Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arkansas Razorbacks Picks and Predictions March 4th 2025

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAB Tue, Mar 4, 22:00 pm.
Vanderbilt Commodores
ML: -270
0
0
Arkansas Razorbacks
ML: 225

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Arkansas, Vanderbilt Set for Crucial Late-Season SEC Battle

The Arkansas Razorbacks head to Nashville on Tuesday for a high-stakes clash against the Vanderbilt Commodores, with both teams fighting to improve their NCAA Tournament resumes. As the SEC regular season winds down, the outcome of this game could significantly impact each program’s postseason fate.

Vanderbilt has been one of the hottest teams in the country, riding a three-game winning streak, all against ranked opponents. Their most recent victory, a 97-93 overtime thriller over then-No. 14 Missouri, showcased their resilience as they erased a double-digit deficit to pull off a statement win.

Meanwhile, Arkansas is desperately looking to bounce back after a disastrous 72-53 loss at South Carolina on Saturday. The Razorbacks’ tournament hopes remain in jeopardy, making Tuesday’s game a must-win for John Calipari’s squad.

Vanderbilt’s Momentum Could Secure NCAA Tournament Spot

The Commodores have vaulted up the rankings thanks to their recent success, improving to 20-9 overall and 8-8 in SEC play. Their strong NET ranking (37th) and clean resume with no losses in Quads 3 and 4 put them in a favorable position for an at-large NCAA Tournament bid.

Head coach Mark Byington believes his team’s ticket is already punched after the Missouri victory, but he admitted he’s taking bracketology advice from a unique source.

“My mom told me if we win today, we’re in the NCAA Tournament, so she’s my bracketologist,” Byington said after Saturday’s win.

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Vanderbilt’s offensive firepower has been key during their winning streak. Chris Manon (23 points, 11 rebounds) and AJ Hoggard (21 points, six assists) led the way against Missouri, helping erase a deficit that lasted for more than 32 minutes.

The Commodores’ outside shooting has been elite, with Tyler Nickel (10.3 PPG) hitting 13 of his last 22 three-pointers (59.1 percent) during their recent run. Combined with leading scorer Jason Edwards (17.2 PPG), Vanderbilt has a dynamic scoring duo that will test Arkansas’ defense.

A win over the Razorbacks would all but guarantee a tournament spot, while keeping Vanderbilt in the mix for a No. 7 seed or better come Selection Sunday.

Arkansas in Desperation Mode After Blowout Loss

The Razorbacks entered Saturday riding some momentum, having won six of their last ten conference games. But their collapse against South Carolina put their postseason future on shaky ground.

Arkansas missed its first 17 three-point attempts in that loss, at one point trailing by 35 points with just over six minutes remaining.

Head coach John Calipari wasted no time shifting focus to Vanderbilt, acknowledging that the South Carolina loss was one to forget.

“I said, ‘Burn the tape and let’s get ready for Vandy,’” Calipari said.

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The Razorbacks were without leading scorer Adou Theiro (15.6 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 1.7 SPG), who sat out with a knee injury. His status for Tuesday remains uncertain, which could be a huge factor in Arkansas’ ability to keep pace with Vanderbilt’s high-scoring offense.

With Theiro’s absence, Johnell Davis (10.6 PPG) and Zvonimir Ivisic (9.8 PPG) will need to step up and provide a scoring punch. Freshman Karter Knox (7.8 PPG) has also shown signs of improvement, scoring in double figures in five straight games.

While Arkansas has struggled offensively, their defense remains one of the best in the country. Ranked 16th in KenPom’s adjusted defensive efficiency, the Razorbacks hold opponents to just 31.2 percent shooting from three-point range. That defensive strength will be critical in slowing down Vanderbilt’s red-hot perimeter shooters.

An Arkansas loss would put even more pressure on their regular-season finale against Mississippi State, which could become a must-win scenario if they drop Tuesday’s game.

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Who Has the Edge?

Vanderbilt comes into this matchup with confidence, momentum, and home-court advantage, making them the favorites. Their ability to shoot the ball efficiently from deep, led by Nickel and Edwards, poses a serious threat to an Arkansas team that struggled mightily on offense in its last game.

For Arkansas, their defense will be the key. If they can force Vanderbilt into tough shots and limit their three-point efficiency, they could grind out a much-needed road win. However, their lack of consistency on offense, combined with Theiro’s uncertain status, makes this a difficult challenge.

Can Vanderbilt lock up an NCAA Tournament spot with another quality win, or will Arkansas fight off elimination and keep their postseason hopes alive? The stakes couldn’t be higher as these two SEC rivals clash in Nashville.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Mon, Mar 3, 14:55 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Vanderbilt Commodores
-6.5
-110
-270
O 149.5
-110
Arkansas Razorbacks
+6.5
-110
225
U 149.5
-110
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