Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers Picks and Predictions November 30th 2024

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers November 30th 2024

ABC will be covering this week 14 matchup between the Auburn Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide, scheduled for 3:30 ET at Saban Field in Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa. The over/under line is currently sitting at 52 points. The Tide are the -11.5 point favorites at home. Auburn comes in with a 5-6 record, while Alabama is 8-3 on the season.

Auburn vs. Alabama Key Information

Auburn heads into Week 14 against Alabama with a 5-6 record, ranked 29th in our power rankings. They have a 12.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Tigers are 2-4 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.

Auburn’s ATS record is 4-5, with a +8.3 average scoring margin. They are 2-4 against the spread as the favorite and 2-1 as the underdog.

The over/under line for this week is 52 points. Auburn’s average O/U line is 49.2, and their games have averaged 49.7 points, with a 3-6 record against the total.

Auburn’s offense ranks 50th in our power rankings heading into week 14, and they are averaging 29 points per game, placing them 49th nationally. Payton Thorne has thrown for 2,412 yards, and the Tigers are 31st in passing yards per game. Thorne has 20 touchdowns and a passer rating of 103, which matches the team’s rating, placing them 19th in the nation.

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Jarquez Hunter leads the rushing attack with 1,145 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored 8 touchdowns. Auburn is 57th in rushing yards per game, averaging 172.2 yards. KeAndre Lambert-Smith has 865 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns on 42 catches.

In their latest game, Auburn’s defense allowed 41 points but still managed to secure a 43-41 overtime win against Texas A&M. They gave up 464 total yards, including 297 passing yards and three passing touchdowns, while also forcing one interception. Texas A&M ran the ball 52 times for 167 yards and two rushing touchdowns.

Despite the high-scoring game, Auburn’s defense ranks 25th nationally, allowing 20.7 points per game. They are 27th in the country against the run, giving up just 114 rushing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 55.2% of their passes against Auburn, which ranks 23rd in the nation.

Alabama enters Week 14 with an 8-3 record, holding a perfect 5-0 mark at home. While they are guaranteed to be bowl-eligible, they have no chance of winning the Southeastern title. However, they still have a 37.7% chance of making the playoff, according to projections.

The Crimson Tide have been favored in nine of their 11 games this season, going 6-3 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +18.6 points per game, and they are 5-5 against the spread.

This week’s over/under line is set at 52 points. Alabama’s games have averaged 53.7 points, with their over/under record sitting at 5-5 for the season.

Alabama’s offense is averaging 36.2 points per game, ranking 16th in the nation heading into week 14. They are 12th in our offensive power rankings. Jalen Milroe has thrown for 2,401 yards, completing 65.2% of his passes, with 15 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. Alabama ranks 26th in completion percentage and 50th in passing yards per game.

On the ground, they are averaging 183.1 rushing yards per game. Jam Miller leads the team with 557 rushing yards and seven touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Ryan Williams has 804 receiving yards and eight touchdowns on 42 catches.

Alabama’s defense, ranked 11th nationally, is allowing 17.5 points per game this season. They’ve given up 145.9 rushing yards per game and 181.2 passing yards, ranking 25th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 74 and are completing 61.3% of their passes against Alabama.

In their recent game against Oklahoma, Alabama’s defense allowed 24 points, giving up 268 rushing yards on 51 attempts. Oklahoma threw the ball just 12 times, completing 9 passes for 68 yards.

Alabama is the -11.5 point favorite at home in their week 14 matchup against Auburn. We expect the Tide to win comfortably, with a projected final score of 36-19, so we recommend taking Alabama to cover the spread.

For the over/under, with the line set at 52 points, our projection of 55 combined points suggests that taking the over is the best play.

No. 13 Alabama Faces Auburn in Iron Bowl Amid College Football Playoff Tensions

The stakes are as high as ever for the Iron Bowl, as No. 13 Alabama hosts Auburn on Saturday in Tuscaloosa. With the Crimson Tide sitting on the fringe of the College Football Playoff (CFP) conversation, this storied rivalry has even more urgency. For Auburn, it’s an opportunity to spoil their rival’s postseason dreams while trying to cap their own season on a high note.

Alabama’s CFP Hopes Hanging by a Thread

The Crimson Tide (8-3, 4-3 SEC) enter the Iron Bowl reeling from a 24-3 defeat at the hands of Oklahoma last weekend. The loss, which saw Alabama struggle offensively and defensively, has left them in need of a miracle to re-enter the CFP picture.

Head coach Kalen DeBoer emphasized the importance of turning the page and refocusing on the rivalry.

“The state — 365 days of the year. Ever since I’ve been here, I think I hear about it every day,” DeBoer said. “We have to learn from last week and be better because of it … and do everything we can to be successful on Saturday.”

Last season’s Iron Bowl saw Alabama pull off a dramatic 27-24 win, with quarterback Jalen Milroe throwing a clutch 31-yard touchdown to Isaiah Bond on fourth-and-goal with just 32 seconds left. Milroe will again be under the spotlight as the Crimson Tide look to rebound from their offensive struggles against Oklahoma, where he completed only 11 of 26 passes for 164 yards and threw three interceptions.

Auburn Riding High After Gritty Win

Auburn (5-6, 2-5 SEC) enters the Iron Bowl with renewed confidence following a thrilling 43-41 four-overtime victory over then-No. 15 Texas A&M. Running back Jarquez Hunter carried the load with 130 rushing yards and three touchdowns, pushing his season total to 1,145 yards.

For head coach Hugh Freeze, the Iron Bowl represents more than just another game.

“There is no bigger game on the schedule,” Freeze said. “To sit in this seat and to lose one like we did last year still doesn’t sit right. … We want to change that feeling in this building and for our great fan base.”

Auburn’s recent history against Alabama has been challenging, with the Tigers dropping four straight games and 10 of the last 13. But Freeze is determined to foster belief within his team.
“You have zero chance of winning if you don’t have a belief that you can do it,” he said. “It’s going to take that belief going into Tuscaloosa to win.”

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Key Matchups to Watch

1. Jalen Milroe vs. Auburn’s Defense: Milroe’s ability to rebound from a poor performance against Oklahoma will be crucial. His decision-making and execution will determine Alabama’s offensive success.
2. Jarquez Hunter vs. Alabama’s Front Seven: With 1,145 rushing yards this season, Hunter is Auburn’s offensive centerpiece. His ability to break through Alabama’s defense will be a deciding factor, especially with the Crimson Tide missing standout linebacker Deontae Lawson.
3. Alabama’s Defense Without Lawson: The loss of Lawson, the team’s leading tackler, leaves a significant void. How the Crimson Tide adjust defensively will be critical against Auburn’s versatile rushing attack.
4. Iron Bowl Atmosphere: Playing in Tuscaloosa gives Alabama a significant advantage, but Auburn’s ability to silence the crowd with early success could tilt the momentum.

Rivalry and Redemption

For Alabama, the Iron Bowl is about more than just beating Auburn—it’s a chance to salvage their CFP hopes and reclaim pride after last week’s embarrassing loss. For Auburn, it’s about proving they can compete with the SEC’s elite and erasing the sting of last year’s heartbreaking defeat.

As the two teams prepare to clash, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Will Alabama’s stars rise to the occasion, or will Auburn pull off a season-defining upset? The Iron Bowl, as always, promises unforgettable drama on the gridiron.