Michigan Wolverines vs Michigan State Spartans Picks and Predictions February 21st 2025

Michigan Wolverines vs Michigan State Spartans NCAAB Fri, Feb 21, 20:00 pm.
Michigan Wolverines
ML: -150
0
0
Michigan State Spartans
ML: 130

Membership Features

Last Updated on

Big Ten’s Biggest Battle: Michigan vs. Michigan State

The Big Ten’s most anticipated matchup of the season takes center stage Friday night when No. 12 Michigan (20-5, 12-2 Big Ten) hosts No. 14 Michigan State (21-5, 12-3) in a high-stakes rivalry game.

With first place in the Big Ten on the line, this game is massive—not just because of the rivalry, but because it could determine who controls the conference heading into March.

“We know what it means,” Michigan coach Dusty May said.

Michigan’s Red-Hot Streak and Unique Frontcourt Attack

Michigan has won six straight games, all by four points or fewer, proving they can handle high-pressure situations. Their latest victory was an 86-83 road win over Ohio State on Sunday.

The Wolverines’ success revolves around their towering duo in the frontcourt, Vladislav Goldin (15.7 PPG) and Danny Wolf (12.9 PPG, 10.0 RPG, 3.6 APG), who have been dubbed “Area 50-1.”

image 188

Wolf, a 7-foot point-forward, is a mismatch nightmare, operating the pick-and-roll like a true floor general. Against Ohio State, Michigan scored 10 times off Wolf-Goldin pick-and-roll plays.

“Some teams can defend it better than others just based on personnel,” May said. “But we’ve tried to just find ways to hide it, to camouflage it, to use it as a decoy.”

Michigan’s offensive versatility makes them difficult to game plan against, forcing teams to respect their interior presence while defending the perimeter.

Michigan State’s Depth and Guard Play Pose a Threat

Unlike Michigan, Michigan State relies on its depth and backcourt play. The Spartans go 10-deep, which could be a key factor against Michigan’s shorter rotation.

MSU is coming off two massive victories—a road win over Illinois and a home win over Purdue. With more Quad 1 opponents ahead, a win in Ann Arbor would set them up well for the Big Ten race.

Michigan State’s strength lies in its guards, led by Jaden Akins (13.1 PPG) and Jase Richardson (10.4 PPG). They bring elite defensive pressure and excel in transition.

The biggest challenge for MSU will be defending Wolf and Goldin in the paint. Tom Izzo plans to rotate four big men—Jaxon Kohler, Szymon Zapala, Carson Cooper, and Xavier Booker—to wear them down.

“We don’t need anybody to beat anybody,” Izzo said. “We just got to take care of our business.”

image 189

Key Matchups to Watch

MatchupKey Players
Michigan’s Frontcourt vs. MSU’s DefenseDanny Wolf & Vladislav Goldin vs. Jaxon Kohler & Carson Cooper
Michigan State’s Guard Play vs. Michigan’s Perimeter DefenseJaden Akins & Jase Richardson vs. Dug McDaniel & Nimari Burnett
Rebounding BattleMichigan’s size vs. MSU’s depth on the glass

Prediction: Who Takes First Place in the Big Ten?

Michigan has the size and inside dominance, but Michigan State’s depth and defensive pressure make this a clash of styles. The Spartans’ ability to limit second-chance points and force Michigan’s guards into tough decisions could be the difference.

However, if Michigan controls the paint and Wolf and Goldin continue to dominate, the Wolverines should hold serve at home.

sas logo

NBA Matchups, Odds & Picks!

Handicapping Membership

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
spread
moneyline
over/under
Michigan Wolverines
-3
-105
-150
O 150.5
-110
Michigan State Spartans
+3
-115
130
U 150.5
-110
STEAM PLAYS
STEAM PLAYS | Handicapper

Steam moves occur when sharps and/or syndicates bet heavily on one side of a betting line. 

#1 Basketball
Yesterday
-
Last 7 days
-
Last 3 days
-
Last 30 days
-