2024-25 Best Record In The NFL Odds and Predictions

Does the best regular-season NFL team always go on to win the Super Bowl? Hardly. In fact, the team that finished the regular season with the best win-loss record has only won 3 of the past 11 Super Bowls dating back to 2013. The Chiefs were the last to accomplish the feat in 2022. Last year, the Ravens finished with the best record but failed to even advance to The Big Game.

Fortunately, you can bet on which team will finish with the best record without having to worry about whether they’ll go on to win a championship. Bet365 has NFL odds posted for each of the 32 teams in the league to finish the upcoming 2024-25 campaign with the league’s best record. Spoiler alert: It’s probably not going to be the Panthers or Patriots.

As you would expect, the odds to finish with the top record are the direct inverse of the odds to finish with the worst record in football. Which team is the best bet to finish atop the standings? Let’s dive into the odds and place our NFL bet.

2024-25 NFL Best Record Betting Odds

Kansas City Chiefs (+500)

The Kansas City Chiefs remain perennial contenders thanks to the combination of quarterback Patrick Mahomes, tight end Travis Kelce, and head coach Andy Reid. As long as these 3 are still around, it’s hard to imagine the Chiefs going anywhere.

With Mahomes leading the offense, the Chiefs have consistently been one of the league’s most explosive teams. Kansas City won their second consecutive Super Bowl last season, becoming the first team since the 2004-05 Patriots to win consecutive NFL titles.

The rich only seem to be getting richer. Wide receiver has been a relative weakness for the Chiefs since they traded Tyreek Hill to the Dolphins a couple of years ago. With Kelce likely on the back end of his career, Kansas City’s brass decided upgrading the receiving corps would be a priority this offseason. So, the champs went out and traded for former Pro Bowl wideout Marquise Brown and used their first-round pick on ex-Texas standout Xavier Worthy.

Brown and Worthy will instantly bring even more speed to an offense that already had an embarrassment of it. Kansas City also inked star defensive tackle Chris Jones to a lucrative contract extension that’ll keep him in town for the foreseeable future. Jones turned 30 at the beginning of July, but the Chiefs are apparently unconcerned about a potential decline over the next few seasons.

This team is a legitimate dynasty, so it’s fair to assume consistency won’t be an issue as long as they can stay relatively healthy. The competition in the AFC West is fierce, but this is the team to beat until further notice. Kansas City has won the AFC West in every season since 2016, and they haven’t won fewer than 10 games since the 2014 campaign.

San Francisco 49ers (+500)

The San Francisco 49ers have one of the most balanced rosters in the NFL, featuring a hard-nosed defense and a versatile, talented offense. Head coach Kyle Shanahan’s innovative play-calling and the team’s depth at key positions make them a serious contender to finish atop the standings again in 2024.

While the Niners fell to the Chiefs in the Super Bowl for the second time in the last handful of years, there’s no reason to believe this team is going anywhere. With Brock Purdy still playing on a bargain contract, the 49ers can afford to load the rest of the roster with expensive talent. They’ve done just that, as you can argue there isn’t another team in football – Kansas City included – with as many Pro Bowl-caliber players on the offensive side of the football as the Niners boast.

What have they done this offseason to try and close the gap? The offense is largely unchanged as of now, though there’s still a chance star wideout Brandon Aiyuk will be traded if he can’t come to terms on an extension to stay in the Bay. San Francisco has otherwise attempted to upgrade the defense, bringing in veterans like Maliek Collins, Leonard Floyd, Yetur Gross-Matos, and De’Vondre Campbell.

Once Purdy’s payday comes, the Niners are going to have some uncomfortable decisions to make. While Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, and George Kittle are top players at their respective positions, the team will still go as far as Christian McCaffrey can carry it. If C-Mac goes down at any point, the 49ers could fall short of expectations.

Baltimore Ravens (+700)

The Baltimore Ravens boast a dynamic offense led by quarterback Lamar Jackson and an aggressive, opportunistic defense. Their ability to control the game with their ground attack will again make them a contender in the AFC.

Baltimore’s 13-4 record last season was the league’s best, but oddsmakers are a bit skeptical of their chances to repeat the feat. The Ravens have been among the best regular-season teams in football over the past handful of years, but they’re still in search of their first Super Bowl appearance since 2013. Baltimore has won at least 10 games in 5 of the last 6 years, but they’ve won just two playoff games in that span.

