2024 College Football Week 15 Odds and Predictions

It’s Championship Week in College Football. The results of Friday and Saturday’s games will determine the final field for the first-ever 12-team College Football playoff. The results of Week 14 will play a role as well. Who would have thought Michigan would upset No. 2 Ohio State? The Buckeyes loss knocked them out of the Big Ten championship game, which we will preview a little later.

Ohio State fell to No. 7 in the CFP rankings and appears to be safe and should make the playoffs. A few teams could be in trouble though depending upon the outcome of this weekend’s championship games. Alabama is the only team with three losses ranked in the Top 12 right now. They could easily get knocked out of that position if a team like Clemson sneaks up on SMU and wins the ACC title game.

There are dozens of scenarios that will all play out and lead up to Sunday night’s College Football Playoff and Bowl Selection show. The matchups for the opening round of the playoffs and all of the bowl games will be announced Sunday, Dec. 8, starting at 12 p.m. All of our questions will be answered.

Heading into this weekend, we’ll see four rematches in the championship games. The Conference USA tilt between Western Kentucky and Jacksonville State should be very interesting. The two teams just played each other in Week 14. WKU won the game 19-17 on a 50-yard field goal as time expired.

The Mountain West championship pits UNLV at Boise State. The Broncos beat the Rebels in Las Vegas 29-24 back in October. The MAC championship is a rematch between Ohio and Miami. The RedHawks won the first game 30-20. The biggest game of the day, and surely the most-watched, will be No. 5 Georgia and No. 2 Texas in the SEC championship game. Georgia beat the Longhorns earlier this season, 30-15.

Keep reading to get our experts take on these championship games in Week 15. Then, keep it tuned to Scores & Stats throughout the playoffs and the bowl season as well as all the way to the 2024-25 College Football Playoff national championship game. Let’s take a look at the CFB Week 15 odds.

Industry’s Best

Handicapping Membership

Get Free Trial

College Football Week 15 Odds

Keep an eye on the latest College Football Odds and monitor how the lines change throughout the week.

It was one heckuva rivalry week as we celebrated the Thanksgiving holiday with plenty of food, family, and football. Georgia Tech almost pulled off a colossal upset of Georgia in a game that went to eight overtimes and will have the NCAA rethinking its overtime rules.

There were several rivalry upsets like Minnesota’s 24-7 win over Wisconsin in the Paul Bunyan’s Axe game. The biggest of all the upsets was unranked Michigan’s dominance of Ohio State in a 13-10 victory. It was the fourth straight win for Michigan and the fourth straight time that the Buckeyes entered the game ranked No. 2 in the nation.

No. 6 Miami and No. 12 Clemson both fell victim to the upset. The Hurricanes lost out on a berth in the ACC title game. That went to Clemson and the Tigers will play SMU on Saturday. The Mustangs are 11-1 and currently ranked eighth in the CFP poll.

There is plenty of value for bettors in this championship week. Bettors can get Georgia as a +114 underdog against Texas, a team they already beat once this season. The Bulldogs are 2.5-point dogs and remember, SEC underdogs are winning at over 60 percent this season.

It’s a similar story in the Big 12 where upstart Arizona State is favored over Iowa State by 2.5 points. The Cyclones opened as a 1-point favorite, but the line has now flipped to ASU who will not have their top WR Jordyn Tyson on Saturday. The Cyclones are one of the top defenses in college football and the Sun Devils running game is 21st in the nation. That puts the Under in play.

Remember, when betting college football conference championship games, fading the public is often a solid play. Since 2005, teams getting less than 50 percent of the betting tickets have won a conference title game roughly 58 percent of the time. Teams getting less than 40 percent of the tickets win at a 61.5 percent clip. Keep that in mind as you check out the Week 15 schedule.

College Football Week 15 Schedule

2024 AAC Conference Championship Game

The American Athletic Conference pits Tulane (9-3) against Army (10-1). Army’s only loss came to Notre Dame just two weeks ago. The Black Knights lead the nation in rushing with 306.3 yards per game. They are the only team in the country gaining over 300 yards on the ground.

