Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Arizona State Sun Devils Picks and Predictions November 2nd 2024

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Arizona State Sun Devils November 2nd 2024

The Arizona State Sun Devils are favored by -3 points as they head into this week 10 matchup against the Oklahoma State Cowboys. Kick-off is set for 7:00 ET at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, and you can catch the action on FS1. The Sun Devils have a 5-2 record this season, while the Cowboys are 3-5 overall. The over/under line is currently at 57.5 points.

Arizona State vs. Oklahoma State Key Information

Arizona State enters Week 10 against Oklahoma State with a 5-2 record, sitting at 49th in our power rankings. They are undefeated at home (4-0) but have gone 1-2 on the road. The Sun Devils have a 94.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, but their odds of winning the Big 12 stand at just 0.5%.

Arizona State has covered the spread in five of their seven games this season, with a perfect 4-0 record against the spread at home. They’ve been favored in three games, going 3-0 ATS as the favorite, and have a +6.4 average scoring margin this year.

The over/under line for this week’s game is 57.5 points. So far, Arizona State’s games have averaged 52.7 points, with their over/under record at 3-4. Their average over/under line this season has been 52.8 points.

Make Confident NCAA Football Bets Today! Discover NCAA football picks from the pros.

Arizona State’s offense is centered around their rushing attack, ranking 31st nationally with 217.1 yards per game on the ground. They are 32nd in rushing attempts, averaging 41.3 per game. Cam Skattebo leads the way with 852 rushing yards, 10 touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Overall, the Sun Devils are 44th in scoring, putting up 29.6 points per game, and they are 40th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10.

Quarterback Sam Leavitt has thrown for 1,166 yards, with eight touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 89. Arizona State ranks 114th in passing yards per game. Jordyn Tyson has 477 receiving yards and four touchdowns this season. The Sun Devils have converted 42.1% of their third-down opportunities.

Arizona State’s defense has been a bright spot this season, ranking 32nd nationally by allowing just 23.1 points per game. They’ve given up 119.4 rushing yards per game (40th) and 212.9 passing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have a 79.2 passer rating and a 58.6% completion rate against the Sun Devils.

In their recent game against Cincinnati, Arizona State allowed 24 points, giving up 351 total yards, including 171 rushing yards and 180 passing yards. The defense also allowed two passing touchdowns in the 24-14 loss.

Oklahoma State enters Week 10 with a 3-5 record, ranked 45th in our power rankings. They have a 28.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, they are 0-2, while their road record stands at 1-3 this season.

The Cowboys have been favored in two games, going 1-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +0.6 points, and they are 2-4 against the spread, with a 2-2 ATS record on the road and 0-2 at home.

Their over/under record is 3-3, with an average line of 59.7 points. This week’s line is set at 57.5 points, and their games have averaged 60.4 points per contest.

Oklahoma State’s offense is ranked 32nd in our power rankings heading into week 10, and they are 41st in points per game, scoring 30.5. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 11th in passing attempts and averaging 290.9 yards per game, which is 15th in the nation. They are 13th in completions.

Alan Bowman has thrown for 2,119 yards this season, with 15 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. His passer rating is 87. De’Zhaun Stribling leads the team with 571 receiving yards and four touchdowns. Oklahoma State is 78th in third-down conversions, converting 38.3% of their attempts, and they are averaging 109.9 rushing yards per game.

Oklahoma State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 29.9 points per game. In their recent 38-28 loss to Baylor, they gave up 38 points and 567 total yards, including 345 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns. Baylor also threw for 222 yards and three touchdowns, though Oklahoma State did manage one interception.

Opponents have averaged 248.9 passing yards per game against Oklahoma State, ranking them 134th nationally. The defense has faced 41 rushing attempts per game, allowing 251.6 rushing yards on average, which ranks 178th in the country.

Our projections have Arizona State coming out on top in a close 29-27 matchup against Oklahoma State in week 10 of the college football season. Despite Arizona State being -3 point favorites, we like Oklahoma State to cover the spread as the underdog.

For the over/under, with the line set at 57.5 points, we see these teams falling just short of that, making the under the best play for this matchup.

