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Oregon State Beavers vs San Jose State Spartans November 9th 2024
The Oregon State Beavers are set to host the San Jose State Spartans in a week 11 non-conference matchup at Reser Stadium in Corvallis. Kick-off is scheduled for 3:30 ET, and the game can be seen on CW. The Spartans are 5-3 on the season, while the Beavers are 4-4. The spread is tight, with the Beavers as -2.5 point favorites and the over/under line set at 55.5 points.
San Jose State vs. Oregon State Key Information
- Teams: Spartans at Beavers
- Where: Reser Stadium Corvallis
- Date: Saturday, November 9th
- Betting Odds OREGST -143 | SJST +120 O/U 55.5
The Spartans Can Win If…
San Jose State enters Week 11 against Oregon State with a 5-3 record. They are ranked 92nd in our CFB power rankings, but have an 83.2% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Spartans are 2-0 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.
Despite a +3.9 average scoring margin, San Jose State is 1-4 against the spread. They’ve been favored in two games, going 0-2 ATS as the favorite and 1-2 as the underdog.
This week’s over/under line is 55.5 points. The Spartans’ games have averaged 54.9 points, and their average over/under line is 52.3 points, with their over/under record at 1-4.
San Jose State’s offense ranks 47th in points per game, averaging 29.4, and they are 74th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. They rely heavily on their passing game, ranking 10th in passing yards per game with 324.5, and they are 13th in passing attempts per game. They also rank 20th in completions.
Quarterback Emmett Brown has thrown for 1,621 yards this season, with 16 touchdowns and five interceptions, and he has a passer rating of 96. Leading receiver Nick Nash has 80 catches for 995 yards and 12 touchdowns. On the ground, San Jose State averages 101.5 rushing yards per game.
San Jose State’s defense allowed 33 points in their recent 33-10 loss to Fresno State, despite giving up just 176 total yards. They limited Fresno State to 19 rushing yards on 21 attempts and 157 passing yards, but forced no turnovers in the game.
On the season, San Jose State ranks 48th nationally, allowing 25.5 points per game. Opponents have averaged 149.8 rushing yards per game on 40.1 attempts. The Spartans have given up 228.9 passing yards per game, with a 58.4% completion rate and a passer rating of 69.1, which ranks 17th in the country.
- Over their last three regular season games, the San Jose State Spartans have gone 1-2 straight up. Against the spread, San Jose State went 0-3 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 0-3.
- The San Jose State Spartans have gone 6-4 over their last ten regular season games. In these contests, the team went just 5-5 against the spread, while going 4-6 on the over-under.
The Beavers Can Win If…
Oregon State enters Week 11 with a 4-4 record, facing San Jose State at home. They are ranked 83rd in our CFB power rankings, and have a 64% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. However, their chances of winning the Pac-12 are at 0%.
The Beavers have been favored in three of their eight games, going 2-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin this season is -2 points per game, and they are 2-4 against the spread.
This week’s over/under line is set at 55.5 points. Oregon State’s games have averaged 56.8 points, with their average over/under line at 51.5 points. They are 3-2-1 against the over/under this season.
Oregon State’s offense is centered around their running game, ranking 21st nationally with 220.2 rushing yards per game. They are 15th in rushing attempts, averaging 43.2 per game. Anthony Hankerson leads the team with 749 rushing yards and has scored 13 touchdowns.
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Overall, the Beavers are 58th in scoring, averaging 27.4 points per game, and are ranked 75th in our offensive power rankings. They have been efficient on third downs, converting 47.9% of their attempts, which ranks 12th nationally.
Oregon State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 29.4 points per game. In their recent game against California, they gave up 44 points and 482 total yards, including 364 passing yards. Cal completed 27 of 37 passes and ran the ball 32 times for 118 yards.
Opponents have averaged 198.8 passing yards per game against Oregon State, completing 58.1% of their throws. The Beavers rank 138th nationally in rushing defense, allowing 187.6 yards per game on the ground.
- Through their last three games, the Oregon State Beavers have a record of 2-1. But, they did not perform well vs the spread in these games, going 1-2. Their over-under record in these matchups was 2-1.
- The Oregon State Beavers have gone 7-3 over their last ten regular season games. In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 4-6 and an over-under mark of 5-5.
The Lean
With the over/under line set at 55.5 points, our projection is for a combined 53 points, making the under the best play. San Jose State comes into this game as the +2.5 point underdogs, but we have them winning straight-up with a final score of 30-23. San Jose State is our pick to win, and we also like them to cover the +2.5 point spread as the road underdog. Look for them to pull off the upset on the road.