Army and Tulane did not play each other during the regular season. The two teams have played each other in the past. Their most recent meeting was in 2020, a game won by Tulane 38-12. In fact, the Green Wave have won the last four games against Army dating back to 2015.

In addition to being 9-3 SU, Tulane is also 9-3 ATS this season. The Green Wave have covered four of their last five games. Tulane is also 5-0 ATS on the road this season. Army is 7-4 ATS on the season, but has failed to cover in four of its last five games.

Both offenses can light up the scoreboard. Tulane ranks fifth in the nation in scoring averaging 37.9 points per game. The Over has cashed in two of their last three games. Army is 32nd in the nation in scoring at 31.8 points per game. The Knights were in the Top 10 until a run of 20, 14, and 14 points near the end of the regular season.

AAC Conference Championship Predictions

After losing head coach Willie Fritz to Houston, Tulane brought in Jon Sumrall from Troy. Many thought the Green Wave would struggle some as they adapted to their new head coach. Sumrall wasn’t having any of it. Tulane has played in each of the last two AAC conference championship games. No one thought they’d be back and challenging to be the AAC conference champion in 2024. But, they are.

The Green Wave did lose to Memphis in their season finale. That loss probably dropped Tulane from CFP contention, but anything can happen. It starts with a win over Army. Getting that win will be difficult, but Tulane does have one advantage. They played Navy and beat the Midshipmen 35-0. The only problem is that Army’s offense is still different from what Navy does.

Plus, Army controls the ball for 36 minutes per game. Army held North Texas, a team that averaged nearly 35 points a game, to just three. They did it by controlling the ball for over 41 minutes.

Here’s the bigger issue. Tulane will travel over 1,300 miles to play on Army’s home field. The Green Wave’s run defense just got torched for 242 yards. During the season, Tulane gave up 200-plus to elite rushing offenses like Louisiana, Kansas State, and Oklahoma.

Army has 29 percent of the moneyline tickets early in the week. But, the Black Knights have almost 75 percent of the money. That’s sharp money and it’s telling us something.

Bet: Army +172, Army +6.5 (-110), Over 45.5

2024 ACC Conference Championship Game

Week 14 proved to be crucial in determining who would face SMU in the ACC title game. The Mustangs, in their first season as an ACC member, ran through the schedule and went 8-0 in conference play. They were the only unbeaten in the conference and their opponent came down to Miami and Clemson. As mentioned already, both teams lost last week, but the Tigers owned the tiebreaker and got the berth.

The two teams did not play during the regular season. In fact, the two well-known college football programs have never played each other before. While SMU went 11-1 SU and 8-4 ATS, Clemson (9-3) had issues against the number. The Tigers went just 5-7 ATS during the season and finished with a 1-5 ATS run. They played one neutral site game this season and failed to cover that one as well.

SMU won nine straight to finish the season and went 7-2 ATS in those games. The Mustangs have won 17 straight games played on a Saturday. Since 2022, Rhett Lashlee has been SMU’s head coach. He is 26-3 SU with two losses to BYU and one to Boston College. The Mustangs are 17-12 ATS in those games. SMU has played two neutral site games under Lashlee. They are 0-2 SU in those games.

ACC Conference Championship Predictions

SMU quietly became one of the ten best teams in the country in 2024. One could argue that they had a soft schedule, but they did beat a Louisville team that was ranked at the time and Pitt, who was unbeaten and ranked at the time. The Mustangs dominated teams they were supposed to dominate and did it with a high-scoring offense and a shut-down defense.

SMU is fourth in the nation in scoring (39.3 ppg). The Mustangs defense has been one of the bigger surprises in college football this year. SMU ranks 23rd in scoring defense (20.9 ppg), 33rd in total defense (341.5 ypg), and ninth against the run (101.5 ypg).