Fortunes Reversed: Oklahoma State Hosts Arizona State, Looks for First Big 12 Win

Oklahoma State’s 2024 football season has not gone as expected, and as they host Arizona State this Saturday night in Stillwater, the Cowboys are in an unfamiliar position. Once projected to be a top competitor in the Big 12, Oklahoma State now finds itself winless in conference play and at the bottom of the standings. Meanwhile, the Arizona State Sun Devils, initially predicted to struggle in their first Big 12 season, have exceeded expectations with a 5-2 record, including two Big 12 wins.

Arizona State’s Success with Transfers

Arizona State head coach Kenny Dillingham has embraced the transfer portal as a means to rebuild his roster quickly. The Sun Devils’ portal strategy has been successful, drawing players who have made immediate impacts, especially in critical positions like running back and quarterback.

One of their key transfers is running back Cam Skattebo, who joined Arizona State from Sacramento State and has become a focal point of the Sun Devils’ offense. Skattebo ranks third in the Big 12 with 848 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns, consistently giving Arizona State an edge in physicality and field position. Skattebo’s ability to break tackles—ranking seventh nationally in forced missed tackles with 49—is a big reason for Arizona State’s offensive success.

Oklahoma State head coach Mike Gundy recognizes Skattebo as a primary challenge for his defense, saying, “He’s their energy. If you want to slow them down, you better tackle him.” The Cowboys’ defense, which has struggled against the run, will need to bring their best effort to contain Skattebo, or they risk letting Arizona State control the game on the ground.

Oklahoma State’s Struggles and Ollie Gordon II’s Resolve

The Cowboys’ season has been full of disappointments, particularly with their offense failing to live up to preseason expectations. Star running back Ollie Gordon II, a preseason Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year candidate, has had a solid season individually, ranking ninth in the Big 12 with 568 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. However, Oklahoma State’s offensive inconsistency has prevented him from having the impact he hoped for.

Adding to the frustration, rumors circulated that Gordon, who is draft-eligible, might sit out the rest of the season to focus on his NFL prospects. But the junior running back dispelled those rumors, stating, “My momma always taught me that you finish what you start. Who would I be to give up on my team because our season is not going how we want it to go?”

Gordon’s commitment to finishing the season is welcome news for Oklahoma State fans, who hope his leadership and skills can help spark a turnaround. The Cowboys’ offense will need to show better balance and execution to support Gordon and give him the room he needs to make plays against Arizona State’s defense.

Quarterback Stability for Arizona State

After missing the Sun Devils’ last game with a rib injury, quarterback Sam Leavitt is expected to return this Saturday. The transfer from Michigan State has been a steady presence for Arizona State, completing 90 of 152 passes for 1,166 yards, eight touchdowns, and four interceptions. Leavitt’s return brings stability to Arizona State’s offense, which struggled in his absence during the 24-14 loss to Cincinnati.

Head coach Kenny Dillingham confirmed Leavitt’s readiness earlier this week, saying, “He’s cleared to play. He wants to play. He’s excited about playing. He’s been putting in a lot of work to play, so we’ll see how that transpires.” Leavitt’s presence will provide a boost to an Arizona State offense that relies on his ability to make plays and keep defenses honest.

Unlock Exclusive Betting Strategies! Sign Up Today.

What Oklahoma State Needs to Do to Compete

Oklahoma State’s defense will need to play with increased discipline and aggressiveness to contain Arizona State’s running game, especially with Skattebo in the backfield. The Cowboys also need to limit costly turnovers and capitalize on scoring opportunities to prevent the Sun Devils from controlling the game tempo.

This matchup presents Oklahoma State with a chance to reclaim some confidence and build momentum in what has been a challenging season. For Arizona State, a victory would bolster their position in the Big 12 standings and continue a surprisingly strong debut season in the conference.

Game Prediction: Arizona State 31, Oklahoma State 24

With Leavitt back in the lineup and Skattebo’s consistent production on the ground, Arizona State has the edge. Oklahoma State’s struggles on both sides of the ball, coupled with Arizona State’s momentum, give the Sun Devils a good chance to secure a hard-fought road victory and continue their impressive Big 12 campaign.