Central Michigan Chippewas vs Bowling Green Falcons Picks and Predictions November 5th 2024

Central Michigan Chippewas vs Bowling Green Falcons November 5th 2024

ESPN2 will be covering the week 11 matchup between the Bowling Green Falcons and Central Michigan Chippewas, which is set to kick off at 7:30 ET from Kelly/Shorts Stadium in Mount Pleasant. The Falcons are -14 point favorites on the road, and the over/under line is currently 48.5 points. Bowling Green enters the game with a 4-4 record, while Central Michigan has won just three games so far this season.

Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan Key Information

Bowling Green enters Week 11 against Central Michigan with a 4-4 record. They are ranked 85th in our power rankings, but have a 90% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Falcons have gone 2-2 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.

Bowling Green has been favored in four games, going 2-2 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin is +5.1 points per game, and they are 3-4 against the spread. On the road, they are 3-1 ATS but have struggled at home, going 0-3.

The Falcons’ over/under record is 3-4, with their games averaging 49.1 points. The average over/under line this season is 50.1 points, and this week’s line is set at 48.5 points.

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Heading into week 11, Bowling Green’s offense is averaging 27.1 points per game, ranking 59th nationally. They are 61st in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Connor Bazelak has thrown for 1,815 yards, completing 68.8% of his passes. The Falcons are 19th in the nation in completion percentage, connecting on 20.4 passes per game, which ranks 42nd.

Bazelak has 10 touchdown passes and four interceptions, with a passer rating of 99. On the ground, Bowling Green averages 148.6 rushing yards per game. Terion Stewart leads the team with 562 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Malcolm Johnson Jr. has 339 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Bowling Green’s defense has been a key factor this season, ranking 26th nationally by allowing just 22 points per game. They’ve been strong against the pass, giving up only 181.5 yards per game, which ranks 31st, and holding opposing quarterbacks to a 56.7% completion rate.

In their recent game against Toledo, the defense allowed 26 points but also forced an interception. They gave up 418 total yards, including 251 passing yards and three passing touchdowns, while allowing 167 rushing yards on 32 attempts.

Central Michigan enters Week 11 with a 3-5 record, ranked 120th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 5.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, they are 2-1, while they are winless on the road at 0-4 this season.

The Chippewas are 2-5 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of -5.2 points per game. They are 0-3 ATS as the favorite and 2-2 ATS as the underdog.

Central Michigan’s over/under record is 5-2, with their games averaging 59.2 points. This week’s line is set at 48.5 points, compared to their average line of 50.1 points.

Central Michigan’s offense has been centered around their run game, averaging 184.4 rushing yards per game, ranking 49th nationally. They are 46th in rushing attempts per game. Marion Lukes leads the team with 465 rushing yards, four touchdowns, and an average of 4 yards per carry. Overall, Central Michigan is averaging 27 points per game, placing them 60th in the nation heading into week 11.

Quarterback Joe Labas has thrown for 1,114 yards with seven touchdowns and seven interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 76. Central Michigan ranks 109th in passing yards per game. They are also converting just 33.6% of their third-down opportunities. Our power rankings have Central Michigan’s offense 105th in the country.

Central Michigan’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 32.2 points per game. In their recent game against Miami (OH), they gave up 46 points and 518 total yards, including 277 rushing yards and 241 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 186.8 rushing yards per game against Central Michigan, while quarterbacks have posted a 59.4% completion rate and a 103 passer rating.

Our pick for the best way to bet on this Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan matchup is to take Central Michigan as the +14 point underdogs. Even though they are the underdog, we have Bowling Green winning the game 23-21, but Central Michigan should cover the spread.

With the over/under line sitting at 48.5 points, our projection of 44 total points suggests that taking the under is the best play for this matchup.