The Mustangs are favored by 2.5 points. The line opened at 1.5 and is steaming towards SMU. The Mustangs have 72 percent of the ATS tickets and 82 percent of the money. Should you fade the public here? Well, Dabo Swinney has coached eight ACC championship games. He’s 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS. What’s interesting is that Clemson has three straight ATS losses coming into Saturday. Over the last decade, teams on a three-plus ATS losing streak are 7-0 SU and ATS in conference championship games. Despite that, we think SMU is too strong.

Bet: SMU -137, SMU -2.5 (-110), Over 56.5 (-110)

2024 Big 12 Conference Championship Game

As much as SMU was a surprise in the ACC, Arizona State might be a bigger one in the Big 12. The Sun Devils quietly went 10-2 and really could have gone unbeaten if not for losses to Texas Tech (8-4) and Cincinnati (5-7). Arizona State enters the Big 12 championship as the favorite, though at opening it was the Cyclones that were a 1-point chalk. The Sun Devils are favored by 2.5.

These two programs have never played each other. ASU was in the Pac-8, -10, and -12 for most of its existence. Iowa State was a Big Eight member until 1995 and has been a Big 12 member ever since. Their paths have never crossed until this Saturday’s meeting.

Iowa State is just 2-4 ATS in its last six games. The Cyclones have not done well against the number late in seasons. In their last seven games played in the month of December, Iowa State is just 1-6 ATS. The Cyclones are also 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against Big 12 opponents.

The Sun Devils have been strong against the number this season. Remember, good teams win and great teams cover and Arizona State did exactly that. ASU went 10-2 ATS this season. The two games they lost were the two games they didn’t cover. The Sun Devils were underdogs in each game but failed to cover the spread.

Big 12 Conference Championship Predictions

Iowa State started the season strong before losing back-to-back games to Texas Tech and Kansas. The Cyclones win games with defense and sophomore QB Rocco Becht. Iowa State actually passes for 257.2 yards per game, which is 32nd in the nation. The defense ranks No. 18 in scoring defense allowing 19.4 points per game. The Cyclones are third in the nation against the pass.

Against the Sun Devils, ISU is going to have to stop the run, specifically RB Cam Skattebo. The ASU senior has 1,398 rushing yards and 17 touchdowns. The run game helps QB Sam Leavitt (2,444 yds., 21 TDs) in the passing game. The Sun Devils have won and covered in five straight games. They beat a ranked Kansas State team, then a ranked BYU team, and then crushed rival Arizona last week.

ASU’s ATS record is the second-best in the country (behind Marshall). Major conference teams to enter their title game with a five games-plus ATS streak are 7-4 ATS. When the Big 12 title game is at a neutral site, the favorite has won 12 straight. This one should be close.

Bet: Arizona State ML, Iowa State +2.5 (-102), Under 50.5 (-110) 

2024 Big 10 Conference Championship Game

Ohio State’s loss gave Penn State the nod for the Big Ten championship game. Now, the Nittany Lions will have to face the No. 1-ranked team in the country – Oregon. The Ducks (12-0) are the only remaining unbeaten team in the nation. While Oregon was unbeaten, they were just 6-6 ATS. So was Penn State.

It’s well known that the Nittany Lions under head coach James Franklin do very well as a favorite, 92-15 SU as chalk. As an underdog, not so much. PSU is just 7-25 SU as an underdog under Franklin. Penn State is 4-2 ATS in its last six games. Oregon is actually 5-2 ATS in its last seven.

Both teams have been crushing Big Ten opponents. Penn State is 11-1 SU in the last 12 against conference opponents. Oregon has won 13 straight Big Ten games. One of the big reasons why is because both teams have few faults on either side of the ball. Oregon ranks fifth in the nation in average scoring margin (+19.8). Penn State is seventh (+19.3).

Penn State’s last three games all went Over the total. That’s because the Nittany Lions scored 40-plus in two of the three. The Under has cashed in 10 of Oregon’s last 15 games. The two teams rank seventh (Penn State) and eighth (Oregon) in scoring defense in the nation.

Big Ten Conference Championship Predictions

Watching the way Penn State struggled with Maryland a few weeks ago, it’s hard to see them beating Oregon. The Ducks are one of the few teams in the country that just don’t make many mistakes. Head coach Dan Lanning’s team has gotten better as the season has worn on. Wisconsin gave Oregon a game, but other than that, the Ducks dominated five of their final six opponents.

