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Arizona State Sun Devils vs Iowa State Cyclones December 7th 2024
ABC will be covering the Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona State Sun Devils matchup, set for 12:00 ET on Saturday, December 7th, at AT&T Stadium in Arlington. Although Arizona State is technically the home team, the game is being played on a neutral site. Both teams enter the game with a 10-2 record. The over/under line is 50.5 points, and the Sun Devils are -2.5 point favorites. The money line odds are +114 for Iowa State and -137 for Arizona State.
Iowa State vs. Arizona State Key Information
- Teams: Cyclones at Sun Devils
- Where: AT&T Stadium Arlington
- Date: Saturday, December 7th
- Betting Odds ARZST -137 | IOWAST +114 O/U 50.5
The Cyclones Can Win If…
Iowa State enters Week 15 with a 10-2 record, ranked 23rd in our CFB power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 54.8% chance of winning the Big 12. The Cyclones also have the 9th best odds to make the CFB playoff, with a 53.8% chance.
This season, Iowa State has gone 5-1 at home and 4-1 on the road. They’ve been favored in 10 of their 12 games, going 8-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +11.6 points per game, and they have a 7-4 record against the spread.
The over/under line for this week’s game is 50.5 points. Iowa State’s average over/under line this season is 48.4 points, and they have a 6-5 record against the over/under, with their games averaging 50.8 points.
Heading into week 15, Iowa State’s offense is averaging 31.2 points per game, placing them 38th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Rocco Becht has thrown for 3,021 yards and 20 touchdowns, though he has 8 interceptions and a passer rating of 92.
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The Cyclones rank 33rd in passing yards per game, averaging 258 yards, and they are 35th in passing attempts. Jayden Higgins leads the receiving corps with 1,068 yards and 9 touchdowns on 80 receptions. On the ground, Carson Hansen has rushed for 618 yards and 11 touchdowns.
Iowa State’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 16th nationally by allowing just 19.6 points per game. They are 8th in the country in passing yards allowed, giving up only 156.9 yards per game, and quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of just 62.4, the 5th-lowest in the nation.
In their recent game against Kansas State, Iowa State’s defense allowed 21 points and gave up 364 total yards, including 144 rushing yards on 31 attempts. Kansas State quarterbacks completed 12 of 29 passes for 220 yards and three touchdowns.
- Iowa State has put together a record of 3-0 over their past three games. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
- Over their last ten regular season games, the Iowa State Cyclones have gone 8-2 straight up. Against the spread, Iowa State went 6-4 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 5-5.
The Sun Devils Can Win If…
Arizona State enters Week 15 with a 10-2 record and a perfect 6-0 mark at home. They are 100% bowl-eligible and have a 45.2% chance of winning the Big 12. The Sun Devils also rank 10th in the nation with a 44.0% chance of making the College Football Playoff.
Against the spread, Arizona State is 10-2, with a +10.6 average scoring margin. They are 7-0 ATS as favorites and 6-0 ATS at home this season.
The Sun Devils’ over/under record is 7-5, with their games averaging 53.6 points. Their average over/under line is 53.1 points, while this week’s line is set at 50.5 points.
Arizona State’s offense has been driven by their ground game, ranking 21st nationally with 201.6 rushing yards per game. Cam Skattebo leads the way with 1,402 rushing yards and 17 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. The Sun Devils are 33rd in scoring, putting up 32.1 points per game, and they rank 12th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 15.
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Quarterback Sam Leavitt has thrown for 2,444 yards, with 21 touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 106. Arizona State ranks 15th in passer rating and third down conversions, converting 46.9% of their attempts. Jordyn Tyson leads the receiving corps with 1,101 yards and 10 touchdowns on 75 catches.
Arizona State’s defense is coming off a strong performance against Arizona, allowing just 7 points in a 49-7 win. They held Arizona to 210 total yards, including 84 rushing yards on 27 attempts and 126 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.
For the season, Arizona State ranks 28th nationally, giving up 21.5 points per game. They are 38th in rushing yards allowed, giving up 119.9 yards per game on 29.8 attempts, and 81st in passing yards allowed at 215.5 per game.
