Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons Picks and Predictions November 23rd 2024

Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons November 23rd 2024

ESPN+ will be covering this week 13 matchup between the Bowling Green Falcons and Ball State Cardinals, set to kick off at 2:00 ET from Scheumann Stadium in Muncie. The Falcons are on the road, and the current money line odds have them as the -446 favorite. The over/under line is at 57.5 points, and the point spread is at +11.5 for the Cardinals. Bowling Green comes in with a 6-4 record, while Ball State is 3-7 for the season.

Bowling Green vs. Ball State Key Information

Bowling Green enters Week 13 with a 6-4 record against Ball State. They are 2-2 at home and 3-2 on the road this season. The Falcons are 75th in our power rankings and have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. They also have a 30.6% chance of winning the Mid-American title.

Bowling Green’s ATS record stands at 4-5, with a 1-3 mark at home and 3-2 on the road. As favorites, they are 1-5 against the spread, but they’ve gone 3-0 ATS as underdogs. Their average scoring margin this season is +6.9 points per game.

This week’s over/under line is 57.5 points, higher than any other game this season. Bowling Green’s average over/under line is 50.7 points, and their over/under record is 3-6, with games averaging 47.3 points.

Heading into week 13, Bowling Green’s offense is averaging 27.1 points per game, placing them 56th nationally. They are ranked 63rd in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Connor Bazelak has thrown for 2,198 yards and has a passer rating of 100. He has 13 touchdowns and four interceptions, completing 68.2% of his passes. The Falcons rank 16th in the nation in completion percentage.

Bowling Green is 53rd in passing attempts, averaging 29.6 per game, and 45th in completions, with 19.7 per game. They are 73rd in passing yards, averaging 222.6 yards per game. On third downs, they convert 38.8% of their attempts. On the ground, they average 159.9 rushing yards per game. Terion Stewart leads the rushing attack with 829 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored six touchdowns.

Bowling Green’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 25th nationally by allowing just 20.2 points per game. They also rank 18th in the country, giving up only 171 passing yards per game and holding opposing quarterbacks to a 78.3 passer rating.

In their recent game against Western Michigan, the defense allowed just 13 points and 98 rushing yards, while forcing two interceptions. They also gave up 195 passing yards on 24 completions.

Ball State enters Week 13 with a 3-7 record and no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are ranked 124th in our CFB power rankings. At home, the Cardinals are 1-2 this season, and they’ve been favored in just one of their ten games.

Their ATS record is 5-3, and they’ve gone 3-0 against the spread at home. Ball State’s average scoring margin is -13.1 points per game, and they’ve covered the spread in five of seven games as the underdog.

This week’s over/under line is set at 57.5 points. Ball State’s games have averaged 67.1 points, with a 6-1-1 record against the over/under. Their average over/under line this season has been 54.1 points.

Ball State’s offense has been heavily focused on the passing game, ranking 23rd in passing attempts per game and 21st in completions. They are 57th in scoring, averaging 27 points per game, and we have them ranked 86th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13.

Kadin Semonza has thrown for 2,356 yards and 20 touchdowns this season, with 10 interceptions. He has a passer rating of 92 and has completed 66% of his passes. Ball State is 107th in rushing, averaging 115.8 yards per game. Braedon Sloan leads the team with 538 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Justin Bowick has 383 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

Stay in the Game with NCAA Picks! Discover today’s NCAA football picks from the experts.

Ball State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 40.1 points per game, including 51 points in their recent overtime loss to Buffalo. They gave up 472 total yards, with 208 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns, while also allowing 264 passing yards and three touchdowns, though they did force two interceptions.

Opponents have averaged 289.1 passing yards per game against Ball State, completing 62.8% of their passes. On the ground, the Cardinals have faced the 26th fewest rushing attempts nationally but are giving up 175.9 rushing yards per game.

We like Bowling Green’s chances to win and cover the -11.5 point spread as they face Ball State in week 13. Our projected final score is 39-25 in favor of Bowling Green.

With the over/under line set at 57.5 points, our projection of 64 total points suggests taking the over as the best play.