Of course, we’re not here to talk about the playoffs. Lamar Jackson won the second MVP award of his career last season, and he remains an absolute nightmare for opposing defenses. Jackson’s prowess on the ground often makes running backs a secondary consideration for opposing defenses, but the Ravens did add former Pro Bowler Derrick Henry to the mix this offseason. Henry is 30 and may be past his prime, but Baltimore is banking on the former rushing champ to still have some gas left in the tank.

One problem is that this team has lost quite a bit of talent this offseason. Henry is here to replace the departed Gus Edwards and KJ Dobbins, who both fled west to join the Chargers. Devin Duvernay, Jadeveon Clowney, John Simpson, Patrick Queen, and Ronald Darby are among the other ex-Ravens now flying with new murders. Baltimore also lost defensive coordinator Mike Macdonald, who left to become the new head coach for the Seahawks.

Cincinnati Bengals (+900)

Led by Joe Burrow, the Cincinnati Bengals have an explosive offense capable of putting up points against any defense. Their young, talented roster is complemented by a solid defense that can create turnovers and pressure opposing quarterbacks.

Burrow wasn’t healthy last season, as he was limited to just 10 games. He didn’t play particularly well even when he was in the lineup, however, as he battled a nagging calf injury he originally sustained in a training camp practice. The former Heisman Trophy winner is back and sporting a new ‘do, and hopes are once again high in Cincinnati following a disappointing 2023.

The Bengals traded longtime starting running back Joe Mixon to the Texans, but they’re hoping Zack Moss and Chase Brown can replace him in the aggregate. Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins might be the best WR duo in the entire league, and the team added some solid pieces in Geno Stone and Trent Brown this offseason.

You may be surprised to see a team that finished 9-8 with such favorable odds to finish with the best record this season, but Cincinnati also gets the benefit of a favorable schedule. Based on Warren Sharp’s strength of schedule metrics, the Bengals will face the sixth-easiest schedule in football this season. Only the Falcons, Chargers, Bears, Jets, and Saints got easier draws.

The Bengals are the best team in that group on paper, which helps to explain why they’re so high on the list.

Philadelphia Eagles (+1000)

Remember when the Philadelphia Eagles looked like the league’s best team last year? That didn’t last long, did it? Philly got off to a blistering 10-1 start and looked primed to make a second straight trip to the Super Bowl. Things went horribly wrong from there, however.

The Birds lost 5 of their last 6 games, which ultimately cost them the NFC East title. Philadelphia then got blown out, 32-9, in the Wild Card Round of the playoffs by a so-so Buccaneers outfit. What the hell happened here?

Philly made one of the splashiest moves of the offseason by luring star running back Saquon Barkley away from the rival Giants in free agency. Barkley has battled injuries in his career, but he’s been one of the game’s most electrifying players when healthy. The Eagles are hoping Barkley’s ability will make life easier on Jalen Hurts while also opening things up in the passing game for AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert.

The defense has a nice blend of youth and experience, and we’ve seen Nick Sirianni guide the Eagles to a conference title before. At +1000, the Eagles look like an interesting value bet to top the standings in 2024.

Detroit Lions (+1200)

Everyone’s favorite Cinderella story is back for another run at glory. The Detroit Lions ultimately fell to the 49ers in the NFC Championship Game last season, but hopes entering 2024 are as high as ever in the Motor City.

The Lions have steadily improved under head coach Dan Campbell. With a young, talented roster and a strong offensive line, Detroit is poised to make yet another leap this season. This offense is largely unchanged from the one that nearly made a Super Bowl run last season. Jared Goff has settled in nicely since arriving in Detroit several years ago, and he has a boatload of high-octane weapons at his disposal between Amon-Ra St. Brown, Sam LaPorta, Jameson Williams, and Khalif Raymond.

The running game is also something special. David Montgomery is fresh off of a career year in his first season with the team, while Jahmyr Gibbs was exactly what the team hoped he’d be after they surprisingly drafted him with a top-10 pick out of Alabama prior to last season. This is probably the most talented stable of running backs in the league, so the Lions should put points on the board in bunches.

Detroit snagged DJ Reader on a free agent contract this offseason, and he’ll instantly provide a menacing presence on the interior of the defensive line. He should prove to be an ideal complement to Aidan Hutchinson, who looks like a dark-horse Defensive Player of the Year threat.

Navigating a division that also features potential playoff contenders in the Packers, Bears, and Vikings won’t be easy, but the Lions are clearly the class of the NFC North entering this season. At +1200, they look like a terrific value bet, as well.

