ES 
NFL Previews 
MLB Previews 
NBA Previews 
NHL Previews 
Soccer Previews 
Prediction 
Odds 
Last Recap 
Game Picks 
Top Handicapper 
Cincinnati Bearcats vs TCU Horned Frogs November 30th 2024
ESPN+ is handling the TV coverage for this week 14 TCU Horned Frogs vs. Cincinnati Bearcats matchup, set to kick off at 6:00 ET from Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati. The over/under line is currently at 58.5 points, and TCU comes in as the -2.5-point favorite on the road. The money line odds are -141 for the Horned Frogs and +118 for the Bearcats. TCU has a 7-4 record, while Cincinnati is 5-6 on the season.
TCU vs. Cincinnati Key Information
- Teams: Horned Frogs at Bearcats
- Where: Nippert Stadium Cincinnati
- Date: Saturday, November 30th
- Betting Odds TCU -141 | CIN +118 O/U 58.5
The Horned Frogs Can Win If…
TCU enters Week 14 with a 7-4 record, ranked 36th in our CFB power rankings. They are already bowl-eligible but have no chance of winning the Big 12. The Horned Frogs are 3-2 at home and 3-2 on the road this season.
TCU’s ATS record is 4-6, with a +7 average scoring margin. As the favorite, they are 2-5 against the spread, and they’ve gone 2-3 ATS at home and 2-3 on the road.
The over/under line for this week is 58.5 points. TCU’s games have averaged 62.3 points, with a 7-3 record against the over. Their average over/under line this season has been 60 points.
Heading into week 14, TCU’s offense ranks 20th in points per game, averaging 34.6, and we have them 25th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has been their strength, as they are 5th in the nation with 327.2 passing yards per game. They also rank 7th in completions, averaging 26.1 per game, and 15th in attempts, with 38 per game. Their completion percentage is 68.7%, which ranks 9th.
Achieve Betting Success with NCAAF Tips! Check out the best NCAAF Betting Tips.
Josh Hoover has thrown for 3,485 yards and has a passer rating of 104. He has completed 68.1% of his passes and has thrown 23 touchdowns with 9 interceptions. Leading the receiving corps is Jack Bech, who has 1,007 yards and 9 touchdowns on 59 catches. TCU’s run game has struggled, averaging just 117 rushing yards per game.
TCU’s defense has allowed 27.6 points per game this season, ranking 65th nationally. Opponents have averaged 162 rushing yards per game against them, placing TCU 104th in the country. In terms of passing, TCU has allowed 195.6 yards per game, ranking 51st, with quarterbacks completing 59.3% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 84.5.
In their recent game against Arizona, TCU’s defense gave up 28 points but limited the Wildcats to just 39 rushing yards on 21 attempts. Arizona threw the ball 47 times, completing 30 passes for 287 yards, while TCU’s defense also recorded an interception.
- Through their last three games, the TCU Horned Frogs have a record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
- Through their last ten regular season contests, TCU has a record of 6-4. This includes going 4-6 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 6-4.
The Bearcats Can Win If…
At 5-6, Cincinnati is looking to become bowl-eligible in Week 14 against TCU. They’ve gone 2-2 at home this season and are ranked 53rd in our power rankings. The Bearcats have a 47.6% chance of reaching bowl eligibility, but their odds of winning the Big 12 are at 0%.
Cincinnati’s average scoring margin stands at +1.3 points per game, and they are 4-5-1 against the spread this season. They’ve been favored in five games, going 3-2 ATS as the favorite.
The over/under line for this week is 58.5 points. Cincinnati’s games have averaged 51.3 points, with an average line of 54.4 points. Their over/under record is 3-6-1, with seven games having lower lines than this week’s total.
Heading into week 14, Cincinnati’s offense ranks 65th in points per game, averaging 26.3. However, they are 34th in our offensive power rankings. Brendan Sorsby leads the passing game with 2,653 yards, and the Bearcats are 32nd nationally in passing completions, averaging 21 per game. They are also 40th in passing attempts.
Sorsby has 18 touchdowns and six interceptions, with a passer rating of 96. Cincinnati averages 243.5 passing yards per game. Corey Kiner leads the rushing attack with 1,043 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Xzavier Henderson has 689 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
Cincinnati’s defense struggled in their recent game against Kansas State, allowing 41 points and giving up 428 total yards. The Bearcats allowed 281 rushing yards on 40 attempts and three rushing touchdowns, while Kansas State threw for 147 yards and two passing scores.
