Xavier Musketeers vs Marquette Golden Eagles Picks and Predictions March 13th 2025

Xavier Musketeers vs Marquette Golden Eagles March 13th 2025

Looking to win big? The Golden Eagles and Musketeers face off at 2:30 ET on PEAC. The Musketeers are hosting the game at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY. Marquette is favored by -2.5 in this Big East conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 144.5 points.

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Golden Eagles vs. Musketeers Key Information

• Sport: CBB
• Teams: Marquette Golden Eagles at Xavier Musketeers
• Where: New York at Madison Square Garden
• Date: Thursday, March 13th
• Betting Odds MARQ -2.5, MARQ -134 | XAV +110 O/U 144.5

The Golden Eagles Can Win If…

Marquette’s season record now stands at 22-9 after a close 86-84 loss to St. John’s on Saturday. The Golden Eagles, who were -4.5 favorites at home, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread.

Marquette trailed 36-35 at halftime but edged St. John’s 40-39 in the second half. The game’s total points reached 170, surpassing the O/U line of 146.5.

Marquette put up 84 points in their last game, shooting 43.7% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 50.7%. They connected on 34.5% of their threes, hitting 10 of 29 attempts, and shot 50% from two-point range. Their free-throw shooting was a struggle, as they hit just 54.5% from the line, going 12 for 22.

Kam Jones led the way with 32 points, 9 rebounds, and 7 assists, shooting 46.7% overall and 30.8% from deep. RJ Luis Jr. added 28 points and 11 rebounds, hitting 3 of 7 threes at 42.9%. David Joplin was efficient, making 7 of 9 shots and 3 of 4 from three, finishing with 21 points.

Marquette’s defense struggled, giving up 86 points while allowing their opponent to shoot 43% from the field. They conceded 21 two-pointers on 42 attempts, a 50% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, Marquette gave up 10 threes on 29 attempts, with their opponent shooting 34%. They also sent them to the line 22 times, where they hit 12 free throws at a 54% rate. Marquette allowed 17 offensive rebounds.

• In their last five games away from home, the Golden Eagles have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 67 points per game in this stretch.
• Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Marquette has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 7-3 straight up.
• Over their last five games, the Golden Eagles have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.

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The Musketeers Can Win If…

Xavier improved to 21-10 on the season with a 76-68 win over Providence on Saturday. The Musketeers were favored by 11.5 points but didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 144, which came in under the O/U line of 149.5.

Leading 36-32 at halftime, Xavier scored 40 points in the 2nd half while allowing 36. They’ll look to build on this win as they head into their next matchup.

Xavier put up 76 points in their last game, shooting 44.8% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 51.7%. They connected on 35% of their three-point attempts (7/20) and hit 81% from the free-throw line (17/21), while also grabbing 11 offensive rebounds and dishing out 22 assists.

Bensley Joseph led the way with 27 points, hitting 7 of 10 from beyond the arc and shooting 64.3% overall. Zach Freemantle added 25 points on 68.8% shooting, and Ryan Conwell contributed 21 points, making 4 of 10 threes and handing out 5 assists.

Xavier’s defense gave up 68 points, with the opposing team shooting 44% from the field. They allowed 19 two-point field goals on 38 attempts, a 50% conversion rate.

From beyond the arc, Xavier’s opponent hit 7 of 20 threes, shooting 35%. They also sent them to the free-throw line 21 times, where they made 17, an 81% success rate. Xavier allowed 11 offensive rebounds.

• When looking at their past five home matchups, Xavier has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 80 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
• Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Musketeers have a straight up record of 1-9. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.
• In their last five games, the Musketeers have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

The Musketeers come in as the underdog at +2.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 144.5, and our model projects the Golden Eagles and Musketeers to reach a combined total of 145 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

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Xavier Looks to Boost NCAA Hopes Against No. 25 Marquette

With their NCAA Tournament chances hanging in the balance, the Xavier Musketeers look to make a statement when they face No. 25 Marquette in the Big East quarterfinals on Thursday afternoon in New York City.

Xavier has been one of the hottest teams in the Big East, winning seven straight games, but their overall tournament resume still needs work.

A win over Marquette—the defending Big East tournament champions—would go a long way in cementing Xavier’s March Madness hopes.

Xavier’s Late Surge Keeps Tournament Dreams Alive

At 21-10 overall with a NET ranking of 44, Xavier has played itself into the NCAA Tournament conversation.

However, their biggest weakness is their record in Quad 1 games (1-8). That lack of marquee wins puts them on the bubble, making this game a must-win.

Head coach Sean Miller believes his team is playing at its peak right now.

“I think we’re playing our best basketball of the season,” Miller said. “I feel like we’re an NCAA Tournament team.”

Key Reasons for Xavier’s Success

• Seven-game winning streak, longest in the Big East
• Averaging 82.1 PPG during the streak
• Wins over UConn and Marquette earlier this season

One of the biggest reasons for Xavier’s surge is Zach Freemantle, who scored 25 points in the regular-season finale against Providence.

• Freemantle is averaging 24.0 PPG over his last three games.
• Ryan Conwell has also stepped up, averaging 21.0 PPG over his last four games.

While Xavier has dominated the lower-tier teams in the conference, a win over Marquette in the Big East tournament would solidify their case for an NCAA berth.

Marquette Aims to Regain Momentum

The Golden Eagles (22-9) have reached the Big East title game in three straight seasons, including last year’s championship win over Xavier.

However, they stumbled down the stretch, finishing the season 7-7 in their final 14 games.

Marquette dropped its last two games, including an 86-84 overtime loss to St. John’s on Saturday.

Head coach Shaka Smart emphasized that his team needs to quickly reset heading into the tournament.

“Response is a huge key in our program, the ability to focus on the next most important thing,” Smart said.

Key Players for Marquette

• Kam Jones (15.3 PPG, unanimous All-Big East First Team selection)
• Scored 32 points vs. St. John’s after a 21-point game vs. UConn
• Leads Marquette’s offense in big moments

For Jones, this is his final shot at a Big East title.

“Now’s the most important time, the postseason of your senior year,” Jones said.

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Head-to-Head: Xavier vs. Marquette

• Last Meeting: Xavier won 75-73 on Jan. 18, when Marquette was ranked No. 7.
• Big East Tournament History: Last matchup was Marquette’s 2023 championship win over Xavier.
• Marquette has struggled against top Big East teams, dropping five games to UConn, Creighton, and St. John’s in the last month.

Key Matchups to Watch

Zach Freemantle vs. Marquette’s Interior Defense

• Freemantle is dominating offensively—can Marquette slow him down?
• Marquette allowed 86 points to St. John’s—defense must tighten up.

Kam Jones vs. Xavier’s Perimeter Defense

• Jones is coming off back-to-back 20+ point games.
• Xavier must limit his shot opportunities to keep Marquette’s offense in check.

Xavier’s Quad 1 Record vs. Marquette’s Experience

• Xavier needs another statement win to feel secure for the NCAA Tournament.
• Marquette has been here before—will their experience in big games give them the edge?

Final Thoughts: A Must-Win for Xavier?

For Xavier, a win here could solidify their NCAA Tournament bid.

For Marquette, this is a chance to get back on track and defend their Big East title.

Will Xavier continue its red-hot run, or will Marquette prove its championship pedigree once again?

Tip-off is Thursday afternoon at Madison Square Garden.