The big difference in this game could be Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel versus Penn State QB Drew Allar. In games against Illinois and Ohio State, Allar averaged 141 passing yards and didn’t throw a touchdown. In fact, Penn State’s offense didn’t score in either game.

On the other end, Gabriel was outstanding in wins over Ohio State and Michigan. Oregon can beat you with the run or the pass, but the Ducks are also very good on defense. Defense is the only thing that can keep Penn State in this one. Unbeaten teams in conference championship games are 37-17 SU since 1992. However, when those teams have been favored by five or less, they are just 6-9 SU.

Favorites in the Big Ten title game are 9-4 SU, but just 5-8 ATS. The favorite has won the last seven Big Ten championship games.

Bet: Oregon -170, Penn State +3.5 (-110), Under 49.5 (-110)

2024 Conference USA Championship Game

The Conference USA title game is interesting because the two entrants just played each other last week. Western Kentucky needed a win over Jacksonville State last week to get into the C-USA championship and that’s exactly what the Hilltoppers got.

Surprisingly, last week’s game was a defensive battle. Both offenses actually excelled at what they do best. Jacksonville State is No. 2 in the nation in rushing (260 ypg) and ran for 229 against the Hilltoppers last week. Western Kentucky is a passing team and QB Caden Veltkamp went 28-for-47 for 301 yards and one touchdown.

Western Kentucky has won 11 of its past 15 games. They haven’t been so good against the number though. The Hilltoppers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games, but they have covered in four of their last six games they’ve played as the underdog.

JSU is 8-1 SU in its last nine games and the Gamecocks are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games against a Conference USA opponent. JSU is 6-3 ATS in its last nine games and they have won five straight at home. The Gamecocks are 4-2 ATS at home this season.

CUSA Conference Championship Predictions

There are some trends favoring the Gamecocks to get revenge on Saturday. There have been four C-USA title games where the opponents played each other in the regular season. The favorite is 0-4 ATS. Now, that doesn’t favor Jacksonville State, but this does.

JSU under head coach Rich Rodriguez have faced an opponent they have already played that season twice – Liberty and New Mexico State. The Gamecocks are 2-0 SU and ATS and won both games by 10 or more points.

The way the Gamecocks run the ball, they may be able to keep the ball away from Veltkamp and the Hilltoppers offense. That may be unlikely though as JSU likes to play pretty fast. WKU is no slouch either and remember, both teams can score. JSU averages 35.4 points per game (13th) and Western Kentucky scores 26.3 a game. These two could be chasing each other all game.

Bet: Jacksonville State -200, Jacksonville State -4.5 (-110), Over 57.5 (-110)

2024 MAC Conference Championship Game

Ohio hasn’t won a MAC championship since 1968. They have played in the MAC title game five times since it was instituted and the Bobcats have lost all five. Miami, on the other hand, has played in six MAC finals. The RedHawks are 4-2. The Bobcats have just one loss in conference play this season. That came back in mid-October…to Miami, 30-20.

Since the loss, Ohio has reeled off five straight wins and five straight ATS victories. The Bobcats offense has averaged 37.8 points per game in their winning streak, which is better than every other MAC team by over a touchdown. Can they get their first MAC title?

MAC Conference Championship Predictions

Miami (8-4) is led by sixth-year QB Brett Gabbert on offense and sixth-year LB Jack Salopek on defense. The RedHawks win games with the defense. Miami has won seven straight. In that streak, the RedHawks defense allowed 12.8 points per game and held three of the opponents to fewer than 10 points.

Miami, the defending MAC champion, has won the last two games against Ohio. The RedHawks have won seven straight and, as mentioned, Ohio is 5-0 SU and ATS. Teams that have won five straight both SU and ATS prior to a conference championship are just 2-5 SU and 0-6-1 ATS. They have failed to cover the spread by 8.6 points per game.

