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Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs November 23rd 2024
Utah State is favored at -4.5 points as they prepare to host the San Diego State Aztecs in a week 13 matchup at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium in Logan. Kick-off is set for 3:30 ET, and the game will be broadcast on CBSS. Both teams enter the game with a 3-7 record for the season. The over/under line is currently at 62 points.
San Diego State vs. Utah State Key Information
- Teams: Aztecs at Aggies
- Where: Merlin Olsen Field At Maverik Stadium Logan
- Date: Saturday, November 23rd
- Betting Odds UTAHST -187 | SDST +157 O/U 62
The Aztecs Can Win If…
San Diego State enters Week 13 with a 3-7 record and no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are ranked 111th in our power rankings and have gone 1-4 on the road this season.
The Aztecs have been favored in just two of their ten games, and their average scoring margin is -6.7 points per game. Against the spread, they are 5-4, with a 3-2 record on the road.
This week’s over/under line is set at 62 points, while their average line this season has been 52.5 points. San Diego State’s over/under record is 4-5, with their games averaging 49.9 points.
San Diego State’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 21.6 points per game, which ranks 82nd nationally. They are 128th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Their third-down conversion rate is only 34%, and their rushing attack is averaging 124.3 yards per game.
Quarterback Danny O’Neil has thrown for 1,752 yards with a passer rating of 84. He has 11 touchdowns and six interceptions. San Diego State is 45th in passing attempts per game. Marquez Cooper leads the rushing attack with 1,062 yards and nine touchdowns.
San Diego State’s defense has struggled this season, ranking 134th nationally by allowing 192.1 rushing yards per game. In their recent game against UNLV, they gave up 253 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns, contributing to a 41-20 loss. The Aztecs also allowed 262 passing yards in the game, totaling 515 yards surrendered.
Opposing quarterbacks have posted a 95.9 passer rating against San Diego State, completing 64.6% of their passes. The Aztecs rank 100th in the nation, allowing 227.5 passing yards per game, and they’ve faced an average of 31.8 pass attempts and 40.4 rushing attempts per game this season.
- Over their last three regular season games, the San Diego State Aztecs have gone 0-3 straight up. This includes going 1-2 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 2-1.
- Through their last ten regular season contests, San Diego State has a record of 3-7. The team’s record vs the spread was just 5-5, in addition to an over-under mark of 5-5.
The Aggies Can Win If…
Utah State enters Week 13 with a 3-7 record, and they have no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are ranked 115th in our CFB power rankings. The Aggies are 1-3 at home this season and have been favored in just two of their ten games.
Their ATS record is 3-6, but they are 3-1 against the spread at home. Utah State’s average scoring margin is -8.6 points per game, and they are 0-2 ATS as the favorite this season.
Utah State’s over/under record is 7-2, with their games averaging 69.6 points. This week’s line is set at 62 points, just below their average over/under line of 62.2 points.
Utah State’s offense is averaging 30.5 points per game heading into week 13, placing them 38th nationally. They are ranked 90th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is a focal point, with 40.7 attempts per game, ranking 8th, and they are 9th in completions, averaging 25.9 per game. They are also 16th in passing yards, with 287.4 per game, and 34th in completion percentage at 63.6%.
Spencer Petras leads the team with 2,288 passing yards and a 65.3% completion rate. He has thrown 17 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, with a passer rating of 90. On the ground, Utah State averages 178 rushing yards per game. Rahsul Faison has 991 rushing yards, eight touchdowns, and averages 5 yards per carry. Jalen Royals leads the receivers with 834 yards and six touchdowns on 55 catches.
Stay Ahead with Expert NCAA Picks! Discover NCAA football picks this week and plan your bets.
Utah State’s defense had a strong performance in their recent game against Hawaii, giving up just 10 points and forcing five interceptions. They allowed only 47 rushing yards on 31 attempts, but did give up 262 passing yards.
Despite this game, Utah State’s defense has struggled this season, ranking 103rd in the nation by allowing 39.1 points per game. They’ve given up 247.3 passing yards per game and 232.2 rushing yards per game, ranking 129th and 166th, respectively.
- The Utah State Aggies have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. They have held up well vs the spread in these matchups, going 2-1 as well as an over-under record of 3-0.
- Across Utah State’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 4-6. Across these games, their ATS record was just 6-4, while posting an over-under record of 8-2.
The Lean
With the over/under line set at 62 points, we see value in taking the under, as our projections have the combined score at 58 points. For a point spread pick, we like San Diego State to cover as +4.5 point road underdogs. Utah State comes into this game with a -4.5 point spread as the favorite, but we are projecting a final score of 30-28 in their favor, making San Diego State the pick to cover the spread.
