Stanford Cardinal vs Utah Valley Wolverines Picks and Predictions December 3rd 2024

Stanford seeks to shake off slump as Utah Valley visits

Stanford aims to regain its footing after a stunning loss to Cal Poly as the Cardinal hosts Utah Valley on Tuesday night in their first-ever matchup. Both teams are looking to shake off recent struggles, making this game a critical moment in their seasons.

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Stanford’s Defensive Breakdown Against Cal Poly

The Cardinal (6-2) were caught off guard on Saturday, falling to Cal Poly 97-90. This marked Stanford’s first loss to the Mustangs since 1976 and was a particularly unexpected setback given Cal Poly’s poor performance last season, where they went winless in the Big West Conference. For Stanford, the loss was the result of a glaring defensive collapse, especially in the second half.

Stanford allowed 63 points in the second half alone, with Cal Poly shooting a staggering 71.4% from the field (20-for-28) after halftime. The Cardinal struggled to contain penetration from multiple positions, a vulnerability that Stanford coach Kyle Smith admitted:

“We really struggled guarding their penetration in the halfcourt. Whether it was man or zone, it put us in a pickle. We weren’t prepared enough and weren’t good enough executing to keep those guys in front, keep them out of the lane,” Smith said.

Despite the defensive lapse, Stanford’s offense remains a strength, averaging 79.5 points per game and outscoring opponents by 10.6 points per contest. Maxime Raynaud led the way with 21 points against Cal Poly, while Jaylen Blakes contributed a standout all-around performance with 17 points, eight assists, and four steals.

Utah Valley: A Dangerous Underdog

Utah Valley (4-3) enters the game with a history of defying expectations. The Wolverines last defeated a power conference opponent in the 2023 NIT, upsetting Colorado 81-69 and advancing to the semifinals before falling in overtime to UAB. However, they’re currently on a two-game losing streak after setbacks against Samford and North Dakota State in last week’s Samford Thanksgiving Invitational.

The Wolverines’ offense is led by UC Irvine transfer Carter Welling, who averages 14.8 points per game on an efficient 55.1% shooting. Welling also leads the team in rebounds, pulling down 7.2 boards per game. Utah Valley’s ability to capitalize on Stanford’s defensive lapses could be a decisive factor in the matchup.

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Key Matchup and Tactical Outlook

This will be the first meeting between Stanford and Utah Valley, adding an air of unpredictability. Both teams are desperate to snap their respective losing streaks, which sets the stage for a competitive battle.

• Stanford’s Focus: The Cardinal will need to address their defensive vulnerabilities, particularly their inability to stop dribble penetration. Improved defensive rotations and a stronger presence in the paint will be crucial.
• Utah Valley’s Edge: The Wolverines’ efficient scoring, led by Welling, could exploit Stanford’s defensive struggles if given space. Their ability to stay composed and execute under pressure will be critical.

The game may ultimately come down to Stanford’s ability to balance its strong offensive output with the defensive adjustments necessary to contain Utah Valley’s dynamic scorers.

Player Spotlights

Stanford

• Maxime Raynaud: The 7-footer has been a consistent offensive presence for the Cardinal, with his 21-point performance against Cal Poly showcasing his scoring prowess.
• Jaylen Blakes: Blakes brings energy on both ends of the floor, contributing significantly in scoring, assists, and steals. His defensive presence will be key in disrupting Utah Valley’s backcourt.

Utah Valley

• Carter Welling: The Wolverines’ go-to player, Welling combines scoring efficiency with rebounding dominance. He will be pivotal in setting the tone for Utah Valley.
• Supporting Cast: Utah Valley’s success often hinges on contributions from role players, who will need to step up to match Stanford’s firepower.

Historical Context and Stakes

For Stanford, this game represents an opportunity to recover from a rare misstep and build momentum heading into tougher competition. Conversely, Utah Valley has proven its ability to rise to the occasion against high-profile opponents, making this a potential statement game for the Wolverines.

Both teams are at a crossroads. A win could reignite their seasons, while another loss might signal deeper issues as the year progresses.

Prediction

Stanford’s offensive firepower gives them a clear advantage, but their defensive inconsistencies make this game far from a foregone conclusion. If Utah Valley can exploit Stanford’s weaknesses and slow down their offensive rhythm, the Wolverines have a chance to pull off an upset. However, Stanford’s ability to adjust and their depth of talent make them the likely favorites to emerge victorious.

Game Details

• Date: Tuesday night
• Location: Maples Pavilion, Stanford, California

Stay tuned for what promises to be a high-stakes battle between two teams hungry to get back on track.