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Ball State Cardinals vs Miami (OH) RedHawks November 5th 2024
ESPN will be covering the week 11 matchup between the Miami (OH) RedHawks and Ball State Cardinals, set to kick off at 8:00 ET from Scheumann Stadium in Muncie. The RedHawks come in with a 4-4 record, while the Cardinals are 3-5 on the season. Miami (OH) is favored by -12 points, and the over/under line is currently set at 48 points.
Miami (OH) vs. Ball State Key Information
- Teams: RedHawks at Cardinals
- Where: Scheumann Stadium Muncie
- Date: Tuesday, November 5th
- Betting Odds MIAOH -468 | BALLST +353 O/U 48
The RedHawks Can Win If…
Miami (OH) enters Week 11 with a 4-4 record, and they have a 96.2% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are 2-1 at home and 1-3 on the road this season. The RedHawks have been favored in three games, going 3-0 as the favorite, and they hold a +2.9 average scoring margin for the season.
Against the spread, Miami (OH) is 4-3, with a 2-2 record on the road and 2-1 at home. They are undefeated ATS as the favorite (3-0) but are 1-3 as the underdog.
Their over/under record stands at 4-3, with an average line of 44.7 points. This week’s line is set at 48 points, and their games have averaged 42.6 points per contest.
Heading into week 11, Miami (OH) ranks 79th in points scored, averaging 22.8 per game. Our power rankings place them 86th offensively. They are 108th in third-down conversions, converting just 32.6% of their attempts. On the ground, they average 128.4 rushing yards per game, ranking 102nd nationally.
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Quarterback Brett Gabbert has thrown for 1,727 yards with a passer rating of 89. He has 13 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, completing 58.9% of his passes. Miami (OH) is 60th in passing attempts, averaging 30.1 per game. Keyon Mozee leads the rushing attack with 545 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Cade McDonald is the top receiver with 507 yards and two touchdowns.
Miami (OH)’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 18th nationally by allowing just 19.9 points per game. They’ve given up 183.4 passing yards per game, which ranks 33rd, and 153.6 rushing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of just 70.8 against Miami, the 22nd-lowest in the country.
In their recent game against Central Michigan, Miami’s defense allowed only 7 points and 168 total yards. They held Central Michigan to 62 passing yards and forced one interception.
- The Miami (OH) RedHawks have posted a 3-0 record in their previous three games. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 3-0 while posting a 3-0 over-under mark.
- Across Miami (OH)’s last ten regular season games, their record sits at 5-5. Across these games, their ATS record was just 6-4, while posting an over-under record of 4-6.
The Cardinals Can Win If…
Ball State enters Week 11 with a 3-5 record, facing Miami (OH). They have just a 3.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, according to projections. So far, the Cardinals are 1-1 at home and 1-4 on the road this season.
Ball State’s ATS record is 4-3, and they’ve gone 2-0 against the spread at home. Their average scoring margin is -15.2 points per game, and they’ve been favored in just one game this season.
Their over/under record stands at 6-1, with their games averaging 65.5 points. This week’s line is set at 48 points, compared to their average over/under line of 54.7 points.
Ball State’s offense is averaging 25.1 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 69th in the nation. Our power rankings have them 94th overall. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 29th in completions and 37th in attempts, with an average of 223.1 yards per game. They convert 41.5% of their third downs.
Kadin Semonza leads the passing attack with 1,749 yards and a 66.1% completion rate. He has thrown 15 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, with a passer rating of 91. On the ground, Ball State averages 114.2 rushing yards per game. Braedon Sloan has 501 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns.
Ball State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 40.4 points per game. They’ve given up 301 passing yards per game, ranking 172nd nationally, and 179.2 rushing yards per game, despite facing the 24th fewest rushing attempts in the country.
In their recent game against Northern Illinois, Ball State allowed 23 points and 374 total yards. The defense gave up 142 rushing yards and 232 passing yards but also forced two interceptions.
- The Ball State Cardinals have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. In terms of betting, the team went 3-0 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 3-0.
- Ball State has put together a record of 5-5 in their last ten games (regular season). Against the spread, Ball State went 8-2 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 4-6.
The Lean
Our pick for this Miami (OH) vs. Ball State matchup is to take Miami (OH) as the -12 point favorite, with a projected final score of 33-19 in their favor. For the over/under, we recommend taking the over, as our combined score prediction of 52 points is higher than the current line of 48 points.