Dallas Cowboys (+1400)

The Dallas Cowboys have a high-powered offense led by Dak Prescott and a solid defense that can create turnovers. With playmakers on both sides of the ball, Dallas is always a threat to finish with the best record.

However, the ‘Boys have been unusually quiet this offseason. After an embarrassing playoff defeat at home to the Packers, the Cowboys have apparently decided to run it back with a largely unchanged roster. Star left tackle Tyron Smith and running back Tony Pollard are gone, while Tyler Guyton and Ezekiel Elliott (welcome back!) are expected to replace them. Otherwise, this looks a lot like the same team that didn’t get the job done last season. They didn’t even fire Mike McCarthy!

Of course, there is still enough talent here for Dallas to make a run. After all, they did win 12 games and finish atop the NFC East a season ago. That they didn’t part ways with McCarthy and get a fresh face into the mix is a surprise, however, and they did lose defensive coordinator Dan Quinn, who’s now patrolling the sidelines for the Commanders.

Atlanta Falcons (+1600)

Of the teams with favorable odds to finish atop the NFL standings, the Atlanta Falcons are perhaps the biggest surprise at +1600. Atlanta hasn’t even made the playoffs since 2017! That was also the last time they won more than 8 games in a season.

Things are a bit different now, however. As mentioned previously, Atlanta will face the easiest on-paper schedule of the 32 teams. The NFC South is also a laughingstock of a division, and they look like the best team by default. The Panthers look like the dregs of the league, while the Buccaneers and Saints are potential fringe playoff teams in the NFC. The Falcons have a win total over/under of 9.5 with juice (-140) to the over.

The Falcons finally took an axe to Arthur Smith following a trio of 7-10 finishes and generally underwhelming performances. Atlanta brought Raheem Morris in to replace him. Perhaps more importantly, the Falcons also signed veteran QB Kirk Cousins to come to town from Minnesota. While Cousins does have his fair share of detractors, he’s also an unquestionable upgrade over the dismal Desmond Ridder. The Falcons also made the rather curious call to spend a top-10 pick on his potential long-term replacement, Michael Penix Jr.

The Falcons had no business being as terrible as they were last season, so many expect improvement with Cousins under center. Bijan Robinson showed consistent flashes of potential last season, while Drake London and Kyle Pitts are two of the best young players at their respective positions in football. There’s a good amount of experience along the offensive line,

The Falcons have a young, talented roster, so it’s easy to see why they should improve. With playmakers at the skill positions and a solid defense, Atlanta has the potential to surprise this season.

Houston Texans (+1600)

The Houston Texans are essentially the AFC’s version of the Lions. This franchise has been a perennial loser since its inception in 2002, but they enter the 2024 season with more hype than they’ve ever generated before.

Houston made a surprise run to the playoffs last season after entering the year with some of the worst odds of any team to win their division. Rookie QB CJ Stroud massively defied expectations, and he’s primed to contend for an MVP trophy in year two.

This summer, the Texans have aggressively attempted to build out the roster around him as he continues to play on his rookie deal. Stefon Diggs, Joe Mixon, Danielle Hunter, and Denico Autry are just a handful of the big names Houston has brought in over the past few months, and they’re slight favorites over the Jaguars to claim their second straight AFC South crown.

Houston is a long-shot to finish with the NFL’s best record at +1600, but saw them come out of nowhere to defy the odds just last season. Could they do it again this year?

Who Will Finish With the NFL’s Best Record?

Injuries will play an unfortunate role this season, just as they do every year. Some teams that will enter the season with high hopes – like the Bengals last season – will fail to live up to them for reasons outside their control. Of course, it’s also impossible to predict injuries before they happen, so we can’t really account for that in our analysis.

You’re certainly not wrong to wager on a frontrunner like the Chiefs or 49ers. These once again look like the league’s 2 best teams, and a lot would have to go wrong for either of them to win less than 10 games. I prefer the Chiefs to the Niners among the favorites given their easier path in the AFC West.

However, we want more upside with our bets, don’t we? Among the teams with odds longer than +1000 to top the standings, I think the Lions (+1200) and Texans (+1600) are the standouts. Detroit looks particularly undervalued after finishing just one game shy of a Super Bowl appearance last year. They’ll be hungry to bring Detroit its first-ever Super Bowl title, so motivation won’t be an issue for Goff and company.

Best Bet: Detroit Lions (+1200)