Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs New Mexico State Aggies Picks and Predictions November 23rd 2024

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs New Mexico State Aggies November 23rd 2024

ESPN+ will be covering the week 13 matchup between the New Mexico State Aggies and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, set to kick off at 2:30 ET from Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro. The Blue Raiders are the -3.5-point favorites at home, with the over/under line currently sitting at 50.5 points. Both teams have struggled this season, with the Aggies at 2-8 and the Blue Raiders at 3-7 overall.

New Mexico State vs. Middle Tennessee Key Information

New Mexico State enters Week 13 against Middle Tennessee with a 2-8 record and no chance of reaching bowl eligibility. They are ranked 133rd in our CFB power rankings.

The Aggies have been underdogs in all 10 games this season, going 0-8 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is -18.4 points per game, and they have a 3-5 record against the spread.

This week’s over/under line is 50.5 points. New Mexico State’s games have averaged 56 points, and their over/under record is 5-2-1, with an average line of 50.9 points.

New Mexico State’s offense has struggled this season, ranking 130th in our offensive power rankings and averaging just 18.8 points per game, which places them 90th nationally. Their passing game has been particularly weak, averaging 114.1 yards per game, and they rank last in passer rating. Santino Marucci, their leading passer, has thrown for 519 yards with three touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 48.

The Aggies have been more effective on the ground, ranking 18th in rushing attempts and averaging 182.1 rushing yards per game. Seth McGowan leads the team with 711 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns. PJ Johnson III is the leading receiver with 256 yards and one touchdown.

New Mexico State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 37.2 points per game. In their recent matchup against Texas A&M, they gave up 38 points and 565 total yards, including 356 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air, though they did manage to force two interceptions.

Opponents have averaged 206.2 rushing yards per game against New Mexico State, ranking them 147th in the nation. The defense has faced 39.1 rushing attempts per game and 30.9 passing attempts, allowing a passer rating of 96.9 and a completion percentage of 57.8%.

Middle Tennessee enters Week 13 with a 3-7 record, and they are out of the running for a bowl game. They are ranked 127th in our CFB power rankings. At home, the Blue Raiders are 0-3, while they’ve gone 1-4 on the road this season.

They’ve been underdogs in all ten games, and their ATS record stands at 2-6, with an average scoring margin of -16.8 points per game.

The over/under line for this week’s game is 50.5 points. Middle Tennessee’s games have averaged 51.2 points, and their average over/under line has been 55.6 points, with a 3-5 record against the total.

Middle Tennessee’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 17.2 points per game, which ranks 94th in the nation. In our offensive power rankings, they are 125th heading into week 13. Their rushing attack has been particularly weak, averaging only 81.4 yards per game on the ground, placing them 126th nationally.

Quarterback Nicholas Vattiato has thrown for 2,559 yards, completing 64.1% of his passes. The Blue Raiders are 26th in passing attempts and completions per game, averaging 260 yards through the air. Vattiato has 12 touchdown passes and 7 interceptions. Omari Kelly leads the receiving corps with 811 yards on 48 catches.

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Middle Tennessee’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 34 points per game. In their recent game against Liberty, they gave up 37 points, including five rushing touchdowns and 311 rushing yards. Liberty ran the ball 47 times, while Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 114 passing yards and recorded one interception.

Opponents have averaged 209.3 rushing yards per game against Middle Tennessee, ranking 150th nationally. The defense has faced 29.8 pass attempts per game, allowing 247 passing yards on average. Quarterbacks have completed 66.1% of their passes and posted a passer rating of 104.8 against Middle Tennessee.

The over/under line for this matchup is set at 50.5 points, and with our projected score of 48 points, the under looks like the best play.

Middle Tennessee is the -3.5 point favorite at home, and we have them winning by a score of 28-20, which would be just enough to cover the spread.