Louisville Cardinals vs Virginia Cavaliers Picks and Predictions January 18th 2025

Louisville and Virginia Clash in Divergent ACC Journeys

As Louisville and Virginia prepare to face off in an ACC rematch on Saturday, the two teams find themselves on starkly contrasting paths. The Cardinals, riding a seven-game winning streak, are surging, while the Cavaliers aim to end a four-game skid that began with a home loss to Louisville two weeks ago.

Virginia: Searching for Answers

Virginia (8-9, 1-5 ACC) has struggled to find consistency, with their recent loss coming in heartbreaking fashion—a buzzer-beating 3-pointer from SMU’s Boopie Miller sealing a 54-52 defeat on Wednesday.

Despite the loss, interim head coach Ron Sanchez saw progress. “It’s definitely a step in the right direction with this group,” Sanchez said, highlighting his team’s effort despite subpar shooting nights from leading scorers Isaac McKneely and Elijah Saunders.

Sophomore forward Blake Buchanan was a bright spot, notching 11 points and a career-best 15 rebounds. Sanchez emphasized that if Buchanan can replicate this production and McKneely (11.9 ppg) and Saunders (11.6 ppg) return to form, Virginia could be competitive on the road.

However, road struggles have plagued the Cavaliers this season, with an 0-4 record in away games and each loss by double digits.

Louisville: Building Momentum

Louisville (13-5, 6-1 ACC) is on a tear, with their seven-game winning streak tied for the eighth-longest in the nation. Head coach Pat Kelsey credits the team’s chemistry and unselfish play for their success.

“We put together a group that is committed to winning way more than personal accolades,” Kelsey said.

Chucky Hepburn has been the engine of Louisville’s offense, averaging 15.6 points and 5.7 assists per game. Hepburn delivered a stellar 24-point, seven-assist performance in the Cardinals’ 85-61 rout of Syracuse on Tuesday.

Reyne Smith has also been a key contributor, averaging 13.3 points per game and shooting 39.3% from beyond the arc. Smith leads the ACC with 64 made 3-pointers, ranking tied for third nationally.

Louisville’s offensive depth is another strength, with four players averaging 11.7 points or more during their winning streak. The Cardinals scored 70 points in their first meeting with Virginia, the lowest total of their streak but still enough to secure a 70-58 road victory.

Key Matchups

Blake Buchanan vs. Louisville’s Frontcourt: Buchanan’s breakout performance against SMU will be critical against Louisville’s balanced attack. His ability to rebound and provide second-chance opportunities could keep Virginia competitive.

Chucky Hepburn vs. Virginia’s Defense: Hepburn’s playmaking and scoring make him a tough matchup for a Virginia defense that thrives on slowing the pace.

Reyne Smith’s Perimeter Shooting: Smith’s accuracy from beyond the arc could stretch Virginia’s defense, creating opportunities for Louisville’s versatile offense.

What’s at Stake

For Virginia, this game represents a chance to stop their slide and gain confidence on the road. A victory would show that the Cavaliers can compete in the ACC despite their recent struggles.

Louisville, meanwhile, looks to continue their impressive streak and solidify their position near the top of the ACC standings. A win would also affirm their ability to handle slower-paced teams like Virginia while maintaining their offensive efficiency.

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Conclusion

Saturday’s rematch features two teams headed in opposite directions but with plenty to prove. Will Louisville extend their winning streak with another dominant performance, or can Virginia turn the tide and find their first road win of the season? The stage is set for an intriguing ACC battle.