Washington-wizards vs Indiana Pacers Picks and Predictions March 27th 2025

Washington-Wizards vs Indiana Pacers March 27th 2025

At 7:00 ET, the Pacers (-587) will take on the Wizards (+431) in Washington. Indiana is currently favored by 11.5 points over the 15th-ranked team in the East.

With a record of 42-30, the Pacers are 4th in the Eastern Conference. The over/under line for this matchup is 235.5 points.

Pacers vs. Wizards Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards
• Where: Washington at Capital One Arena
• Date: Thursday, March 27th
• Betting Odds IND -11.5, IND -587 | WAS +431 O/U 235.5

The Pacers Can Win If…

The Pacers fell to 42-30 on the season after a 120-119 home loss to the Lakers on Wednesday. Indiana entered the game as +1.5 point underdogs and covered the spread with the one-point loss. The total score of 239 points went over the pre-game line of 234.5.

Indiana got off to a strong start, leading 33-28 after the 1st quarter, but the Lakers responded with an 18-0 run in the 2nd quarter, outscoring the Pacers 40-22. Indiana battled back, winning the 3rd quarter 37-27 and nearly completing the comeback by edging the Lakers 27-25 in the 4th.

The Pacers shot 50.6% from the field and connected on 15 threes at a 41.7% clip in their 120-119 loss to the Lakers. Bennedict Mathurin led the way with 23 points, including 8 in the 4th quarter, while Myles Turner, Andrew Nembhard, and Tyrese Haliburton each added 16 points.

Turner hit 4 threes, shooting 80% from deep, and scored 10 of his points in the 3rd quarter. Aaron Nesmith also contributed 8 of his 13 points in the opening period.

Defensively, the Pacers struggled in the 2nd quarter, giving up 40 points, but they tightened up in the 3rd and 4th, allowing just 27 and 25 points, respectively. Overall, they allowed the Lakers to shoot 51% from the field.

Indiana also had trouble defending the three, as the Lakers hit 17 threes at a 44% clip. The Pacers sent the Lakers to the line 24 times, where they made 21 free throws. Indiana finished with 29 defensive rebounds, gave up 8 offensive boards, and recorded 9 steals.

• In their last ten games away from home, the Pacers have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 2-8 vs. the spread. The team averaged 119 points per game in this stretch.
• Against the spread, the Pacers have put together of 0-4-1 in their last five games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 5-0 straight up.
• Over their last three games, the Pacers have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Wizards Can Win If…

Washington improved to 16-56 with a 119-114 road win over the 76ers on Wednesday. The Wizards, who were +3 point underdogs, not only won but also covered the spread. The game’s total points of 233 narrowly went over the pre-game line of 230.5.

The Wizards started strong, going on a 10-0 run early and leading 45-29 after the 1st quarter. Philadelphia fought back, winning the 2nd and 4th quarters 29-22 each, but Washington’s 30-27 edge in the 3rd helped them hold on after entering the 4th with a 97-85 lead.

In their win over the 76ers, the Wizards shot 50.5% from the field and hit 18 threes at a 40.9% clip. Alexandre Sarr led the way with 24 points, including 13 in the opening quarter.

Jordan Poole and Justin Champagnie each added 18 points, with Champagnie hitting 4 threes at 66.7%. Tristan Vukčević contributed 9 of his 17 points in the final quarter.

Defensively, the Wizards gave up 114 points to the 76ers but still managed to come away with the win. They allowed 29 points in the 1st, 2nd, and 4th quarters, while giving up 27 in the 3rd. Washington held Philadelphia to 42% shooting from the field.

The Wizards did well defending the three, as the 76ers shot just 30% from deep, making 14 threes. Washington sent Philadelphia to the line 20 times, where they hit 16 free throws. The Wizards finished with 36 defensive rebounds, while allowing 13 offensive boards, and they added 6 blocks.

• Across the Wizards last three home games, the team averaged 111 points per game while allowing 121. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
• As the betting underdog, the Wizards have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Washington posted a straight up mark of 4-6 in these matchups.
• In their last three games, the Wizards have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 0-3 vs. the spread.

The Lean

Not only do we have the Pacers winning this one by a score of 131-100, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Pacers at -11.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 235.5, and our model projects the Pacers and Wizards to reach a combined total of 231 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

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Pacers Look to Bounce Back Against Wizards After Heartbreaking Loss

The Indiana Pacers head to Washington on Thursday night, aiming to rebound from a gut-wrenching 120-119 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers. LeBron James’ buzzer-beating tip-in crushed Indiana’s hopes of closing their homestand with a perfect 5-0 record. Instead, the Pacers (42-30) finished 4-1 and now must quickly regroup for the second leg of their back-to-back.

