2024-25 English Premier League Odds and Predictions

It’s August, which means it’s almost soccer season. “But didn’t soccer just end?” you ask. By now you should know it’s always soccer season.

The 2024-25 English Premier League campaign should be a fun one. While we haven’t seen a very busy offseason for transfers just yet thanks to the various international tournaments that dominated the summer months, it’s fair to assume the top contenders will make a few splashy moves before the transfer window slams shut.

As has been the case for the last number of years, the Premier League title will be Manchester City’s to lose. Pep Guardiola is back for at least one more season on the touchline at the Etihad, and soccer betting sites are listing his side as the favorites to win yet another league title.

Will another team rise up and end City’s dynastic run in 2024-25? Or will Pep again be the last man lifting the trophy next spring?

2024-25 Premier League Title Odds

Manchester City (+125)

All Manchester City do is win. While Manchester United are still the most decorated team since the Premier League formed, their intracity rivals are suddenly pushing them. City have won each of the last 4 titles and 6 of the last 7 overall dating back to the 2017-18 campaign.

City have seemingly endless financial resources, which is why they’ve been consistently able to reinforce what is already the most talented squad in world club soccer. The biggest name who appears to be on his way out the door is forward Julian Alvarez, who is reportedly on the verge of a move to Atletico Madrid.

Alvarez started a career-high 31 games for City last season and finished with 11 goals and 9 assists. Filling the dynamic 24-year-old’s boots won’t be an easy task, but City have been linked with Crystal Palace’s Eberechi Eze as a potential replacement. Alvarez finished 3rd on the club in goals and trailed only Kevin De Bruyne in assists, so we’ll see whether Eze (or anyone else) is capable of filling the void.

De Bruyne will be back after reportedly flirting with a move to Saudi Arabia, and Guardiola will be hoping the 33-year-old talisman will enjoy better health moving forward. KDB made just 22 starts last season for the champs, but he remained as productive as ever while he was out there. Erling Haaland (27) and Phil Foden (19) supplied most of City’s goals, and both will be tasked with producing at a high level once again if the Citizens are to make it a 5th straight league title in 2024-25

Arsenal (+175)

Arsenal had a strong campaign last season and are expected to challenge for the title once more. Mikel Arteta has built a balanced and competitive squad that plays attractive football, and they emerged as City’s chief competition a season ago.

The Gunners finished just 2 points south of City in the final table last year on 89 points. The race went down to the final weeks of the season, but Arsenal ultimately didn’t have enough firepower to overtake Guardiola’s side. Arteta has attempted to fortify his already-elite defense with the addition of Bologna defender Riccardo Calafiori, who emerged as a key man in Italy’s back line at Euro 2024. Arsenal also secured Spanish goalkeeper David Raya on a permanent basis after he spent last season with the club on loan from Brentford.

Arsenal are reportedly pursuing Mikel Merino and Dominic Solanke in other potential deals. Solanke would likely serve as the primary backup to Kai Havertz in front of goal, while signing Merino would make it easier for Arteta to deploy Declan Rice in his customary role as a deep-lying midfielder.

Emile Smith-Rowe and Mohamed Elneny are among the team’s losses this summer, though neither player was going to play a key role in the coming year.

Assuming the defense doesn’t fall off a cliff – which it shouldn’t with Calafioro set to join William Saliba in central defense – there’s no reason to believe Arsenal can’t once again hang with City near the top of the table. There should be plenty of goals in the side between Havertz, Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Martinelli, Gabriel Jesus, and the still-underrated Martin Ødegaard. The Gunners wilted under the late-season pressure of hanging with City last season, so perhaps that experience can suit them well as they ramp up for another challenge this term.

Liverpool (+700)

Liverpool are the only reason Manchester City haven’t won 7 straight PL titles. Jurgen Klopp led the Reds to their first-ever Premier League trophy back in the 2019-20 season, and Klopp’s teams were routinely thorns in the sides of Guardiola’s squads.

However, Klopp retired after last season, which means LFC will enter a new era under head coach Arne Slot. Slot shares many of the same tactical principles Klopp employed to transform Liverpool from a downtrodden club into one of the most high-flying sides in Europe. He is unproven at this level, however, after having previously managed in the Dutch Eredivisie.

Liverpool finished 3rd in the league last season despite dealing with a seemingly endless cascade of injuries. The Reds have been quiet on the transfer market this summer, though they’re reportedly in the market for a traditional No. 6 midfielder to bring some stability to what was an area of weakness a season ago. Real Sociedad’s Martin Zubimendi is reportedly a target.

LFC had a nasty habit of falling into early deficits last season, which is a trend Slot will surely aim to reverse. Liverpool still managed to reclaim 28 points from losing positions – a league-high – but falling behind early generally isn’t a recipe for success over the course of a 38-game season. The Reds will also have to contend with a more crowded Champions League schedule this season, which is something they didn’t have to battle in 2023-24.

There’s reason to have interest in betting on Liverpool’s +700 odds to win the Premier League. Slot looks like a natural fit for this team, and there’s still plenty of high-end talent on the squad. However, I do have questions about squad depth in case of injuries. We’ll see whether any incoming transfers will improve their odds before the season begins.