On the season, Cincinnati ranks 112th nationally in rushing yards allowed per game, giving up 166.3 yards on average. Opposing quarterbacks have a 96.9 passer rating against the Bearcats, completing 62.4% of their passes and averaging 223.7 passing yards per game.
- Cincinnati will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. In terms of betting, the team went 2-1 ATS in these matchups. Their over/under record in these matchups is 1-2.
- Through their last ten regular season contests, Cincinnati has a record of 3-7. In these contests, the team went just 3-7 against the spread, while going 4-6 on the over-under.
The Lean
Cincinnati comes into this one as the +2.5 point underdogs at home, but we like them to pull off the upset and win straight-up. Our score prediction is 34-31 in favor of the Bearcats, so we see value in taking Cincinnati on the money line.
With the over/under line set at 58.5 points, our projection of 65 total points suggests that taking the over is the best play.
TCU Visit Marks Cincinnati’s Last Chance for Bowl Eligibility
The stakes are high for Cincinnati when it hosts TCU on Saturday night in a Big 12 Conference matchup. For the Bearcats, it’s win or go home, as they aim to snap a four-game losing streak and secure bowl eligibility.
Cincinnati’s Desperation
At 5-6 overall and 3-5 in Big 12 play, the Bearcats are teetering on the edge of a disappointing season. Last week’s 41-15 loss at Kansas State highlighted their struggles, as they fell behind 27-3 by halftime and gave up 281 rushing yards.
Running back Corey Kiner has been one of the lone bright spots. He’s the first Bearcats player to post consecutive 1,000-yard rushing seasons since Michael Warren (2018-19) and added 140 yards in the Kansas State loss. However, his efforts have often been overshadowed by Cincinnati’s defensive lapses, particularly against the run.
Kiner emphasized the team’s collective urgency:
“We need that one win. We’re trying to send the seniors out right. Everybody understands that.”
TCU’s Momentum
TCU (7-4, 5-3 Big 12) enters the game on a hot streak, having won four of its last five games. The Horned Frogs solidified their bowl standing last week with a dominant 49-28 victory over Arizona. TCU’s offense was relentless, scoring touchdowns on five consecutive drives to put the game out of reach.
A major factor in TCU’s resurgence has been Savion Williams, a wide receiver turned dual-threat weapon. Williams rushed for 80 yards and two touchdowns against Arizona, bringing his season rushing total to 312 yards—second on the team. He’s also a reliable target in the passing game, with 57 receptions for 596 yards and six touchdowns.
Coach Sonny Dykes lauded Williams’ versatility:
“There was one play against Utah, and it was supposed to be a one-off. And then it was like, ‘That was really good, let’s do that again.’ I think this has helped his draft status unbelievably.”
Stay Ahead with NCAA Football Betting Picks! View the top NCAA football betting picks for today.
Key Matchups
- Cincinnati’s Defense vs. TCU’s Rushing Attack
The Bearcats’ defense has struggled to stop the run, as evidenced by last week’s performance against Kansas State. They’ll need to contain Williams and TCU’s diverse ground game to have a chance. - Corey Kiner vs. TCU’s Front Seven
Kiner has been Cincinnati’s offensive cornerstone, but the Bearcats need a balanced attack. TCU will look to stack the box and force Cincinnati to beat them through the air. - Savion Williams’ Dual Threat
Williams’ ability to contribute as a rusher and receiver adds a layer of complexity to TCU’s offense. Cincinnati’s secondary and linebackers must communicate effectively to keep him in check.
What’s at Stake
- Cincinnati: A win would secure bowl eligibility and provide a positive end to a roller-coaster season under second-year coach Matt Rhule.
- TCU: Already bowl-bound, the Horned Frogs are looking to improve their postseason prospects and finish the regular season strong.
The History
This game marks the first meeting between the programs since 2004, when Cincinnati earned a 21-10 victory at home. While much has changed since then, the stakes remain high for both teams in this critical Big 12 clash.
Cincinnati will need a complete performance to take down a surging TCU squad, but with their season on the line, the Bearcats could have the emotional edge. Whether that’s enough to overcome their recent struggles remains to be seen.