- Arizona State has put together a record of 3-0 over their past three games. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 3-0 while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
- Through their last ten regular season contests, Arizona State has a record of 7-3. The team’s record vs the spread was just 7-2-1, in addition to an over-under mark of 7-3.
The Lean
Our projections have Iowa State winning their week 15 matchup against Arizona State by a score of 26-24. Iowa State is the +2.5 point underdog, making them a great pick to not only win straight-up but also to cover the spread.
With the over/under line set at 50.5 points, we recommend taking the under, as our projections have the combined score right at 50 points.
Outsiders Turn Contenders: Arizona State, Iowa State Clash for Big 12 Title and Playoff Spot
In a season full of surprises, the Big 12 Championship game on Saturday features two teams that defied expectations. No. 15 Arizona State and No. 16 Iowa State were afterthoughts in preseason projections, but now find themselves battling for a conference title and a potential spot in the expanded 12-team College Football Playoff.
Arizona State’s Meteoric Rise
Entering their first season in the Big 12 after a 3-9 record in 2023, the Sun Devils (10-2) were picked to finish last in the 16-team league. Instead, Arizona State has roared to a 10-win season, fueled by a five-game winning streak and standout performances on both sides of the ball.
Head coach Kenny Dillingham credited the team’s resilience for its improbable run.
“We’re one game away from accomplishing something people said couldn’t be done,” Dillingham said. “That’s significant, and I couldn’t be prouder of how this team has grown through the season.”
Arizona State’s success has been spearheaded by running back Cam Skattebo, who ranks eighth nationally in rushing yards (1,398) and has accounted for 19 total touchdowns. Skattebo’s bruising style and versatility have made him a nightmare for opposing defenses.
Quarterback Sam Leavitt has been equally crucial, returning from a midseason rib injury to throw three touchdown passes in four of his last five games. Though Leavitt will be without top wide receiver Jordyn Tyson (out indefinitely with an arm injury), he remains confident in his supporting cast.
“Everybody’s making plays left and right,” Leavitt said. “I just gotta trust my guys and let them show who they are.”
Iowa State’s Historic Campaign
Iowa State (10-2) entered the season with modest expectations but reached 10 wins for the first time in the program’s 133-year history. The Cyclones’ success has been powered by an explosive passing attack led by quarterback Rocco Becht. Becht has thrown for 3,021 yards and 20 touchdowns, joining NFL starter Brock Purdy as the only Cyclones quarterbacks to eclipse 3,000 yards in multiple seasons.
Becht’s top targets, wide receivers Jayden Higgins (1,068 yards, nine touchdowns) and Jaylin Noel (1,013 yards, six touchdowns), have made history as Iowa State’s first duo to each surpass 1,000 receiving yards in a single season.
On defense, cornerback Jontez Williams (four interceptions) leads a unit that has struggled at times but boasts enough playmakers to make key stops. Iowa State safety Beau Freyler emphasized the team’s mindset heading into the championship.
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“It’s been a crazy journey to get here,” Freyler said. “But we’re ready to fight for that trophy and show we belong on the national stage.”
Key Matchups
- Cam Skattebo vs. Iowa State’s Defense: Stopping Skattebo will be the Cyclones’ top priority. With his power and versatility, he’s a threat both as a rusher and a receiver.
- Rocco Becht vs. Arizona State’s Secondary: Becht’s ability to spread the ball to Higgins and Noel will test Arizona State’s defensive backs.
- Arizona State’s Receivers vs. Iowa State’s Secondary: Without Jordyn Tyson, Leavitt will need contributions from less-proven targets like Xavier Guillory.
What’s at Stake
The winner of Saturday’s showdown will likely secure the Big 12’s automatic bid to the College Football Playoff, a remarkable achievement for two programs initially counted out. Arizona State seeks its first conference championship since joining the Big 12, while Iowa State hopes to end a title drought that dates back to 1912.
The stage is set for a clash of underdogs who have proven they belong. In a season of surprises, Saturday’s Big 12 title game promises to deliver one final twist.