Chelsea (+1600)

Chelsea are looking to bounce back after a turbulent season. This team has been a revolving door ever since Todd Boehly took over from Roman Abramovic a couple of years ago. The Blues have spent more than $1 billion on the transfer market under Boehly, but the results have been dismal relative to expectations.

Chelsea did see some late-season improvement under Mauricio Pochettino last season after a ragged start, but that late surge wasn’t enough to help the Argentine keep his job. He’s since been replaced by Enzo Maresca, who managed Leicester City to promotion from the Championship last season. Maresca also previously cut his teeth serving as a coach in Manchester City’s academy.

The Blues have brought in quite a few new players yet again this summer, including attacker Marc Guiu, defender Tosin Adarabioyo, and goalkeeper Filip Jorgenson. Chelsea was rather unlucky to finish sixth in the table last season despite finishing with the Premiership’s fourth-best expected goal differential.

Cole Palmer emerged as one of England’s best young attackers after coming over from Man City last season. The 22-year-old scored 22 goals and handed out 11 assists, and his continued development will be key to a potential top-4 finish.

Of the longer shots to win the league, I’m most interested in Chelsea’s +1600 odds. This team steadily improved as last season went on, and I think they’re an interesting dark-horse threat to City’s reign atop the league.

Manchester United (+2500)

Like Chelsea, Manchester United are a former powerhouse enduring a lengthy rough spell. Man U hasn’t been able to find its version of Pep Guardiola or Jurgen Klopp since Sir Alex Ferguson retired over a decade ago. Several managers have come and gone since Sir Alex’s departure, but nobody has stuck.

Current manager Erik Ten Hag was expected to be sacked after last season, but he managed to save his job with a win over Manchester City in the FA Cup Final. That was just Ten Hag’s second major trophy since arriving at Old Trafford, and it earned the Red Devils a spot in the UEFA Europa League this coming season.

There’s talent in this squad, but several of the club’s big-money moves have fallen flat in recent years. United have struggled to produce goals under Ten Hag, and a preseason injury to promising striker Rasmus Hojljund isn’t exactly what the doctor ordered. Will Marcus Rashford regain his form following a disastrous 2023-24 campaign? Will Kobbie Mainoo continue to develop into one of England’s best young midfielders following an impressive spell at Euro 2024? If Jadon Sancho stays, will United get anything out of him?

Unfortunately, there are far more questions than answers at Old Trafford these days.

Tottenham Hotspur (+2500)

Tottenham got off to a flying start last season under first-year manager Ange Postecoglou. Unfortunately – as has happened several times over the past decade or so – Spurs couldn’t sustain that early-season momentum.

They did finish 5th in the table to qualify for Europa, and they’re hoping newcomer Archie Gray will help them take the next step. Gray was a breakout performer at Leeds United and earned EFL Championship Young Player of the Year honors. Whether the 18-year-old will immediately crack Postecoglou’s starting XI remains to be seen, but his future looks bright.

There’s still star power here between Son Heung-min and James Maddison, but it would take quite the unexpected breakthrough for Spurs to give City or Arsenal much of a sweat at the top of the table. Rather than flushing money down the toilet on Tottenham’s +2500 title odds, I’d much rather grab the solid value on Spurs at +200 to land in the top four.

Newcastle (+2800)

Newcastle went on a spending spree shortly after the club was sold to the Saudi Arabian PIF toward the beginning of the 2021-22 campaign. While the new ownership hasn’t yet restored the club to its old glory, this is a team seemingly headed in the right direction.

However, Newcastle are reportedly facing a numbers crunch on the salary front, which could stall some of that progress. Star man Anthony Gordon has been linked with a move back to his boyhood club of Liverpool, though they’re hoping to keep the England youngster at St. James’ Park for at least another term.

Like Tottenham, Newcastle slumped late last season after an impressive start. They ultimately finished 7th and out of European competition altogether. Resisting the sales of Gordon, Alexander Isak, and Bruno Guimares would go a long way toward helping the Magpies contend for a Champions League spot again. Newcastle has also signed ex-Chelsea player Lewis Hall this summer in an attempt to bolster the squad.

This is another team that looks like a better bet to finish in the top four (+200) than to win the league outright at +2800.

Who Will Win the Premier League Title?

The 2024-25 Premier League season should be another thriller with multiple teams having a realistic shot at the title.

Until Guardiola leaves or something else changes, it’s going to be hard to seriously wager against City to win it all again this season. I do have concerns about the aging Kevin De Bruyne’s ability to physically hold up for another full season, but the squad is deep enough to cover for his potential absence.

That we’re getting City at plus-money (+125) is actually somewhat appealing considering they’ve been odds-on favorites heading into many recent campaigns. Arsenal aren’t exactly jumping out as an amazing value at +175 as a result. If you want to bet on a favorite, just take the favorite.

If you’re hunting for upside, I don’t hate a small flier on Chelsea at +1600.

Best Bet: Manchester City (+125)