This game will be a battle of Miami’s stout defense and Ohio’s offense which is built around the run. The Bobcats rank 19th in the nation in rushing, averaging 204.4 yards per game. They have rushed for 200 in three of their last five games, but what has really helped is a run defense that has limited three of its last four opponents to 52 rushing yards or less. It’s hard to beat a team twice in the same season, but it can be done.

Both Ohio and Miami played last Friday. Since 2006 when two teams are on extended rest playing in a conference championship game, the Under is 14-7.

Bet: Miami -172, Miami -2.5 (-110), Under 44.5

2024 Mountain West Conference Championship Game

The Mountain West title game is a rematch between UNLV and Boise State. As mentioned, the Broncos beat the Rebels earlier in the season, 29-24, in Las Vegas. This game is a key to the College Football playoff. If UNLV, which is a four-point underdog, pulls off the upset, the Group of 5 representative in the CFP will change.

Boise State RB Ashton Jeanty scored the game-changing touchdown in the final quarter of that earlier game against UNLV. The Broncos have covered in just three of their last seven games. One of those covers was the first game against the Rebels when they were favored by four and won by five.  The Rebels are in the same boat. They are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games and they’ve lost seven straight to the Broncos.

The Broncos have won 10 straight and 11 in a row at home. What’s interesting is that Boise State has only covered once in its last seven games in the month of December. UNLV is 6-0 SU on the road this year and they are 4-2 ATS in those away games. Boise State is just 3-3 ATS in its home games this season.

MWC Conference Championship Predictions

If there is one team in the Mountain West that can go toe-to-toe with Boise State, it’s the Rebels. UNLV is seventh in the nation in rushing offense (235.9 ypg). In the first game against Boise, UNLV ran for 188 yards. On the other side of the ball, UNLV is 14th in the nation in run defense, allowing 104.4 yards per game. The Rebels held Jeanty to 128 yards, well below his season per game average.

Teams that lost to their conference championship game opponent during the regular season have not fared well in the title game. Those teams are 26-42 SU and 33-33-2 ATS since 1999. Boise State has won eight straight against UNLV and they have covered the spread in each of the last three.

This should be a cold weather battle and the difference could be which quarterback shines. Last time, that was Maddux Madsen who threw for 209 yards and a touchdown and ran three times for 58 yards and another score. UNLV’s Hajj-Malik Williams had a great game as well with 179 passing yards and two touchdowns and 105 rushing yards and another touchdown. At home where the Broncos have won 11 straight, Boise will be tough to beat. Plus, they can secure a playoff berth with a win.

Bet: Boise State -185, Boise State -4 (-110), Under 58.5

2024 SEC Conference Odds and Predictions

It’s a rematch of monumental proportions as No. 2 Texas and No. 5 Georgia meet again. The two teams played on Oct. 19 in Texas and the Bulldogs walked away a 30-15 winner. The Longhorns were four-point favorites in that game and failed to cover. In fact, both teams have not been strong against the number this season.

Georgia is 3-9 ATS and Texas is at least over .500 at 7-5 ATS. The Longhorns are just 2-4 ATS in their last six games. The Bulldogs struggled as a 17-point favorite against rival Georgia Tech in their season finale. Georgia won in eight overtimes, 44-42.

Texas beat its rival, Texas A&M, in the regular season finale, 17-7, covering as a 4.5-point favorite. The Longhorns have been pretty consistent since the loss to Georgia. Texas has won five straight and other than a scare against Vanderbilt, the Horns held Florida, Arkansas, Kentucky, and Texas A&M to 17 points or less.

SEC Conference Championship Predictions

The big question in this SEC championship is which Georgia team shows up? The Bulldogs have tended to play up or down to their level of competition. They won and covered in games against Tennessee, Texas, and Clemson. They failed to cover against everyone else on the schedule.

There are a number of reasons to back the Dawgs here. One is QB Carson Beck. At midseason, many were writing him off as a turnover machine. In his last three starts, Beck has 11 touchdown passes and zero picks. Kirby Smart is 104-18 SU at Georgia, but he’s 5-7 SU as an underdog. He is, however, 8-4 ATS in those 12 games as an underdog.

