St. John’s Red Storm vs Marquette Golden Eagles Picks and Predictions March 14th 2025

St. John’s Red Storm vs Marquette Golden Eagles March 14th 2025

Planning on watching today’s Golden Eagles and Red Storm game? Catch the action at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY, as the Red Storm hosts this showdown at 6:30 ET on FOX. The over/under for this Big East conference contest is set at 140.5 points, with St. John’s being favored by -4.5 at home against Marquette.

Golden Eagles vs. Red Storm Key Information

• Sport: CBB
• Teams: Marquette Golden Eagles at St. John’s Red Storm
• Where: New York at Madison Square Garden
• Date: Friday, March 14th
• Betting Odds STJOHN -4.5, MARQ +172 | STJOHN -210 O/U 140.5

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The Golden Eagles Can Win If…

Marquette improved to 23-9 on the season with an 89-87 win over Xavier on Thursday. The Golden Eagles were -2.5 favorites going into the game but didn’t cover the spread. The total points of 176 exceeded the O/U line of 145.5.

After trailing 46-36 at halftime, Marquette turned things around in the 2nd half, outscoring Xavier 53-41 to secure the win.

Marquette’s offense put up 89 points in their last game, shooting 48.5% from the field and 42.4% from three-point range, hitting 14 of 33 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 59.1%, and they connected on 84.6% of their free throws, going 11 for 13 from the line.

Ryan Conwell led the way with 38 points, shooting 72.2% overall and 63.6% from deep, hitting 7 of 11 threes. Kam Jones added 28 points, making 5 of 10 from three-point range, while Zach Freemantle contributed 15 points and 7 rebounds.

Marquette’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 87 points on 52% shooting from the field. They allowed the opposing team to hit 19 of 34 two-point attempts, a 55% success rate.

From beyond the arc, Marquette’s opponents shot 47%, making 11 of 23 three-point attempts. They also sent the other team to the line 19 times, where they converted 16 free throws, an 84% clip. Marquette did manage to limit offensive rebounds, giving up just 5.

• In their last ten games away from home, the Golden Eagles have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 74 points per game in this stretch.
• Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Golden Eagles have a straight up record of 0-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-5.
• Over their last three games, the Golden Eagles have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 0-3 vs. the spread.

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The Red Storm Can Win If…

St. John’s improved to 28-4 on the season with a 78-57 home win over Butler on Thursday, March 13th. The Red Storm entered the game as -12.5 favorites and covered the spread, while the total points of 135 fell short of the O/U line of 145.5.

St. John’s led 37-26 at halftime and continued their strong play in the 2nd half, outscoring Butler 41-31.

St. John’s put up 78 points in their latest game, shooting 47.2% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 52.8%. They connected on 35% of their three-point attempts, going 7-for-20, and hit 51.9% of their two-point shots. The Red Storm also grabbed 14 offensive rebounds and dished out 18 assists.

RJ Luis Jr. led the way with 20 points, shooting 44.4% from the field and 66.7% from beyond the arc. Patrick McCaffery added 16 points, hitting 4-of-7 threes, while Aaron Scott and Kadary Richmond each chipped in 15 points, with Richmond also contributing 9 assists and 8 rebounds.

Even though St. John’s gave up 57 points, they allowed their opponent to shoot 47% from the field, including 51% on two-point attempts. The Red Storm also sent their opponent to the free-throw line just four times, where they converted 3 of those attempts.

From beyond the arc, St. John’s defense allowed 7 threes on 20 attempts, a 35% shooting rate. They also gave up 14 offensive rebounds in the game.

• Across their last three home contests, St. John’s has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-0-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 81 points per game.
• Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Red Storm have a straight up record of 9-1. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-4-1.
• In their last five games, the Red Storm have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

We’re calling a win for the Red Storm, with a final score of 77-69, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Red Storm at -4.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 140.5, and our model predicts the Golden Eagles and Red Storm to score a combined 146 points. We recommend betting on the over.

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St. John’s and Marquette Face Off for Big East Final Spot

The stakes couldn’t be higher as No. 6 St. John’s and No. 25 Marquette meet for the third time this season in the Big East Tournament semifinals on Friday evening at Madison Square Garden. St. John’s, the top seed in the tournament, is seeking its first conference title game appearance since 2000, while fifth-seeded Marquette is aiming for its third straight trip to the final.

St. John’s Looks to Complete Season Sweep

St. John’s (28-4) has had Marquette’s number this season, winning both regular-season matchups in dramatic fashion. The first meeting on February 4 saw the Red Storm grind out a 70-64 win at Madison Square Garden, where they have been dominant all season. In that game, St. John’s locked down defensively, holding Marquette to just 29% shooting in the second half.

After the loss, Marquette head coach Shaka Smart praised St. John’s relentless defensive pressure, calling it “incredible violence” in how they disrupted the Golden Eagles’ rhythm.

The rematch last Saturday in Milwaukee was even more intense. St. John’s, then ranked No. 6, outlasted Marquette 86-84 in overtime, sealing the victory on Zuby Ejiofor’s buzzer-beater—his second game-winner of the season. The Red Storm survived a 32-point explosion from Marquette’s Kam Jones, while RJ Luis Jr. led the way with 28 points.

Now, with a spot in the Big East title game on the line, Marquette is looking for revenge, while St. John’s hopes to continue its dominance.

Marquette’s Approach: Learning from Past Battles

Marquette (23-9) showed resilience in the quarterfinals on Thursday, coming back from a 14-point deficit to defeat Xavier 89-87. Kam Jones led the charge with 28 points, hitting 11 of 22 shots, including five three-pointers.

After the game, Smart emphasized that Marquette needs to focus on playing its best basketball for the full 40 minutes.

“The reality for us, it’s about being the best us for 40 minutes,” Smart said. “When you play great teams, they present challenges, but as I tell these guys, we present challenges, too.”

Jones has been a key player in Marquette’s offensive attack, scoring more than 25 points for the fifth time this season. His improved shooting touch will be crucial if Marquette wants to break through against St. John’s.

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St. John’s Riding Momentum into Semifinals

The Red Storm rolled past Butler in the quarterfinals, never trailing in a 78-57 victory. RJ Luis Jr., fresh off being named Big East Player of the Year, led the way with 20 points, while Kadary Richmond contributed 15 points, nine assists, and eight rebounds.

Even though the team won comfortably, head coach Rick Pitino believes they still have another level to reach.

“Basically, I told the guys that a five-plus performance is a Michael Jordan performance, and we were a four-star tonight, which was good enough to win,” Pitino said.

St. John’s defense continues to be its biggest weapon, as they held Butler to just 34.5% shooting. If they can maintain that level of intensity against Marquette, they’ll have a strong chance of securing their spot in the championship game.

What’s at Stake?

The winner of this semifinal will move on to face either No. 2 seed Creighton or No. 3 seed UConn in Saturday’s Big East championship game. For St. John’s, a win would mark its first title game appearance in 24 years, while Marquette is aiming for its third consecutive trip to the final.

With both teams playing at a high level and each having something to prove, this semifinal clash promises to be a thriller at Madison Square Garden.