Coach Rick Carlisle didn’t hold back in deploying his bench against the Lakers, giving minutes to 11 players. Bennedict Mathurin shined off the bench, scoring 23 points, marking his fourth 20-plus point game in the past six outings. Jarace Walker, though limited to just five points in eight minutes, could see a larger role against the Wizards.

“I’m proud of the way he’s kept himself ready,” Carlisle said of Walker. “He’s figured out what this league is all about. It’s about always keeping your edge, always keeping prepared.”

For more up-to-date NBA odds and predictions, check out NBA Scores and Odds.

Washington Wizards: Finding Momentum

The Washington Wizards (16-56) snapped a five-game losing streak with a 119-114 road win over the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday. Despite their rough season, the Wizards showed grit and resilience, led by a balanced scoring attack and some impressive bench contributions.

Colby Jones, who was acquired in a three-team trade last month, has been a revelation for Washington. He notched eight points and four rebounds in 28 minutes against the 76ers, knocking down buzzer-beating three-pointers to close both the first and third quarters.

“He understood time and score, what the clock was, he could actually pump-fake and still be able to get both those shots up,” said coach Brian Keefe. “Pretty impressive.”

Scoring Surge from the Perimeter

The Wizards were deadly from beyond the arc against the Sixers, with Alex Sarr, Justin Champagnie, and Jordan Poole each sinking four triples. Sarr led the team with 24 points, while both Poole and Champagnie added 18 apiece. Champagnie also recorded a double-double with 10 rebounds, his fourth of the season.

For more team stats and player insights, visit the NBA Team Page.

Key Matchups to Watch

Bennedict Mathurin vs. Jordan Poole

Mathurin has been on fire lately, while Poole remains Washington’s primary scoring threat. Poole dropped 42 points against the Pacers earlier this season, and he’ll look to replicate that success against an Indiana team that struggled defensively against the Lakers.

Jarace Walker vs. Alex Sarr

Walker’s defensive versatility will be tested against Sarr, who is coming off a 24-point game. If Walker can contain Sarr’s shooting and contribute offensively, it will give the Pacers an edge.

Tyrese Haliburton vs. Monte Morris

Haliburton’s playmaking will be crucial in setting the tone for Indiana’s offense. Morris must find ways to disrupt Haliburton’s rhythm and force turnovers to slow down the Pacers’ scoring pace.

Game Strategy

Indiana Pacers

1. Utilize the Bench: Indiana’s depth will be crucial on the second night of a back-to-back. Expect more minutes from reserves like Walker and Mathurin.
2. Control the Tempo: The Pacers are eighth in the NBA in scoring, averaging 116.6 points per game. Pushing the pace will wear down a fatigued Wizards squad.
3. Defensive Adjustments: After conceding 120 points to the Lakers, Indiana must tighten perimeter defense, particularly against Poole and Sarr.

Washington Wizards

1. Capitalize on Three-Point Shooting: The Wizards found their rhythm from deep against the 76ers. Continuing to hit from beyond the arc will be crucial against the Pacers.
2. Play Through Poole: Jordan Poole’s ability to create his own shot makes him essential for Washington’s offense. He needs to be aggressive from the opening tip.
3. Bench Production: With both teams coming off back-to-backs, secondary scoring will be vital. Jones and Champagnie must continue to contribute.

For betting tips and expert insights, visit NBA Expert Betting Guide.

Game Prediction

The Pacers have won both meetings against the Wizards this season, including a 115-103 win in Indianapolis and a 134-130 overtime victory in Washington. Given Indiana’s superior scoring and the momentum carried by Mathurin and Haliburton, they should be able to exploit the Wizards’ defensive lapses.

However, Washington’s ability to knock down threes and Poole’s scoring touch make them a potential threat, especially if Indiana’s defense remains porous.

Prediction: Pacers 121, Wizards 110
Indiana’s offensive firepower and depth should be too much for Washington to handle, even on the second night of a back-to-back.

The Pacers are looking to bounce back from a tough loss, while the Wizards hope to build on their win against the 76ers. Can Indiana secure the season sweep, or will Washington’s newfound shooting touch lead to another upset? Stay tuned for a compelling matchup!