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Central Michigan Chippewas vs Western Michigan Broncos November 19th 2024
ESPN2 will be covering this week 13 matchup between the Western Michigan Broncos and Central Michigan Chippewas, set to kick off at 7:30 ET from Kelly/Shorts Stadium in Mount Pleasant. The Broncos are 5-5 on the season, while the Chippewas are 3-7. The over/under line is 55.5 points, and Western Michigan is the -6.5-point favorite on the road.
Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan Key Information
- Teams: Broncos at Chippewas
- Where: Kelly/Shorts Stadium Mount Pleasant
- Date: Tuesday, November 19th
- Betting Odds WMICH -254 | CMICH +204 O/U 55.5
The Broncos Can Win If…
Western Michigan enters Week 13 with a 5-5 record, ranked 107th in our power rankings. They have an 81.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 0.7% chance of winning the Mid-American title. The Broncos are 2-4 on the road and 2-1 at home this season.
They’ve been favored in three games, going 3-0 as the favorite, but are 0-5 as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is -3 points per game, and they are 4-5 against the spread, with a 2-1 home ATS record and a 2-4 mark on the road.
Western Michigan’s over/under record is 6-3, with their games averaging 65.6 points. The average over/under line for their games is 54.6 points, and this week’s line is set at 55.5 points.
Western Michigan’s offense is averaging 31.3 points per game, ranking 33rd nationally, and they are 44th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Their rushing attack is the strength of the offense, with 200.8 yards per game on the ground, placing them 26th in the country. Jaden Nixon leads the team with 871 rushing yards, 12 touchdowns, and an impressive 7 yards per carry.
Quarterback Hayden Wolff has thrown for 1,960 yards, with 16 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 101. Western Michigan ranks 96th in passing yards per game, averaging 197.3 yards. Wolff has completed 67.8% of his passes, and the team is 17th nationally in completion percentage. Kenneth Womack leads the receivers with 409 yards and one touchdown.
Western Michigan’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 34.3 points per game. In their recent game against Bowling Green, they gave up 31 points, including 404 total yards, with 228 rushing yards allowed.
Opponents have averaged 187.9 rushing yards per game and 239.2 passing yards against Western Michigan. Quarterbacks have completed 65.4% of their passes, with a passer rating of 107.3.
- Western Michigan has put together a record of 1-2 in their last three games (regular season). Across these games, their ATS record was just 1-2, while posting an over-under record of 2-1.
- Through their last ten regular season contests, Western Michigan has a record of 5-5. In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 4-6 and an over-under mark of 7-3.
The Chippewas Can Win If…
Central Michigan enters Week 13 with a 3-7 record, and they are out of bowl contention. The Chippewas are 2-2 at home this season and rank 123rd in our power rankings.
They have been favored in three of their ten games, going 2-1 as the favorite. Central Michigan’s average scoring margin is -7.9 points per game, and they are 3-6 against the spread this season.
The over/under line for this week is 55.5 points, higher than their average line of 50.2 points. Central Michigan’s over/under record is 5-4, with their games averaging 55.7 points.
Central Michigan’s offense has been driven by their ground game, averaging 174.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 36th in rushing attempts nationally. Marion Lukes leads the team with 617 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 4 yards per carry.
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Overall, the Chippewas are scoring 23.9 points per game, placing them 71st in the nation, and they rank 117th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Quarterback Joe Labas has thrown for 1,114 yards with seven touchdowns and seven interceptions. Central Michigan ranks 117th in passing yards per game.
Central Michigan’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 31.8 points per game. In their recent 37-10 loss to Toledo, they gave up 37 points, allowing 299 total yards, including 159 rushing yards and 140 passing yards.
Opponents have averaged 183.5 rushing yards per game against Central Michigan, ranking them 124th nationally. Through the air, they’ve allowed 202.3 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 59.7% of their passes.
- Through their last three regular season contests, Central Michigan has a record of 1-2. They have held up well vs the spread in these matchups, going 2-1 as well as an over-under record of 1-2.
- Central Michigan has put together a record of 7-3 in their last ten games (regular season). Their record against the spread in this stretch is 4-6 to go along with an over-under mark of 6-4.
The Lean
Our pick vs. the spread is for Central Michigan to cover as +6.5 point underdogs in their week 13 matchup against Western Michigan. Even though Western Michigan is the favorite, we expect a close game, with a final score of 29-26 in favor of the Broncos.
With the over/under line set at 55.5 points, we see the total points just surpassing this line, with our projections putting the combined score at 55 points.
