensive effort in the 2nd quarter but struggled in the 4th, giving up 41 points in a 128-120 loss to the Nets. Golden State allowed Brooklyn to shoot 49% from the field.

The Nets hit 20 threes at a 44% clip. The Warriors sent the Nets to the line 30 times, where they made 26 free throws. Golden State finished with 8 steals and 5 blocks.

• When looking at their past three home matchups, Golden State has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 101 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
• In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Warriors have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.
• In their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Coming in as the underdogs at +2.5, we have the Warriors as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 230, and our model predicts the Thunder and Warriors to score a combined 224 points. We recommend betting on the under.

Daily NBA Picks & Predictions

Now with Isaiah Hartenstein, Thunder Take Another Shot at the Warriors

The Oklahoma City Thunder will bring a fresh dynamic to their rematch against the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday night in San Francisco. With both teams vying for supremacy in the Western Conference, this game promises to be a high-energy clash between two powerhouse squads.

The Backstory: Warriors vs. Thunder

When the two teams last met on November 10, the Warriors surged to a 127-116 victory, fueled by Stephen Curry’s scorching 36-point performance, including seven three-pointers. It was the final stop on a grueling five-game road trip for Golden State, yet they showed no signs of slowing down.

For Oklahoma City, the story was different. Missing key big man Isaiah Hartenstein, who was still recovering from a broken hand, and losing Chet Holmgren to injury just minutes into the game, the Thunder struggled to find consistency. Seventeen days later, circumstances have changed for both teams.

Hartenstein’s Impact on the Thunder

Isaiah Hartenstein has quickly established himself as a cornerstone for the Thunder. Since debuting on November 20, the offseason acquisition has averaged an impressive 15 points and 12 rebounds per game. More importantly, his presence provides the interior strength Oklahoma City sorely lacked last season.

Star guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander expressed confidence in the addition of Hartenstein:
“We knew there was a hole in us as a team last year,” Gilgeous-Alexander said. “Isaiah fills that hole very well. (General manager) Sam (Presti) did a good job bringing him in.”

With Holmgren still sidelined due to a pelvic fracture, Hartenstein’s contributions will be pivotal. His ability to dominate the paint and complement the Thunder’s young core gives Oklahoma City a fighting chance to reverse their fortunes against Golden State.

Warriors’ Current Struggles

The Warriors enter this matchup on shaky ground, having dropped back-to-back games for the first time this season. After blowing significant leads against both the San Antonio Spurs and the Brooklyn Nets, Golden State finds itself searching for solutions.

Head coach Steve Kerr acknowledged the challenges his team is facing:
“You can tell we had a lot more energy a couple weeks ago. Maybe it’s just the schedule catching up to us,” he said. “We’ve got to find that energy again.”

Golden State’s recent struggles come despite securing a quarterfinal spot in the NBA Cup. The Warriors hope a much-needed Thanksgiving break will help reset their momentum ahead of a tough December schedule.

Key Matchups to Watch

1. Isaiah Hartenstein vs. Warriors’ Frontcourt

Hartenstein’s ability to control the boards and provide second-chance opportunities could challenge Golden State’s smaller lineup. The Warriors rely on Draymond Green’s defensive acumen, but Hartenstein’s size and rebounding advantage could tip the scales in Oklahoma City’s favor.

2. Stephen Curry’s Shooting vs. Thunder’s Defense

Stephen Curry’s deep shooting range is always a game-changer. Limiting his opportunities will be a primary focus for Oklahoma City, especially after his explosive 36-point outing in their last meeting. Expect Luguentz Dort to take on the challenge of guarding Curry.

3. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams vs. Warriors’ Guards

The Thunder’s backcourt duo has been on fire, combining for 123 points over their last two games. If they can maintain this scoring pace, they’ll put significant pressure on Golden State’s defense.

Injury Updates and Depth Challenges

Both teams face roster complications heading into Wednesday’s game:

• Thunder: Alex Caruso, a critical bench player, is out with a hip injury. His absence could force Oklahoma City to rely more heavily on younger players.
• Warriors: Jonathan Kuminga is questionable due to illness, which could thin Golden State’s depth further.

The absence of De’Anthony Melton, who played a pivotal role in the Warriors’ last win against the Thunder, adds to Golden State’s challenges.

What’s at Stake?

This rematch carries significant weight for both teams:

• For the Thunder: A victory would extend their winning streak to three games and solidify their standing as a legitimate playoff contender. With Hartenstein in the fold, they have the tools to take down one of the Western Conference’s elite teams.
• For the Warriors: Avoiding a third consecutive loss is crucial to maintaining their position near the top of the standings. A win would also help regain the team’s confidence after two disheartening defeats.

Predicted Outcomes

Golden State has the home-court advantage and a proven ability to bounce back from adversity. However, Oklahoma City’s newfound balance and the emergence of Hartenstein make them a dangerous opponent. If the Thunder can neutralize Curry’s offensive firepower and control the paint, they could secure a statement win.

Final Thoughts

The Warriors-Thunder rivalry has always delivered thrilling moments, and Wednesday’s rematch is no exception. Both teams have undergone changes since their last encounter, setting the stage for a competitive and potentially season-defining game. For fans, it’s a must-watch clash of styles, stars, and storylines.