This game will come down to defense and coaching. Right now, Texas is playing better defensively. They rank second in the nation in total defense (247.5 ypg) and in scoring defense (11.7 ppg). The coaching advantage goes to Smart, who has been to the SEC title game six times. He is only 2-4 SU (3-3 ATS), but three of the losses were to Alabama and one was to Joe Burrow and LSU. Smart lives for these types of games and SEC underdogs have won at over a 60 percent clip this season.

Bet: Georgia +114, Georgia +2.5 (-105), Over 49.5

2024 Sun Belt Conference Championship Game

It might not be a game on everyone’s radar, but bettors can find some strong value in the Sun Belt championship game. This year’s title game features Marshall and Louisiana. The teams did not meet during the regular season. The Thundering Herd finished 9-3, 7-1 in Sun Belt play. Louisiana went 10-2 and also finished 7-1 in conference play.

The Thundering Herd led the nation in cover percentage. Marshall finished the regular season 10-1-1 ATS. The only ATS loss came against ULM in a 28-23 win. The Herd was a 10.5-point favorite. Since that ATS loss, Marshall has scored 31 or more points in four straight victories.

Louisiana has also been putting up the points recently. They have won 5 of their last 6 games. The only loss came against South Alabama, a 24-22 defeat. The Cajuns have scored 33 or more in six of their last seven games. Louisiana averages 35.6 points per game, which ranks 15th in the FBS.

Louisiana is 7-5 ATS this season, 5-1 ATS on the road and just 2-4 ATS at home this season. Marshall has been strong as an underdog this season. In five games as the dog, the Thundering Herd are a perfect 5-0 ATS.

Sun Belt Conference Championship Predictions

This is Louisiana’s fifth trip to the Sun Belt title game in seven seasons. They have yet to win one. This is Marshall’s first appearance in the Sun Belt championship game. The Herd won the 2014 Conference USA title but have not played for a conference championship since.

These two teams are opposites on the offensive side. Marshall will grind it out with a powerful running game that averages over 200 rushing yards per game. Louisiana is a Top 30 passing team averaging 265.7 yards per game.

In a championship game, ball control could be a key. Interestingly, the passing game of Louisiana ranks 28th in average time of possession. Marshall and its running game rank 110th in the same category.

The Cajuns are actually the largest conference championship favorite on the board. Under head coach Michael Desormeaux, Louisiana is 18-1 SU as a double-digit favorite. When favored by less than 10 points, UL is 9-7 SU since 2022. The loss to South Alabama this year was one of those SU losses.

Watch out for falling totals. This game total opened at 58.5. Totals his season that dropped at least two points have gone Over 60 percent of the time.

Bet: Louisiana ML, Marshall +5.5 (-110), Over 56.5 (-110)

College Football Week 15 Best Bets

In addition to breaking down the featured games of the week, we’ll also provide you with our best College Football Week 15 bets. You can place individual wagers on these best bets or you can combine them for an attractive College Football Week 15 parlay.

Our college football experts have examined each conference title game, searching for value. There are a number of solid wagers to consider this weekend, but Scores & Stats experts believe these are Week 15’s best bets.

• Tulane @ Army (1H) +3.5
• Penn State @ Oregon -3.5

Our experts have decided on these two best bets for Week 15. Service academies are well-known for covering in the first half when they come into a game as an underdog. Tulane could have some trouble with Army’s offense early.

Penn State backed into this game. James Franklin is awful in games against Top 5 opponents. In his career, he is 1-13 SU against teams ranked in the Top 5. Oregon has proven time and again, it is one of the best teams (if not the best) in the country.

You can get the Army 1H bet at -120 and Oregon at -110. That means $100 bets on each game would win $83.33 on Army and $90.91 on Oregon. If you bet these two individually, you would put out $200 and profit $174.24.

You can also parlay these two into a single bet. That way, you put out $100 and you’ll get odds of +250. That means if both wagers cash, you’ll walk away with $250 in profit! Best of luck betting on Week 15.